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After losing back-to-back games for the first time in a long time, Chelsea take on Southampton this weekend. What's the best bet for this matchup? Soccer expert Alex C. give it here.

Chelsea vs. Southampton Prediction and Picks: Can Chelsea Bounce Back?

When: Saturday, October 2 - 10:00 AM ET

Where: Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea vs. Southampton Odds

After a heartbreaking loss to Man City and a poor performance against Juventus in the Champions League, Chelsea head into the 7th round of the EPL season, sitting third in the standings, just 1 point behind leaders Liverpool. 

Chelsea vs. Southampton Prediction

Chelsea: One Shot on Target in 2 Games

What's happening with the most consistent team in Europe? In the press conference following the UCL game against Juve, Thomas Tuchel declared: "I think we started strong but not strong enough." What? It's like saying: we scored, but actually we didn't. Yes, Chelsea controlled the game, having the possession and recovering many balls. But it was a bad performance with a massive lack of creativity combined with a way too slow attack. 

Thomas Tuchel mentioned the "lack of character" shown by his squad. But he forgot to say that he's also guilty. They are in this together, and as far as we know, the manager has the main guilt when the team doesn't perform. What about Romelu Lukaku? His former manager, Antonio Conte, said Chelsea is not getting the best from him and needs to use him differently. The Belgium superstar scored four goals in his first four games for Chelsea but failed to find the back of the net for the third match in a row following the 1-0 UCL defeat to Juventus. 

Let's not destroy Chelsea after two defeats. It happens. They lost their rhythm following the 1-0 defeat to Man City in which Tuchel totally lost the plot, and they were without probably their most important player against Juventus, N'Golo Kanté. Unfortunately, the central midfielder is set to miss the clash against Southampton and the international break games after testing positive just one day before the UCL fixture against Juventus. 

Reece James looks to be ruled out with a long-term injury, while Christian Pulisic remains on the sidelines with an ankle injury. However, the Blues have enough firepower in their squad and should bounce back against Southampton. 

Southampton: Zero Wins in 6 Games 

There's not much to say about the poor Saints. They are sitting 15th with just 4 points earned in six games and only four goals scored in the process. The strange thing is that they kept both Man City and Man United to draw games, keeping a clean sheet against the Citizens. Last weekend, they also produced a fine display against Wolves but eventually lost the match, failing to convert their six shots on target and 18 goal attempts. 

Their lack of creativity in the final third and threat from set-piece movements needs to be addressed. They lost Danny Ings and Jannik Vestergaard in the summer, but the new transfer, Adam Armstrong, center-forward from Blackburn, failed to impress. 

Last season they managed to avoid relegation, and if they want to stay up for one more season, they need to add some quality in the winter transfer window. Without some fresh blood who can adapt fast, the Saints will once again fight till the last round to stay up in the top-flight league. Their lack of finishing in from of goal is their main issue, and against such a rock-solid defensive side like Chelsea, it will be very tough for them to contribute on the scoreboard. 

Chelsea vs. Southampton Betting Picks 

Chelsea is expected to dominate from start to finish. This is not the perfect time for the Saints to go head-to-head with a wounded animal like the Blues, who are coming after two defeats in a row. We will probably see a 65% to 35% for Chelsea in terms of possession, with the host winning the battle from the middle. 

Everyone is questioning Chelsea's finishing, and they have all the right to do that. But Southampton is not Man City or PSG. Yes, they kept Chelsea to 2 draw games last season, but they were with Ings, Vestergaard, and Minamino. 

There's no value on a home win as Chelsea is priced at -250 with BetMGM (maybe for a parlay bet), but we still have two picks for this game. 

Chelsea vs. Southampton Picks 

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Article Author


Alex Campean has been a soccer fan since 1990 when he watched the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy. He knows everything about the top 5 European leagues, Champions League and Europa League and he is well known for his “trade-mark” “Alex Classic” bet (both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match). He’s very disciplined, follows a strict set of rules, and has great bankroll management. He’s our European soccer specialist and he's having an average of 55 units of profit in the last 7 years with his soccer picks. He’s all about positive energy, respect, and long-term profit and if you ever hear “Alex’s last-minute goal” that means he did it again winning a bet in the last minute of the game, so never lose hope.


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