Watford vs. Liverpool Prediction and Picks: Liverpool's Goal Machine to Continue
Watford vs. Liverpool Prediction and Picks: Liverpool's Goal Machine to Continue
When: Saturday, October 16 - 7:30 a.m. ET
Where: Vicarage Road, Watford
Claudio Ranieri is back in the Premier League, becoming Watford's 16th manager in just ten years. With just four points ahead of the drop zone, Watford is in a disastrous situation, but they have a tough task this weekend when they will host second-placed Liverpool.
Watford vs. Liverpool Prediction
Watford: New Beginnings
For Watford's new manager, it's all about a strong start. That's how he turned Leicester into Premier League champions. Their superb start in their 2015/16 season gave the team the momentum and belief to continue winning. More than that, the Italian coach, who is typically doing many personnel changes, picked just 17 players in the first 22 games with Leicester, keeping the team's core untouched.
Watford has a poor start to their season, and Ranieri has no time at his disposal to come with a new approach and adjust the tactics game-by-game. So instead, he gets a difficult start to life at Vicarage Road, hosting Liverpool, a goal machine, ready to score as many goals as possible.
The Hornets have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 17 Premier League games, and the run will continue this weekend given Liverpool's attacking firepower. Surprisingly. Watford beat Liverpool 3-0 when they played in front of their fast and kept a clean sheet, and in that same season, they went down the second-tier league.
Yes, they are newcomers, but if they follow the trend, they will go back to Championship at the end of the season. They failed to win six of their previous nine fixtures across all competitions, losing five in the process and failing to find the back of the net on four occasions.
It's absolutely normal for them to be priced at +750 with Bet365 despite playing on home soil. Francisco Sierralta will be out for another two weeks after picking up a hamstring injury against Leeds, while Josh King will need to be assessed on Friday. But Watford's injury crisis is not over. Their defender Christian Kabasele is ruled out with a thigh injury, while Peter Etebo will be back to training in 2022.
Liverpool: Goal-Machine
The Reds are the only unbeaten side in the Premier League. They are sitting second in the standings with 15 points earned in 7 games, just one point behind Chelsea. On top of that, they have the best attack in the league with 17 goals scored this season, with Mo Salah leading the top scorers' chart with 6 goals and 3 assists and Sadio Mane sitting fifth with 4 goals. The pair are enjoying a brilliant season and also netted 4 goals between them in two Champions League games (5-1 win against FC Porto and 3-2 win against AC Milan).
Fabinho and Alisson will probably be left out as their national team Brazil plays against Uruguay just 35 hours before Liverpool's clash with Watford. The visitors will play Atletico Madrid next week in the Champions League round 3, and the club is considering flying Fabinho and Alisson directly to Spain.
Watford vs. Liverpool Betting Picks and Props
Watford knows they can't defend and will concede goals, so they will try to hit on the break because Liverpool will dominate the match and have the possession. So they must play aggressively and press high to win points.
In four of their previous five EPL games, they got at least three cards per game. Over 1.5 Watford cards are priced at -130, which is huge, and we will take it. We will even take over 2.5 cards in the game priced at -125.
In terms of goals, we expect Liverpool to enter strong and score at least three goals on their own, and the price for that is +128 with Unibet. Mo Salah should again contribute on the scoreboard, and you can get him at -120 with BetMGM. We have two official betting picks for this match, and we are ready to enjoy a great weekend full of profit.
Watford vs. Liverpool Picks
- Liverpool to Score in Both Halves (+115) at BetMGM
- Liverpool to Win and Over 2.5 Goals (-111) at Bet365
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Article Author
Alex Campean has been a soccer fan since 1990 when he watched the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy. He knows everything about the top 5 European leagues, Champions League and Europa League and he is well known for his “trade-mark” “Alex Classic” bet (both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match). He’s very disciplined, follows a strict set of rules, and has great bankroll management. He’s our European soccer specialist and he's having an average of 55 units of profit in the last 7 years with his soccer picks. He’s all about positive energy, respect, and long-term profit and if you ever hear “Alex’s last-minute goal” that means he did it again winning a bet in the last minute of the game, so never lose hope.