Leeds vs. Wolves Predictions and Picks: Finding Value on the Away Side
When: Saturday, October 23 - 10:00 a.m. ET
Where: Elland Road, Leeds
Wolves are traveling to play struggling Leeds and look to win their fourth consecutive game in a row on Saturday in the Premier League.
Leeds vs. Wolves Prediction
Leeds: Just 1 Win in 8 Games
Stuart Dallas' consistency, Patrick Bamford's finesse, and Bielsa's winning mentality and masterclass tactics were the main reasons for Leeds' superb 2020/21 season. They finished 9th in the standings, just 3 points behind the European spot.
What happened during the summer break? Leeds are nowhere to be found. They failed to win their opening six fixtures and are now sitting 17th in the EPL standings with just 6 points earned in 8 games. Let's give them some credit because they were without Patrick Bamford for three games, Raphinha and Kalvin Phillips for one game. This is the club's worst start to a league campaign, and if they don't wake up, they might have problems. The season is long, and they still have time to improve and find their form.
Kalvin Phillips and Patrick Bamford will both miss out again, which is a massive blow from Leeds. At the same time, Raphinha is ready to return following his late return from international duty last weekend. It's hard to be confident with Leeds given their recent form and injury issues, but they are still rated as favorites, being priced at +140 with Bet365.
They scored 2+ goals in just 2 of their 10 season games across all competitions: at home against Everton in Matchday 2 and in the EFL Cup against Crewe, which is expected given the quality difference between the two teams. Moreover, their head-to-head record against Wolves is very bad. They lost both games last season without finding the back of the net.
Wolves: Three Win in a Row
Despite a poor start to their domestic season, former Benfica manager Bruno Lage who replaced Nuno Espirito Santo at Wolves, changed the entire system implementing his new ideas and game philosophies.
He remained confident and worked closely with every player to make them understand that football is all about attacking. Wolves were used to another system, and they needed some time to adapt, which is normal.
They are working hard to grow and improve week-in and week-out, and it looks like the results are starting to come. They've managed four wins in five games, three wins in a row, and six goals scored in the last six matches. It was about time for them to find the back of the net in every single game. Let's not forget that in their opening three games of the domestic season, they failed to score, but they were second in the Premier League on xG. So, they created, but they were very unlucky not to contribute on the scoresheet.
They now travel to Yorkshire brimming with confidence after their outstanding comeback win at Aston Villa last weekend. They were two goals down with 10 minutes to go till the end of the regular time, and they managed to score three times till the end of the match, with Ruben Neves being the MVP of the game scoring the winning goal in the last seconds of the game.
Leeds vs. Wolves Betting Picks and Props
Only Liverpool, Chelsea, and West Ham United have picked up more points on the road than Wolves so far this season, and with a win against Leeds, they will break the record for maximum points earned in four top-flight outings in a row for the first time since January 1972. Not only do they have the weapons to beat Leeds, but the betting value is on them as they are priced at +190 with Unibet.
Jonny, Pedro Neto, and Yerson Mosquera are long-term absentees for the visitors. At the same time, Raul Jimenez, who was left on the bench last weekend against Aston Villa, will probably feature in the starting XI.
As we said, the value is on the Wolves, but we will not go with a straight win, but we will play safe. Wolves with Draw No Bet or PK is priced at plus money, so we will take that with a full stake. We will also sprinkle a small stake on Adama Traore to be anytime goalscorer at +370 with FanDuel; yes, we know he is scoreless this season; that's why the odds are so good.