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Soccer expert and handicapper Alex Campean is breaking down the midweek matches in the Premier League and Bundesliga and he's predicting mulitple goals.
ANALYSIS

Premier League and Bundesliga Predictions: Bet on Multiple Goals

Arsenal vs. Liverpool (Premier League)

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The Premier League is back in action with another highly anticipated fixture this week as Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool lock horns with Arsenal. Man City has been kept to a goalless draw by Crystal Palace on Monday and the Reds have the chance to close the gap on the Citizens. If they win this clash they will trail the leaders by just one point before their direct match in April.

Liverpool did well to beat Brighton 2-0 over the weekend with Luis Diaz and Mo Salah contributing on the scoresheet. They won their previous eight Premier League fixtures, keeping six clean sheets in the process and covering the spread on six occasions. On the other side, Arsenal’s main objective is to finish in the top four and they have a great chance to fulfill that as they are sitting fourth in the standings, one point above fifth-placed Man United, having three games in hand on them.

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They won their previous five EPL fixtures but they have a poor head-to-head record against Liverpool. They’ve won only one of their last 18 mutual encounters against Liverpool, with their previous victory against the Merseyside outfit coming in 2020. On top of that, they failed to score against the Reds in their last five fixtures. It looks like they improved significantly since their last match against Liverpool and are perfectly capable of finally contributing on the scoreboard.

We expect an away win with Liverpool determined to close the gap on Man City but we also expect a very entertaining match with at least three goals on the scoresheet. Mohamed Salah was absent from training as Liverpool stepped up their preparations for Wednesday's EPL clash. His issue is not too serious and he could yet make himself available for the midweek game but Klopp might decide not to force him and use Diogo Jota.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Pick

Pick: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match at -105 (Bet $105 to Win $100)

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Mainz vs. Dortmund (Bundesliga)

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This match was originally scheduled for Matchday 25 but was postponed due to Mainz’s covid issues. They also had their game with Augsburg called off last weekend so this is their first clash in over two weeks. Most of their starting players returned to training and they will be able to use a decent lineup against Dortmund with Karim Onisiwo, Jonathan Burkardt, and Jae-Sung Lee leading the attacking line.

Mainz has the best home defense in their domestic league with only seven goals allowed in 12 games in front of their fans. They are one of the best teams on home soil winning eight and scoring 24 goals in the process. Their fighting spirit is amazing and the fans are always pushing them, creating a superb atmosphere in the stands.

On the other side, Dortmund has many injury issues missing at least five starters. On top of that, captain Marco Reus, defenders Manuel Akanji, Mats Hummels, and left-back Raphael Guerreiro are doubtful. On a positive note, superstar striker Erling Haaland has recovered from a groin injury and returned for the first time in over two months with a second-half performance against Arminia Bielefeld.

He scored 16 goals in 15 games this season including a brace in the 3-1 win from the reverse fixture. This season, Dortmund has kept just one clean sheet on the road across all competitions. Their injury problems have been the main reason for their defensive struggles.

Dortmund is trailing leaders Bayern Munich by seven points and a win here will see them close the gap to four points with eight rounds to go till the end of the season. They have a great head-to-head record against the hosts picking up 16 points from their last six Bundesliga mutual encounters. Given their defensive struggles and injury issues but also Mainz’s superb home form, it’s dangerous to bet on Dortmund. Instead, we expect another thrilling match between two attacking sides.

Mainz vs. Dortmund Pick

Pick: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match at -110 (Bet $110 to Win $100)

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Article Author

Soccer

Alex Campean has been a soccer fan since 1990 when he watched the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy. He knows everything about the top 5 European leagues, Champions League and Europa League and he is well known for his “trade-mark” “Alex Classic” bet (both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match). He’s very disciplined, follows a strict set of rules, and has great bankroll management. He’s our European soccer specialist and he's having an average of 55 units of profit in the last 7 years with his soccer picks. He’s all about positive energy, respect, and long-term profit and if you ever hear “Alex’s last-minute goal” that means he did it again winning a bet in the last minute of the game, so never lose hope.

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