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Expert Soccer handicapper Alex Campean breaks down the Premier League and Serie A matches for this weekend. In the Premier League, Everton takes on Chelsea while Wolves takes on Brighton. In Serie A, Empoli takes on Torino.
ANALYSIS

Weekend Soccer Picks: Bet On Goals With These Premier League and Serie A Picks

Everton vs. Chelsea (Premier League Round 35) Sunday 9am ET

Everton last suffered relegation in the 1950/51 campaign and this could repeat this season after 71 years. The season is spiraling away from the Toffees, who have one win in their last five fixtures and are now just two points behind the first salvation spot occupied by Burnley. It’s true, they have a game in hand on the Clarets but their form and schedule is worrying.

For the remainder of the season, they will play Chelsea, Brentford, and Crystal Palace at home and Leicester, Watford and Arsenal on the road. They played well against Liverpool last weekend but they failed to pull off the upset losing 2-0. They welcome Chelsea on Sunday and we expect them to give their life on the pitch as every point is vital.

On the other side, Chelsea was kept to a 1-1 draw by Man United in the midweek action. Chelsea was in full control of the game but their efforts were not rewarded failing to convert their 21 goal attempts into goals. With the FA Cup final against Liverpool being just two weeks away, it’s very important for Tuchel and his troops to pick up positive results so we expect the German manager to use his best starting lineup against Everton. Chelsea should have enough to return home with the three points but we also expect a high-scoring.

Everton vs. Chelsea Pick

Pick 1: Over 2.5 goals in the match at +100 (Bet $100 to win $100)

Empoli vs. Torino (Serie A Round 35) Sunday 9am ET

Empoli hosts Torino on Sunday looking to build on their first win of the year. Last week they pulled off a huge upset coming from two goals down to beat Napoli 3-2 on home soil with all three goals coming in the last ten minutes of the match. They are one of the most entertaining sides in the Italian top-flight league and they always offer entertaining games when they are playing in front of their fans.

On the other side, Torino managed to hold Atalanta to a thrilling 4-4 draw last weekend on the road and they enter this clash on the back of five unbeaten games. We are talking about two sides who have nothing to play for but that’s a positive thing for our pick. It’s the end of the season and we are trying to find these types of games in which the opponents are already on vacation so they will hit the pitch in the most relaxed way. There will be gaps at the back and plenty of defensive mistakes which will result in goals. The previous three mutual encounters between the two sides resulted in high-scoring affairs.

Empoli vs. Torino Pick

Pick 2: Over 2.5 goals in the match at -120 (Bet $120 to win $100)

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Wolves vs. Brighton (Premier League Round 35) Saturday 10am ET

After two consecutive defeats without finding the back of the net, Wolves will be eager to return to winning ways this weekend when they will host mid-table Brighton. They are sitting just three points behind the top seven and given West Ham’s European commitments, they have a great opportunity to equal them in the standings and fight for a European position. On the other side, Brighton failed to maintain their two goals lead last weekend, dropping two points in the 2-2 draw against Southampton.

Wolves have lost just four times at home since September 2021 and two of these defeats had come against Liverpool and Arsenal. Brighton has kept just three clean sheets in their last 19 fixture and we expect them to concede once again. Wolves will probably win this clash but the goal line is set at 2, so there’s no way for us to look at different markets. It’s very important to note that Wolves has a game in hand on West Ham in seventh so this is a crucial match for the hosts.

Wolves vs. Brighton

Pick 3: Over 2 goals in the match at -120 (Bet $120 to win $100)

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Parlay

3-Leg Parlay at +570 (Bet $100 to win $570)

  • Leg 1: Over 2.5 goals in the match at +100
  • Leg 2: Over 2.5 goals in the match at -120
  • Leg 3: Over 2 goals in the match at -120

Article Author

Soccer

Alex Campean has been a soccer fan since 1990 when he watched the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy. He knows everything about the top 5 European leagues, Champions League and Europa League and he is well known for his “trade-mark” “Alex Classic” bet (both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match). He’s very disciplined, follows a strict set of rules, and has great bankroll management. He’s our European soccer specialist and he's having an average of 55 units of profit in the last 7 years with his soccer picks. He’s all about positive energy, respect, and long-term profit and if you ever hear “Alex’s last-minute goal” that means he did it again winning a bet in the last minute of the game, so never lose hope.

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