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Soccer expert and handicapper Alex Campean is back with his best bets for the upcoming FA Cup Final between Chelsea and Liverpool. Chelsea will be looking to end this season on a high note but Liverpool looks unstoppable.

FA Cup Final Prediction: Chelsea vs Liverpool

When: Saturday, May 13

Time: 11:45 am ET

Where To Watch: ESPN+

Here is my prediction, picks, and the odds for the FA Cup Final between Chelsea and Liverpool.

Click Here for FA Cup Final Odds

Chelsea: New Owners, New Beginnings

This will be only the second in the history of English football where the same two teams will face each other in both domestic cup finals during the same campaign. Basically, Chelsea is facing Liverpool for the fourth time this season with all games ending in draws in regular time. The only match with a winner happened in the EFL Cup in which Liverpool won the trophy beating Chelsea on penalties.

After dropping seven points in three Premier League fixtures, Chelsea bounced back beating Leeds 3-0 on the road building some sort of confidence just in time for probably their most important match of the season, the final against Liverpool. Why the most important match? Because this is their only chance to end the season with a trophy and give their fans something to cheer for.

They will definitely seek revenge on Liverpool who got the better of them in the EFL Cup earlier this season but they are also happy because they have a new owner and they don’t have to worry anymore about their future. Todd Boehly's consortium has signed an agreement to purchase the club from Roman Abramovich in a deal that is expected to be completed by the end of the month.

After suffering a disappointing campaign across all competitions, Tuchel's side will be looking to lift the FA Cup trophy for the first time in four years. They were expected to fight Man City and Liverpool for the title and defend their Champions League win but they are miles behind the top teams in their domestic league and in Europe.

Romelu Lukaku has rediscovered his scoring touch before the big game, scoring a brace against Wolves before finding the back of the net against Leeds. Before the goals against Wolves, Lukaku had not scored a goal in the Premier League since a 1-1 draw with Brighton on December 29. It would be really strange to see him decide the final but you never know, the ball is round and football is all about goals.

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Liverpool: Winning Mentality

Liverpool dropped two points against Tottenham but they returned to winning ways in the midweek action beating Aston Villa 2-1 on the road. They are sitting three points behind leaders Man City but they will also play two more finals with the trophy on the table: the FA Cup and the Champions League. Let’s not forget that they already lifted the EFL Cup trophy after beating Chelsea earlier this season. They are a world-class team fully packed with world-class players and they enter this clash full of confidence and in great form. They’ve only lost once in their last 31 games across all competitions.

They will surely put on a great fight and try to win the FA Cup for the first time in 16 years and the second trophy of the season. Mathematically, the quadruple is still possible, but not even the biggest fans won’t expect Man City to drop three points in the final two Premier League games of the season. They still have the Champions League final against Real Madrid in two weeks' time.

The Reds have been dealt a killer blow after Fabinho got injured on Tuesday's win against Aston Villa, but the midfielder should be back for the Champions League final.

FA Cup Final Chelsea vs. Liverpool Prediction

Chelsea is really well-coached and they have an idea for all areas of the game being very organized. It’s a final and you never know how the two teams will react and how Chelsea will line up. No matter the form of the teams, they will give everything on the pitch. Yes, Liverpool looks to be the better side and that’s why we expect them to score at least twice on their own but this might end in a 2-2 draw, you never know, that’s why we will avoid the winners market.

Chelsea vs. Liverpool Best Bet

Picks: Liverpool Team Total Over 1.5 goals at +100 (Bet $100 to win $100)

Chelsea vs. Liverpool Prop Pick

Prop Pick: Penalty in the match YES at +200 (Bet $100 to win $200)

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Article Author


Alex Campean has been a soccer fan since 1990 when he watched the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy. He knows everything about the top 5 European leagues, Champions League and Europa League and he is well known for his “trade-mark” “Alex Classic” bet (both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match). He’s very disciplined, follows a strict set of rules, and has great bankroll management. He’s our European soccer specialist and he's having an average of 55 units of profit in the last 7 years with his soccer picks. He’s all about positive energy, respect, and long-term profit and if you ever hear “Alex’s last-minute goal” that means he did it again winning a bet in the last minute of the game, so never lose hope.


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