US Open Picks and Predictions: Best Picks Across Friday's Matches
Wow. Not sure what’s more shocking, my tipping or some of the results this week. At least Brooksby prevented us from the reversed sweep. Hats off if you predicted one of the following third-round matchups: Laaksonen vs. Gojowczyk, Seppi vs. Otte, Bagnis vs. Van de Zandschulp. I certainly did not, but that being said, I’ll try and figure out the latter and two more of today’s matches.
Facundo Bagnis vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp Prediction
Fading Facundo Bagnis hasn’t been a pleasure so far in New York. After searching for a main draw win for almost four and a half years, the Argentinian beat Taro Daniel and countryman Marco Trungelliti quite comfortably. However, both of them are clay-court specialists, just as Bagnis himself. So I would be shocked - admittedly, that would be nothing new at this year’s US Open - if he made it to the round of 16, considering the quicker court speed.
Despite being quite successful on clay, Botic Van de Zandschulp prefers this kind of court. The only thing that would somewhat hold me back is the fact that he’s faced some tough battles here already. His qualifying matches all went three sets. However, neither of them lasted longer than 2 hours. Getting past Taberner and Ruud took some more energy, but the Dutch should be alright with almost 48 hours of recovery time. The confidence boost you get after beating one of the higher seeds shouldn’t be underestimated either. Again, Bagnis’s run has been quite the surprise, but he hasn’t faced guys that can blast winners past him. If this goes five sets, the Argentinian might be a fitness advantage, but I doubt he’ll get that far.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction
All the toilet break controversy aside, Stefanos Tsitsipas has looked better before. The 6-0 fourth set scoreline against Mannarino might look convincing. Still, the Frenchman ran out of gas after being on the court for almost four hours in his comeback win over Herbert and competing in his first tournament since Wimbledon. The Greek’s struggles against Murray could very well recur in today’s match against Carlos Alcaraz.
The young gun beat Cam Norrie easily and only allowed one break (point) against Arthur Rinderknech in round two. Compared to Alcaraz, Tsitsipas spent two and a half hours more on the court. He indeed is one of the fittest guys on tour, but so is his teen opponent. I’m not sure if Alcaraz can win this thing, but he should be able to hang in there. Nothing comes easy for Tsitsipas these days, so prepare for many great rallies and hopefully a close contest in which I take the +6.5 games with the Spaniard.
Day 5 Parlay
2-Leg Parlay (-108)
Getting a little fancy with today’s parlay as singles matches don’t want to go our way. Linette/Pera and Stosur/Zhang are some of the most in-form women’s doubles pairings currently. While Stosur/Zhang beat Linette/Pera on their way to the title in Cincinnati, the latter duo went to the semifinals in Montreal.
All four players are already out in singles, so their focus should have shifted towards the doubles competition with a great opportunity in this draw. In straight sets, Linette/Pera just took out the #2 seeds and tournament favorites Krejcikova/Siniakova. Today, they’ll face Niculescu/Ruse, who barely got past Hercog/Sevastova, of whom both have a negative career record in doubles.
As mentioned, Stosur/Zhang won the Western & Southern Open, and they had no trouble at all in their first-round match against Paolini/Teichmann here. So the 2019 Australian Open winners might be on one of these runs again, and I don’t see them struggle against Kato/Santamaria, who haven’t teamed up a lot lately.
Parlay Pick: Linette/Pera (-222) + Stosur/Zhang (-303) -108
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