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The 2022 Australian Open kicks off tonight with some fantastic matches. What are some best bets on the men's side? Tennis analyst Nikki Adams takes a look.
ANALYSIS

2022 Australian Open Men's Day 1 Picks: Nadal vs. Giron Highlights Top Tennis Picks on Opening Day

Cameron Norrie vs. Sebastian Korda

American Sebastian Korda leads the head-to-head over Cameron Norrie 1-0 after beating the Brit in straight sets at the Delray Beach tournament last year. However, the odds are tipped in favor of Norrie across tennis betting markets with the Brit No.1 tipped at -180 to win outright. 

Norrie has the higher ranking and goes into this tournament seeded No.12, but the gap between Norrie and the No. 40 ranked Korda is negligible. Norrie’s form is a big question mark ahead of this tournament. He’s 0-3 on the year after losing all three of his ATP Cup round-robin matches in straight sets a fortnight ago. 

Korda reached the Next Gen ATP Finals in November, where he lost to another rising tennis next-gen star Carlos Alcaraz in three sets. Korda’s tennis pedigree is impeccable, the son of former ATP Czech Peter Korda, who won the 1998 Australian Open title. The American was unable to play any warmup events due to testing positive for coronavirus upon arriving in Melbourne. Whether that proves to be a deciding factor remains to be seen. However, on paper, Korda is the better player, and with tempting underdog odds for the upset, he’s worth the tickle. 

Pick: Korda +172 (Bet $100 to Win $172)

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Fabio Fognini vs. Tallon Griekspoor

Italy’s Fabio Fognini is one of the most mercurial players on the ATP Tour, and that makes him a dangerous floater to spot. It’s the first meeting between the 34-year old and Netherland’s Tallon Griekspoor, who enters the tournament on a two-game winning streak after reaching the third round of the ATP 250 in Melbourne. Griekspoor was supposed to face Rafael Nadal in the third round, but he bowed out of the match with a foot injury. Griekspoor’s fitness battle is a concern. The market for this intriguing first-round clash isn’t quite a pick’em, but it’s pretty close. Fognini has to be the better bet, all things considered.

Pick: Fognini -125 (Bet $125 to Win $100)

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Marton Fucsovics vs. Dusan Lajovic

Hungary’s Marton Fucsovics was one of the most vocal in his criticism of Novak Djokovic’s and the Serbian’s attempt to circumvent the rules to compete in Australia. In the first round, Fucsovics faces Serbia’s Dusan Lajovic. Lajovic is friends with Djokovic and could be counted amongst his supporters. It remains to be seen whether there will be tension in this matchup as a result. Needless to say, Fucsovics has the 2-0 edge over Lajovic, having beaten the Serbian twice last year and each time on a hard court. Fucsovics is a solid favorite at -250 to win, but this could turn into a five-set marathon. Betting Fucscovics to win in five sets is a tempting +500 bet with Bet365.

Pick: Fucsovic -250 (Bet $250 to win $100)

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alejandro Tabilo

Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz is one of the young rising stars of the game and he underscored those credentials by winning the Next Gen ATP Tour finals at the end of last season. 

The 18-year-old comes enters the season ranked No. 33 in the world. His opening matchup features No. 136 Alejandro Tabilo, a lefty from Chile. Tabilo qualified for the tournament, playing three matches to earn his place in the draw. Alcaraz arrives in Melbourne having played no warmup tournaments. Alcaraz is the favorite to win, but this match could go the distance. A bet on Alcaraz to win in four or five sets is trading at +260 and +600, respectively.

Pick: Alcaraz to win in four sets +260 (Bet $100 to Win $260)

Gael Monfils vs. Federico Coria

Gael Monfils is coming off an ATP win in Adelaide in the first week of the season, a feat that sets him up well for his first-round matchup against Federico Coria. Monfils beat Coria in straight sets at the 2021 US Open first round. For a second-straight major, the pair are set to collide with Monfils tipped as the runaway favorite at -2500. Coria could make things interesting and take a set off the Frenchman. This bet – Monfils to win 3-1 – is available with bet365 and is priced at +333.

Pick: Monfils to win in four sets +333 (Bet $100 to Win $333)

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Rafael Nadal vs. Marcos Giron

Rafael Nadal won his first title of 2022 and his 89th career title at the Summerset Open in Melbourne. Having played and practiced on Rod Laver for over a fortnight gives the Spaniard an edge, especially in this opening match against Marcos Giron was eliminated in the first round of the Melbourne event, losing to Berankis 7-5, 6-4. The following week, he lost in the first round of Syndey 6-4. 6-2 to Australia’s Jordan Thompson. This should be a straightforward affair for Nadal. Set betting offers better value for a Nadal win with a 3-0 victory priced at -250.

Picks: Nadal to win 3-0 at -250 (Bet $250 to Win $100)

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Yannick Hanfmann

This will be one of the most closely followed matches in the first round as the winner will earn the right to play against (most likely) Nadal. Thanasi Kokkinakis was reduced to tears after winning his maiden title. It was a long time coming for the Aussie, who has dealt with a slew of injuries. Germany’s Yannick Hanfmann qualified for the tournament winning three straight qualifiers. The 30-year-old is playing with house money and has nothing to lose. Kokkinakis has played back-to-back events in the lead-up to the Australian Open, and it remains to see how he holds up after playing so many matches. 

Picks: Kokkinakis in five sets +500 (Bet $100 to Win $500)

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Article Author

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Nikki Adams is a freelance sports writer that’s honed in on the world of sports betting. She joined OddsChecker in 2021 after having covered a number of major American sports, including NFL and NCAAF, for several other publications in the industry. When she’s not looking for the best betting angles and writing engaging and insightful articles, she’s likely on a tennis court or binging on reality TV.

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