Women's French Open Predictions: Will Iga Swiatek, Coco Gauff Advance to the Finals?
Women's French Open Predictions: Will Iga Swiatek, Coco Gauff Advance to the Finals?
The world's No. 1 women's player, Iga Swiatek, has obliterated her competition for much of the calendar year. Swiatek has won 33 consecutive matches, the longest winning streak the WTA has seen since Serena Williams won 34 straight in 2013. In addition, Swiatek has won five successive WTA titles and became just the second woman ever to win at least four WTA 1000 titles in a season, joining Serena Williams, who won five in her record-setting season of 2013.
Standing in Swiatek's way for a sixth consecutive title are three women, each making their first Grand Slam appearances. As such, Swiatek is an overwhelming -320 moneyline favorite at several sportsbooks to go on to win the French Open entering the semifinal round. So is she a shoo-in to be playing for the title on Saturday? If so, who will she be facing?
Here are our predictions, best plays, and the odds for Thursday's women's French Open semifinal matches.
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Women's French Open Predictions
Iga Swiatek vs. Daria Kasatkina Prediction
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No. 1 seed Swiatek owns a 3-1 head-to-head series lead over No. 20 seed Daria Kasatkina, though three of those meetings came on hard court, and this is their first-ever meeting on clay.
Kasatkina beat Veronika Kudermetova, who had not been past the third round in her previous 12 Grand Slam tournaments in the quarterfinals. Kasatkina, on the other hand, had made two previous quarterfinal appearances in Grand Slams at Roland Garros and Wimbledon in 2018.
If there is an angle for Kasatkina to be successful against Swiatek or even pull an upset, it would be to take advantage of a sluggish start from Swiatek. Swiatek dropped the first set two matches ago and might have been on her way to losing the first set for a second straight match against Jessica Pegula, but received a fortunate call on a possible double-bounce with the match nodded at 3-3.
Swiatek also committed 28 unforced errors in the win over Pegula, which showed some vulnerability. However, if Swiatek serves as she did against Pegula (she faced just two break points the entire match), she will cruise to a 34th consecutive victory and her 22nd in the last 24 in straight sets.
Women's French Open Pick
Iga Swiatek Wins 2 Sets to 0 (-290) vs. Daria Kasatkina (Bet $290 to win $100)
Coco Gauff vs. Martina Trevisan Prediction
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Who knew Martina Trevisan's first career WTA title in Rabat on May 21 would have sparked this current run at Roland Garros? The unseeded Trevisan is on a ten-match winning streak, but before her quarterfinal victory over Leylah Fernandez, Trevisan had beaten just one top-40 opponent in that stretch. That victory was against Garbine Muguruza in the Round of 16 of the Morocco tournament, and Trevisan's draw early at the French Open was considered very favorable. Despite being ranked 59th in the world, Trevisan had not been an underdog in France until her quarterfinal match.
Coco Gauff has been considered a budding star ever since making the fourth round of Wimbledon at age 15. Now at 18, there have certainly been signs of maturity in her game, and she has made quick work of her opponents in this French Open run. Gauff has won five consecutive matches in straight sets, and her competition has been more formidable than Trevisan's, as Gauff has had to go through No. 31 seed Elise Mertens and fellow American Sloane Stephens.
The only head-to-head meeting between these two was in the Round of 64 in 2020 at Roland Garros, which Trevisan won 4-6, 6-2, 7-5. Having seen Trevisan up close on clay before, Gauff will not be as thrown off by Trevisan's propensity for long rallies and ability to extend points. However, facing Trevisan requires immense mental toughness, and she will be difficult to beat in straight sets.
Gauff's last four WTA semifinal matches have gone over the projected games match line, so we will back this trend because we expect this match to go the distance.
Women's French Open Pick
Coco Gauff vs. Martina Trevisan OVER 2.5 Sets (+150) (Bet $100 to win $150)
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