Women's French Open Finals Predictions: Is Iga Swiatek Destined For a Second French Open Title?

Women's French Open Finals Predictions: Is Iga Swiatek Destined For a Second French Open Title?

In terms of storylines that make for “must-watch” television, I am not sure the women’s final at the French Open could have asked for more than a matchup between world No. 1 Iga Swiatek and teen sensation Coco Gauff. Gauff keeps the eyes of Americans glued to the television for those waiting in anticipation to see if she will break through for her first Grand Slam title. On the other side, Swiatek is chasing history is she aims for her 35th consecutive victory, which would break a tie with Serena Williams for the most this century.

Will Swiatek go two-for-two in Grand Slam finals and win her second title at Roland Garros, or will Gauff become the youngest woman to win a Grand Slam event since Maria Sharavpova in 2004? 

Here is our best play for Saturday's women's French Open final along with the Iga Swiatek vs. Corl Gauff odds.

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Iga Swiatek vs. Coco Gauff: Iga Swiatek -5.5 Games (-130) (Bet $130 to win $100)

If you were to be told that one of these women entering the final would not have lost a set so far this tournament, odds are you would have thought that woman was Swiatek. However, it is Gauff who has cruised to six consecutive straight-set victories, and just five of the sets lasted more than nine games. That is not to dismiss Swiatek’s accomplishments, as she dropped one lone set (6-7) to Qinwen Zhang in the fourth round. 

Though Swiatek has dropped the one set, it could be argued she has looked more dominant in her wins, as 10 of her 12 set victories have been by 6-3 or better. 

Swiatek has won both head-to-head meetings with Gauff (both in straight sets), one of which came on clay in Rome in 2021. Gauff has won more than three games in a set just once, losing a tiebreaker in that clay-court matchup. However, that match was also back in 2021 before Swiatek started her dominant run of 34 straight wins.

Swiatek met her biggest match in Daria Kasatkina in the semifinals, and wiped her off the court in 15 games. She has been on this stage before, and that should pay huge dividends against an 18-year-old phenom. From a game spread perspective, Swiatek would realistically need a 6-3, 6-3 or 6-4, 6-2 victory to cover this line, but even if Gauff were to claw her way to winning one set, Swiatek is more than capable of following up with a dominating 6-0 set.