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Djokovic and Kyrgios will meet at the finals of Wimbledon on Sunday, and tennis expert Mike Spector provides two bets to cash in on.

Novak Djokovic vs. Nick Kyrgios Wimbledon Odds and Prediction: Will Djokovic Win Back-to-Back At Wimbledon?

Novak Djokovic vs. Nick Kyrgios Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: July 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 am ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, ESPN+

Click here for Djokovic vs. Nick Kyrgios odds

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Novak Djokovic vs. Nick Kyrgios Wimbledon Prediction

Nick Kyrgios Wimbledon Preview

Without looking it up, if someone told you that one player had won both head-to-head career meetings between Novak Djokovic and Nick Kyrgios, how many of you would be shocked to learn that Kyrgios has won both meetings? In the Acapulco event in 2017, Kyrgios beat Djokovic 7-6, 7-5, and won that same year again at Indian Wells 6-4, 7-6. 

Kyrgios openly admitted to the media that he had not slept well thinking about his first-ever appearance in a Major final. But will his head-to-head success against Djokovic be enough to prevent the Serbian from winning his fourth consecutive Wimbledon title and seventh overall?

Besides head-to-head success, Kyrgios also has another massive advantage entering this match, as he should have much fresher legs after getting through to the finals as a result of a walkover, while Djokovic had to play four sets against Cameron Norrie. Instead of Kyrgios grinding out a match against Rafael Nadal in the semifinals, the Spaniard chose not to push the abdominal injury he suffered in the quarterfinals. As a result, Nadal joined Chris Evert (1988 US Open) and Richard Krajicek (1992 Australian Open) as the only three players in the Open Era to withdraw from a Grand Slam in the semifinals or later.

Kyrgios is 13-2 on grass this year, and his powerful serve is his biggest weapon on this surface. The serve is so good that the Australian entered Wimbledon with the third-best serve rating on tour behind only Americans John Isner and Reilly Opelka.

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Novak Djokovic Wimbledon Preview

All that being said, there is a reason Novak Djokovic has made 32 Grand Slam finals (a new record set with his last semifinal victory). In addition, he has not lost a semifinal match or later at Wimbledon since 2013 and will be within one of the all-time Grand Slam titles record with a win on Sunday.

Djokovic’s bags would already be packed if Wimbledon was any old ATP event, as he lost the first two sets to Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinals. But Djokovic’s 333-47 (87.6% winning percentage) record in Majors is largely a product of the fact that not many players outside of Rafael Nadal or Roger Federer can play consistent enough tennis for five sets to beat him.

Throughout Kyrgios’ entire career, he has been considered a loose cannon, a headcase, a player who is not mentally tough enough to hang in there for long rallies or overcome adversity within a match. Not taking anything away from his two victories on grass over a top-ten player (Stefanos Tsitsipas), but the Greek is not on the same level as Djokovic. 

Novak had -125 odds before the tournament started to win his fourth straight Wimbledon title. That is unheard of, given that one must win seven consecutive matches over two weeks to win a Major. So why would Djokovic be thought of any less now that he has reached his eighth Wimbledon final?

Kyrgios’ serve, head-to-head success against Djokovic, and extra-rest advantage will likely warrant him winning one set. However, it will not be enough to dethrone arguably the best Men’s tennis player of all time. Thus, we will gladly take the plus-odds being offered for Djokovic to win the match in four sets and will hedge (or double down, depending on how you view it) with Kyrgios’ +2.5 set spread.

Novak Djokovic vs. Nick Kyrgios Wimbledon Picks

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Article Author


Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest


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