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World #3 Novak Djokovic has an opportunity to take home another Major title at Wimbledon here against #40 Nick Kyrgios, who makes this a fascinating match to watch, having won both matchups against Djokovic without dropping a set.
ANALYSIS

Novak Djokovic Wimbledon Final Odds and Prediction: Djokovic Given an 81% Chance to Beat Nick Kyrgios

Novak Djokovic vs. Nick Kyrgios Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: July 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 am ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, ESPN+

Click here for Djokovic vs. Nick Kyrgios odds

Serbian tennis legend Novak Djokovic (-425) takes on the well-rested Australian Nick Krygios (+300) in the Wimbledon Final after Rafael Nadal had to withdraw due to injury. Djokovic defeated Cameron Norrie in four sets to get a shot at another final here at Wimbledon. That win extended his streak to 27 straight wins at Wimbledon. The odds look like they are more catered towards the way things are now, while only slightly factoring in the past head-to-head, where Kyrgios won 2-0 both times in 2017. While time has passed, some people just have a read on other players. Will Djokovic get the monkey off of his back, or will Kyrgios get the last laugh once again?

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Wimbledon Final Odds

NameOddsImplied Chance
Novak Djokovic-42580.95%
Nick Kyrgios+30025%

Based on the odds, Djokovic has an 81% chance to win, and with this 27 matchup win-streak, this actually feels like it is beyond a fair price at -425. Kyrgios line is well earned for sure, but at this price, it is meant to draw some action from inexperienced bettors, but be wise and go with the man who owns this place and is ranked in the top three for good reason and should have a banner 2022, highlighted by a win here!

Our job here is to show you what plays have more value than it appears, and with that being said, here are a few more plays with less juice that are worth their odds as well:

Wimbledon Finals Prediction

These two go together, and it would not be surprising to see them both hit, even if the Australian is not the champ. As I have said, Kyrgios is coming in confident having defeated Djokovic in both career outings, but this version of the Serbian seems poised to be a champion once again, but he hasn't looked absolutely bulletproof. Djokovic dropped the first set against Cameron Norrie and the first TWO sets against Jannik Sinner, and he still ended up fighting back and winning both matches by ripping off three straight sets in each.

How I think that this is going to go down is Kyrgios comes out hot as he is rested and confident, but he wasn't exactly dominating Nadal before he got the walkover, and Novak will be sure to lock in after the first set, as he has shown the ability to flip the switch and not look back once he finds his way.

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Article Author

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Josh obtained his Master's in Sports Analytics from American University. He's a sports handicapper, writer, and stats nerd, as well as an MLB enthusiast. You can follow him on Twitter at @Josh_Weil.

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