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We have a dream championship matchup in Gstaad as Ruud faces Berrettini. Can Berrettini win his second ATP title Sunday morning? Tennis expert Mike Spector makes the case for which of these top-15 players will come out on top.

ATP Swiss Open Gstaad Finals Predictions and Odds: Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini

When the field was announced for the ATP Gstaad tournament, the two most eye-popping names were Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini, as they were the only two players in the top 15 in the world rankings in the field. After each player made quick work of their semifinal opponents, Ruud and Berrettini set up a dream final in Switzerland. Let's dive into my prediction, pick, and odds for Ruud vs. Berrettini.

Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: July 24, 2022

Start Time: 5:30 am ET

Where to Watch: Tennis Channel

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Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini Prediction

Ruud had converted just four of his 22 break-point chances in the first two rounds of the tournament. However, his return of serve was dominant against No. 4 seed Albert Ramos-Vinolas, as he converted five of his seven break-point opportunities. Conversely, Ramos Vinolas never got a look at a break-point chance as Ruud cruised to a straight-set victory, only losing two games in the process.

Berrettini enters this match on a 12-match winning streak, and not many victories in that stretch were more impressive than his 6-1, 6-4 defeat of Dominic Thiem in the semifinals. The match lasted just 78 minutes, which should bode well for Berrettini to be fresh in the finals. The Italian is looking for his third consecutive tournament title after winning in Stuttgart and the Queen’s Club. While Ruud did not face a break point, Berrettini’s serve was also dominant in the semifinals, winning 29 of his 34 first-serve points. 

Ruud is just a -120 moneyline favorite despite already owning two clay court titles this season and finishing runner-up at Roland Garros. However, that alone is why many people will back him in this match, as well as Berrettini being somewhat forgotten after withdrawing from the French Open (hand injury) and Wimbledon (COVID-19). 

Berrettini looks determined to make up for not being able to compete in the last two majors. He won at Gstaad in 2018 (his first ATP title), and we like for him to win his 13th consecutive match and a second title in the last five years at this event.

Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini Pick

PICK: Matteo Berrettini ML (-102) (Bet $102 to win $100)

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Article Author


Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest


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