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Tennis expert Mike Spector explains where the value lies in his top two matches from the opening round at the ATP Masters Cincinnati, including one match with a player that has had recent success but could be on upset alert.
ANALYSIS

Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Miomir Kecmanovic, Medvedev vs. Van De Zandschulp Prediction and Odds: ATP Cincinnati

The action continues at the ATP Masters Cincinnati on Tuesday, as the 14 men’s singles matches involve many of the tournament’s top competitors, namely No. 1 seed Daniil Medvedev and No. 3 seed Carlos Alcaraz. 

Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction

When: 2:00 pm ET

Click Here for Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Odds

Pablo Carreno Busta won his seventh but most significant title last week, claiming his first-ever ATP Masters 1000 championship in Montreal. Carreno Busta was impressive in victory, not dropping a set in any of his first four matches, which included wins over Matteo Berrettini and Jannik Sinner. However, while the Spaniard should, in theory, ride that momentum to further success this week, we cannot help but wonder what kind of a toll those matches took on the 31-year-old’s body.

Carreno Busta does not face any old pushover in the first round, as Miomir Kecmanovic is more than capable of an upset. Kecmanovic is 14-6 in 20 hard-court matches this year and has beaten the likes of Berrettini, Cilic, Auger-Aliassime, and Fritz on the surface. 

Carreno Busta is 6-0 in his last six ATP main draw matches and has covered the game spread in his previous eight ATP main draw matches on hard court. However, we expect one of those streaks to end today.

Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Pick

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Daniil Medvedev vs. Botic Van De Zandschulp Prediction

When: 8:30 pm ET

Click Here for Daniil Medvedev vs. Botic Van De Zandschulp Odds

Daniil Medvedev was waiting to face the winner of the Botic Van De Zandschulp/Max Cressy match. Given Van De Zandschulp’s victory, one could easily argue Medvedev got the better of that draw, as Cressy’s unique serve-and-volley style tends to give opponents fits.

Van De Zandschulp will be more than happy to slug away with Medvedev from the baseline, which is not the best strategy against the world’s No. 1 ranked player. And speaking of the world rankings, Medvedev should be motivated in this tournament, as he would lose his No. 1 ranking if Nadal were to win the title and Medvedev did not advance to at least the quarterfinals.

Older opponents like Van De Zandschulp have been no match for Medvedev lately. Medvedev is 8-0 in his last eight matches at Cincinnati against older opponents, covered the game spread in seven of those, and has won the first set in 26 of the previous 27 ATP main draw matches on hard court in such matches. He has an arduous path to get out of his quarter, but we expect him to work quickly through this match.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Botic Van De Zandschulp Pick

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Article Author

NFLNCAABNCAAFTennisMLBNBA

Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest

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