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The action continues at the ATP Masters Cincinnati on Wednesday, as 12 spots in the Round of 16 are up for grabs. Tennis expert Mike Spector explains where the value lies in his top two matches from the Round of 32.
ANALYSIS

Andy Murray vs. Cameron Norrie, John Isner vs. Hubert Hurkacz Prediction and Odds: ATP Cincinnati

The action continues at the ATP Masters Cincinnati on Wednesday, as 12 spots in the Round of 16 are up for grabs. 

Tennis expert Mike Spector explains where the value lies in his top two matches from the Round of 32, including a match between two Brits and an American who will try and ride his powerful serve to a title this week. 

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Andy Murray vs. Cameron Norrie Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: August 17, 2022

Time: 11:00am ET

Where to Watch: Tennis Channel

Click Here for Murray vs Norrie Odds

Andy Murray vs. Cameron Norrie Prediction

Both Andy Murray and Cameron Norrie are coming off tough three-set battles in the opening round and deserved every bit of their day off yesterday. Had this match been played the day directly after their first-round victories, we would favor Norrie much more, as the 26-year-old needs much less time to recover between matches than the 35-year-old Murray.

Murray won the only head-to-head meeting between these two on the outdoor hard courts in Beijing in 2019. That match went to three sets after the two split tiebreakers in the first two sets, and Murray’s craftiness won out in a dominating 6-1 third-set win.

Murray needed a confidence boost after losing in the opening round of his last two tournaments (National Bank Open, Citi Open) and had a three-match losing streak going back to the quarterfinals of the Hall of Fame Open. 

Norrie is 38-18 this year and is on a nine-match winning streak in ATP main draw matches in the United States against older opponents. But Murray has won the first set in four of his last five ATP main draw matches as an underdog, and we expect this one to go the distance. Since we believe the match will go three sets, we are also doubling down with a wager on the over of total games.

Andy Murray vs. Cameron Norrie Picks

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John Isner vs. Hubert Hurkacz Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: August 17, 2022

Time: 12:20pm ET

Where to Watch: Tennis Channel

Click Here for Isner vs Hurkacz Odds

John Isner vs. Hubert Hurkacz Prediction

In matches involving John Isner, especially on hard courts, one has a good idea of precisely what they will see. Isner will hold serve a bunch, will hardly ever break serve, and each set played has a great chance of going to a tiebreak.

Isner has held serve on 89.7% (182-of-203) service games on hard courts but broken his opponent’s serve just 9.2% of the time (19 breaks in 206 service games). He does not figure to get too many looks at break point against Hubert Hurkacz, who rode a dominating serve to a finals appearance in Montreal last week. Hurkacz has won 86.7% of his hard-court service games this year.

Isner is a live underdog at +170 odds, given that he has won both his head-to-head matches against Hurkacz on hard courts in straight sets, with their last meeting coming in this tournament in 2020 (though it was played in New York). However, Hurkacz’s game has evolved greatly in the previous two years, and we expect him to push Isner much more in this match. 

The O/U in their last two matches was 25.5 games, and their matches totaled 22 and 20 games, respectively. However, given Hurkacz’s ability to be more competitive here, we like the over to cash for the first time in their third head-to-head meeting.

John Isner vs. Hubert Hurkacz Pick

Isner-Hurkacz OVER 23.5 Games (-135) (Bet $135 to Win $100)

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Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest

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