Toulouse vs Troyes Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Toulouse vs Troyes prediction, probable lineups, odds and Same Game Parlay picks for Sunday's Ligue 1 game, plus team news and standout odds worth a look.
Grayson Parker - October 25, 2026, 8:28 AM EDT
6 minutesToulouse vs Troyes Game Preview
Competition | Ligue 1 |
|---|---|
Game Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
Game Time | 12:15 PM ET / 9:15 AM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Stadium de Toulouse |
Toulouse are back at the Stadium de Toulouse for the first time in more than a month, hosting Troyes in a Ligue 1 matchup between a side scoring freely and one sinking fast.
Toulouse sit 11th with nine points from seven games, a middling haul, but the attack is what makes them a threat and the Toulouse vs Troyes betting odds reflect that.
Troyes sit 17th in the standings, and the slump runs deep after a 3-1 home loss to Lens that left them stuck on just four points.
History backs the hosts too. Toulouse have not lost to Troyes in 13 meetings in all competitions, and the visitors arrive with a defense that keeps leaking.
Toulouse vs Troyes Recent Results
Toulouse won 3-0 at Le Mans last time out, with Jacen Russell-Rowe, Aron Donnum and Casper Tengstedt all on target. Finishing is the standout strength of this group, and their outings have been wide open, with four straight Ligue 1 games producing more than 2.5 goals.
Troyes were beaten 3-1 at home by Lens last weekend, with Timothe Nkada scoring their goal. Defensively they are leaky, having shipped multiple goals in five straight Ligue 1 outings. They create plenty and take a lot of shots, but finishing remains their weak spot.
Toulouse vs Troyes Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Toulouse: Mathys Niflore (Doubtful), Sion Oppong (Doubtful)
Troyes: Yacouba Koné (Injured/out), Anis Ouzenadji (Injured/out), Yvann Titi (Injured/out), Ismael Boura (Injured/doubtful)
Toulouse
Toulouse get a lift with Rasmus Nicolaisen back in contention after a calf injury, and he slots into the probable back four alongside McKenzie. Mathys Niflore and Sion Oppong are both doubts, but neither features in the probable XI, so the home side of the Toulouse vs Troyes lineups looks settled.
Troyes
Troyes are short on bodies. Yacouba Koné is out with a cruciate ligament injury, Anis Ouzenadji is sidelined with a sprained ankle and isn't expected back until early November, and Yvann Titi remains out with a muscle injury. Ismael Boura is a doubt with a hip problem.
Toulouse vs Troyes Predicted Lineup
Toulouse
Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: G. Restes; C. Tapé, R. Nicolaisen, M. McKenzie, R. Messali; T. Jørgensen, N. Sigur, C. Cásseres, A. Dønnum; C. Tengstedt, J. Russell-Rowe
Troyes
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: P. Beach; P. Gozzi, J. Diaz, A. Monfray, L. Maronnier; A. Mille, D. Karim, M. Diop; T. Nkada, R. Ripart, M. Ifnaoui
Toulouse vs Troyes Key Stats & Game Facts
- Troyes have received 2+ cards in 5 of their last 5 games against Toulouse in Ligue 1.
- Troyes have lost 5 of their last 5 games in Ligue 1.
- Casper Tengstedt has scored in 4 of his last 4 appearances in Ligue 1.
- Cristian Cásseres has made 3+ tackles in 7 of his last 7 appearances in Ligue 1.
- Toulouse have scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 4 games in Ligue 1.
Toulouse vs Troyes Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our prediction is a 2-1 Toulouse win, and this Toulouse vs Troyes prediction rests on the home attack. Toulouse finish their looks well and love to push the play down the right, which is exactly where a Troyes defense that struggles against attacks down the wings gets exposed. The visitors are not toothless, though. They shoot often and get into dangerous spots, so a consolation goal fits the picture, but Toulouse carry a 62% implied probability in our projections for good reason.
Best Picks
Both Teams To Score: Yes. Both sides are expected to find the net in Toulouse vs Troyes. This one lives in the Both Teams To Score market, and our projections put both sides scoring at about 61%. Toulouse have found the net at least three times across their past three meetings with Troyes in all competitions, while a Troyes side built on shot volume and crosses has enough about it to nick one back against a home defense that can be careless.
Player Shots: Thomas Jorgensen Over 1.5 shots. The Toulouse left-sided midfielder should get shooting opportunities as the home favorites press. This pick sits in the Player Shots market. Jørgensen is in the probable XI on the left of the 4-4-2, and with Toulouse on the front foot he should see plenty of the ball in the final third. Our projections rate this line at about 64.5%, above the bookmaker's implied probability, which makes it a price worth taking.
Toulouse vs Troyes Same Game Parlay
Our Toulouse vs Troyes Same Game Parlay picks stack four legs on the home attack: Casper Tengstedt to score, Toulouse over 1.5 goals, Tengstedt over 2.5 shots and Toulouse on the moneyline.
Casper Tengstedt in the Anytime Goalscorer market is the obvious starting point. The striker has scored in 4 of his last 4 Ligue 1 appearances and leads a front line that finishes well.
Over 1.5 in the Total Home Goals market backs a Toulouse side that has found the net twice or more across each of its past four Ligue 1 outings, against a Troyes defense that keeps conceding.
Tengstedt Over 2.5 in the Player Shots market suits his volume. He has attempted 3+ shots in 3 of his last 3 Ligue 1 appearances, and he does not hesitate to pull the trigger.
Toulouse on the Moneyline rounds out the parlay. The hosts have not lost to this opponent in 13 games in all competitions, a trend that lines up with their home form.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Toulouse vs Troyes Talking Points
The headline name is Casper Tengstedt. Signed permanently from Feyenoord in late August, the striker has given Toulouse a reliable finisher, and pairing him with Jacen Russell-Rowe hands Troyes two penalty-box threats to track. The visitors have their own route to goal through set pieces and a steady supply of crosses, and Toulouse can be vulnerable to skillful attackers and individual errors, which is how this gets messy. Our Toulouse vs Troyes best picks lean into that: back the home side's firepower, but do not expect Troyes to go quietly.
Toulouse vs Troyes Predictions FAQs
When is the Toulouse vs Troyes French Ligue 1 game?
The game kicks off at 12:15 PM ET / 9:15 AM PT on Sunday, October 25, 2026, as part of the 2026/2027 Ligue 1 season.
Where is Toulouse vs Troyes being played?
The game is being played at Stadium de Toulouse.
Who is in the probable Toulouse and Troyes lineups?
Toulouse have a probable 4-4-2 shape with G. Restes in goal and J. Russell-Rowe among the forwards. Troyes have a probable 4-3-3 shape with P. Beach in goal and R. Ripart and M. Ifnaoui among the forwards.
Which players are doubtful or injured for Toulouse vs Troyes?
For Toulouse, M. Niflore and S. Oppong are doubtful. For Troyes, Y. Koné, A. Ouzenadji and Y. Titi are injured, and I. Boura is doubtful.
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