Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Game Preview

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille betting odds make the hosts heavy favorites at -300 (Polymarket) for Thursday's Europa League game at the BayArena. Marseille are way out at +850 (Polymarket).

Leverkusen have been perfect in Europe and remain the only side yet to concede in the competition. The Bundesliga is messier, with nine goals shipped across their last three domestic outings.

Marseille arrive as a puzzle. They have been flying domestically, but they are still without a point in Europe and sit 34th in the Europa League standings.

This is the clubs' first competitive European meeting, and their two previous meetings ended one win apiece. For Leverkusen, Thursday is a shot at keeping their perfect European record intact.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Recent Results

Leverkusen's European run has been spotless, capped by a Jonas Hofmann brace against OFI Crete. The Bundesliga is another story, where a 4-2 home loss to VfB Stuttgart exposed a leaky back line. The attack still hums, though, with 15 goals from six competitive outings, and Ibrahim Maza found the net against Stuttgart.

Marseille arrive with a split personality. They have won four straight in Ligue 1, with Amine Gouiri scoring in the latest win over Toulouse. Europe has been a slump, with defeats in every Europa League outing so far, the latest at Sturm Graz, and no goal in their last 241 minutes in the competition.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Bayer Leverkusen: Christian Kofane (Injured/out), Moussa Diaby (Injured/out), Guéla Doué (Injured/out), Loïc Badé (Injured/out), Martin Terrier (Injured/out), Kennet Eichhorn (Injured/out), Eliesse Ben Seghir (Injured/out), Nathan Tella (Injured/out)

Marseille: Derek Cornelius (Injured/out), Emerson (Injured/out), Amine Harit (Injured/doubtful)

Bayer Leverkusen

The Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille lineups start with a long injury list for Carles Martínez, but the probable XI still has punch. Patrik Schick should lead the line after scoring twice in the Europa League this season, and Ibrahim Maza offers a late threat, with four of his last five club goals arriving after the hour mark.

Marseille

Bruno Génésio's main worry is Amine Harit, who is doubtful after being forced off against Toulouse. If he can't go, the probable front three loses its right-sided option next to Amine Gouiri. Gouiri is the man to watch, with two goals and two assists in his last four appearances.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Predicted Lineup

Bayer Leverkusen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Mark Flekken; Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba, Facundo Medina, Miguel Gutiérrez; Aleix García, Equi Fernández; Lucas Vázquez, Ibrahim Maza, Afonso Moreira; Patrik Schick

Marseille

Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Jeffrey de Lange; Timothy Weah, CJ Egan-Riley, Nayef Aguerd, Ulisses Garcia; Himad Abdelli, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Tochukwu Nnadi; Amine Harit (doubtful), Amine Gouiri, Igor Paixão

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Key Stats & Game Facts

• Bayer Leverkusen have had 7+ shots on target in 3 of their last 3 games (Europa League).
• Bayer Leverkusen have had 17+ shots in 3 of their last 3 games (Europa League).
• Bayer Leverkusen have scored 2+ goals in 3 of their last 3 games (Europa League).

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction is a Leverkusen win, and not a tidy one. The hosts lead the competition in expected goals and shots and are unbeaten in their last ten Europa League home games, while Marseille have lost ten of their previous 15 competitive road games. The catch is that Leverkusen's back line has been leaking domestically and Marseille's domestic run shows they can score, so expect the visitors to land a punch before the hosts pull away.

Best Picks

Both Teams To Score: Yes. Marseille's attack has been scoring regularly, and Leverkusen's recent defensive lapses give them a chance to find the net at the BayArena. This one sits in the Both Teams To Score market, and our Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille best picks start here. The projection rates both teams scoring at 60.56%, a touch above the implied probability of the current price, and Marseille have put 13 goals past opponents in their recent half-dozen outings in all competitions.

Over 3.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Leverkusen's attack and the model's projected total both point to a high-scoring game. That's the Total Goals Over/Under market, and the projected total of 3.53 goals backs it up. The hosts' 15-goal haul over that same six-game stretch says the attack is firing, and this line fits neatly with a home win where both teams score, without forcing us to lay a short price.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Same Game Parlay

Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille same game parlay picks stack four legs: Leverkusen on the Moneyline, Patrik Schick as an Anytime Goalscorer, Both Teams To Score and Geoffrey Kondogbia To Be Shown A Card.

Leverkusen on the Moneyline is the anchor. They are perfect in Europe so far, have yet to concede in the competition, and host a Marseille side still searching for a point.

Schick leads the line in the probable XI. His Anytime Goalscorer leg carries an AI probability of 55.44%, and he already has two Europa League goals this season.

Both Teams To Score: Yes leans on Marseille finding a way. Keyliane Abdallah has attempted 3+ shots in 3 of his last 3 appearances (Europa League), and he is their only scorer in the competition.

Kondogbia To Be Shown A Card is the long shot, with an AI probability of 24.27%. He isn't in the probable XI, so this leg depends on him getting minutes.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Talking Points

The market has moved firmly toward Leverkusen since opening, and the projected total has climbed too, a clear sign bettors are bracing for goals. That fits a side leading the Europa League with an expected goals tally of 11. The flip side is defense, and Carles Martínez said this week that fixing it takes a collective effort after the recent domestic leaks. Marseille bring their own baggage on the road, having lost both of their Europa League away games this season.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Predictions FAQs

When is the Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Europa League game?

The game kicks off at 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT on Thursday, November 5, 2026.

Where is Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille being played?

The game is being played at BayArena.

Who is in the probable starting lineup for Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen's probable XI in a 4-2-3-1 formation is Mark Flekken, Miguel Gutiérrez, Facundo Medina, Edmond Tapsoba, Jarell Quansah, Aleix García, Equi Fernández, Afonso Moreira, Ibrahim Maza, Lucas Vázquez and Patrik Schick.

Which Marseille players are injured or doubtful for the Europa League game?

Emerson and Derek Cornelius are injured, while Amine Harit is doubtful.

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