Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Game Preview

Celta Vigo host unbeaten Union St Gilloise at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos on Thursday, and the betting odds for this matchup make the hosts slim +150 (Polymarket) favorites.

Celta sit 25th in the Europa League standings after a slow start, though a win over Celtic in their last European outing finally got them moving. Injuries have stretched the squad thin.

Union sit sixth in the standings and arrive unbeaten in 13 competitive games, with David Hubert's side yet to lose in Europe this season.

The stakes are lopsided. Celta need points to climb out of the bottom half of the standings, while Union want to stay near the top of the 36-team pack.

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Recent Results

Celta finally got off the mark in Europe with a 2-1 win at Celtic, inspired by a Javi Rodríguez brace. Domestic play has gone flat since, capped by a 3-0 loss at Rayo Vallecano in La Liga. The attack has sputtered, and Hugo Álvarez is carrying more of the load than he should.

Union's run is built on road results, with five straight away wins across all competitions. They hammered Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4-0 in their last European outing, Guilherme Smith grabbing a brace, and Kevin Rodríguez and Relebohile Mofokeng give them a genuine strike partnership up top.

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Celta Vigo: Miguel Román (Injured/out), Borja Iglesias (Injured/out), Hugo González (Injured/out), Álvaro Núñez (Injured/out), Carl Starfelt (Injured/out), Jones El Abdellaoui (Injured/out)

Union St Gilloise: Kevin Mac Allister (Injured/out), Rob Schoofs (Injured/out), Ondrej Kricfalusi (Injured/out), Mateo Biondic (Injured/out), Ilan Hurtevent (Injured/out)

Celta Vigo

Injuries are shaping both lineups in this matchup, and Claudio Giráldez has it worst, with Hugo González the latest casualty after his setback at the weekend. Ionuț Radu keeps his spot in goal behind a back three. Up top, Iago Aspas and Ferran Jutglà join Hugo Álvarez, who is the man to watch here, with each of his last 11 competitive goals arriving at home.

Union St Gilloise

David Hubert is without five injured players and has barely blinked. Kamiel Van de Perre anchors the midfield, Nohim Chibani holds down a spot in the back three, and Guilherme Smith is the danger from the left side, with each of his previous nine goals coming after halftime.

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Predicted Lineup

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Ionuț Radu; Marcos Alonso, Sebastián Cáceres, Javi Rodríguez; Sergio Carreira, Hugo Burcio, Aleix Febas, Javi Rueda; Hugo Álvarez, Ferran Jutglà, Iago Aspas

Union St Gilloise

Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Hervé Koffi; Nikki Havenaar, Massiré Sylla, Nohim Chibani; Guilherme Smith, Besfort Zeneli, Kamiel Van de Perre, Darius Olaru, Louis Patris; Relebohile Mofokeng, Kevin Rodríguez

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Key Stats & Game Facts

• There have been 29+ shots taken in 3 of Celta Vigo's last 3 Europa League games.
• Union St Gilloise have had 5+ shots on target in 3 of their last 3 Europa League games.
• Williot Swedberg has been carded in 2 of his last 3 Europa League appearances.
• Louis Patris has made 3+ tackles in 3 of his last 3 Europa League appearances.

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise prediction is a Celta win in a wide-open game where both teams score. Union bring the hotter form, but the projection gives the hosts the narrowest of edges, putting Celta on 1.75 goals against Union's 1.69. Celta keep generating volume going forward, Union's goals tend to show up late, and a busy back-and-forth at Balaídos suits the home front three just enough.

Best Picks

Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects a high-scoring game. The Total Goals Over/Under market is where this game offers real value, with the projection landing on 3.43 total goals. The over carries a 66.7% implied probability on that view, comfortably above what the price suggests, and neither defense has looked airtight lately.

Both teams to score: Yes, in the Both Teams To Score market. In the Both Teams To Score market, Yes gets a 67.3% implied probability from the projection, clear of the market's own read. Union have scored in all three Europa League games this season, and a leaky Celta back line is not the group to end that streak.

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Same Game Parlay

Our same game parlay picks for Thursday's showdown at Balaídos stack four legs: Celta on the Moneyline, Ferran Jutglà to score anytime, both teams to score and Ross Sykes to be carded.

Celta on the Moneyline at +150 (Polymarket) anchors the parlay. The hosts carry a 40% probability rating, the highest of the three outcomes, and home comfort tilts a tight game their way.

Ferran Jutglà in the Anytime Goalscorer market leads the line with Borja Iglesias sidelined. He carries a 36.57% probability rating to score, and he will see plenty of the ball.

Both Teams To Score: Yes fits the open script. Union have had 16+ shots in 3 of their last 3 Europa League games, and Celta's back line has been too generous to keep them out.

Ross Sykes in the To Be Shown A Card market adds the discipline angle. Union have received 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Europa League games, and this one projects messy.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Talking Points

Claudio Giráldez wants back-to-back Europa League wins after the victory in Glasgow, but this is a far tougher assignment against a Union side still unbeaten in Europe under David Hubert. The real danger for Celta is the clock. The second half has been the highest-scoring period in each of Union's last five competitive games, so a lead at the break proves nothing. If Celta keep pouring forward, this one stays messy until the final whistle.

Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise Predictions FAQs

What time does Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise kick off?

The Europa League game kicks off at 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT on Thursday, November 5, 2026.

Where is Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise being played?

The game is being played at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.

What formations are expected for Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise?

Celta Vigo are predicted to line up in a 3-4-3 formation, while Union St Gilloise are predicted to line up in a 3-5-2 formation.

Which betting markets have odds listed for Celta Vigo vs Union St Gilloise?

Odds are listed for the Moneyline, Total Goals Over/Under and Both Teams To Score markets.

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