AC Milan vs Inter Milan Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
AC Milan vs Inter Milan prediction, probable lineups, team news, odds and Same Game Parlay picks for this Milan derby. Get betting angles before kickoff.
Jade Griffiths - October 31, 2026, 11:55 AM EDT
7 minutesAC Milan vs Inter Milan Game Preview
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Game Date | Saturday, October 31, 2026 |
Game Time | 3:45 PM ET / 12:45 PM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Milan, Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
AC Milan vs Inter Milan betting odds have Inter Milan as +110 (Polymarket) favorites for the Milan derby at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The hosts sit at +275 (TonyBet).
AC Milan sit fifth in the Serie A standings after blowing a lead in a 4-2 loss to Bologna, the first league defeat under Rúben Amorim. Protecting leads remains their soft spot.
Inter Milan share top spot with Lazio on 25 points. They have also gone 19 Serie A games without a loss, and they face this one without the injured Lautaro Martínez.
Something has to give. AC Milan are undefeated in their last 8 games against Inter in all competitions, a derby edge the standings flatly contradict.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Recent Results
AC Milan's attack has carried them, scoring at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 games in Serie A. Adrien Rabiot is the hot hand, with goals in 3 straight Serie A appearances, and he's back in the attacking trio. The real question is whether the defense can hold up its end against a stronger opponent.
Inter Milan sit on top for a reason, and they finish games strongly: they were level at halftime and won at full time in 5 of their last 7 games in Serie A. Marcus Thuram is the engine up front, with a goal or assist in 6 of his previous 7 appearances in Serie A, and Francesco Pio Esposito is tipped to partner him.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
AC Milan: Alexis Saelemaekers (Injured/out), Pietro Terracciano (Injured/out), Matteo Gabbia (Injured/out), Samuel Chukwueze (Injured/out), Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Injured/out), Fikayo Tomori (Injured/doubtful)
Inter Milan: Lautaro Martínez (Injured/out), Luis Henrique (Injured/out), Benjamin Pavard (Injured/out), John Stones (Injured/doubtful), Curtis Jones (Injured/doubtful)
AC Milan
On the home side, AC Milan vs Inter Milan lineups get a boost, with three players back for the derby. Mario Gila returns at right back next to De Winter and Pavlović in the middle, while Estupiñán and Davide Bartesaghi are in a toss-up on the left. Rabiot and Diego Moreira also return to the attacking trio alongside Christian Pulisic, behind lone striker Gonçalo Ramos. Fikayo Tomori faces a late fitness test.
Inter Milan
Chivu is set to make several changes from the Venezia game while sticking with his usual 3-5-2. Josep Martínez returns in goal with Provedel dropping to the bench, and Carlos Augusto holds the edge over Federico Dimarco on the left flank. Thuram and Esposito lead the line, with Bonny ready off the bench. Lautaro Martínez, Luis Henrique and Benjamin Pavard are out, while John Stones and Curtis Jones are doubtful.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Predicted Lineup
AC Milan
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Mike Maignan; Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlović, Davide Bartesaghi; Yunus Musah, Luka Modrić; Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic, Diego Moreira; Gonçalo Ramos
Inter Milan
Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Josep Martínez; Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni; Andy Diouf, Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Carlos Augusto; Marcus Thuram, Francesco Pio Esposito
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Key Stats & Game Facts
- Inter have received 2+ cards in 8 of their last 9 games vs AC Milan (Serie A).
- AC Milan have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 4 home games against Inter in all competitions.
- There have been 28+ shots taken in 8 of Inter's last 8 games (Serie A).
- Marcus Thuram has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 5 appearances vs AC Milan (Serie A).
- Inter have had 6+ corners in 4 of their last 4 games vs AC Milan (Serie A).
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our prediction is an Inter Milan win. This AC Milan vs Inter Milan prediction hinges on the gap between these attacks: Inter are elite at attacking down the wings and from set pieces, while AC Milan's weak spot is hanging on once they get in front. The hosts' derby record is real, but it does not cover for a defense facing the hottest attack in the league. The projection puts Inter's win probability at more than double AC Milan's, and +110 (Polymarket) on Inter is a fair price for the better team.
Best Picks
Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Both sides have scored regularly, and the model projects a high-scoring derby. Book this one in the Total Goals Over/Under market as the first of our AC Milan vs Inter Milan best picks. The projection lands at 3.38 total goals for the derby. Seven of the previous 10 Serie A meetings have also seen both teams score, and Inter's back line rates poorly at limiting what opponents create.
Inter Milan to win on the Moneyline. The model rates them clear favorites in the derby. This is a straight Moneyline play, and it is the cleanest read on the board. Inter carry a 52.4% win probability in the projection, comfortably above what their price implies. AC Milan sit at 26%, and getting the better team at a plus price in a derby is a spot worth taking.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Same Game Parlay
Our AC Milan vs Inter Milan same game parlay picks stack four legs on the Inter attack: Inter Over 1.5 goals, two Marcus Thuram player props and Inter on the Moneyline.
Inter Over 1.5 in the Total Away Goals market. Inter have scored 2+ goals in 7 consecutive Serie A games, and nothing about this AC Milan back line suggests that run stops here.
Marcus Thuram Over 0.5 in the Player Shots On Target market. He has landed at least one shot on target in seven straight Serie A appearances, and with Lautaro Martínez out, the volume runs through him.
Marcus Thuram Over 1.5 in the Player Shots market. Thuram has attempted at least two shots in every one of his previous 8 appearances in Serie A, a floor he keeps clearing as Inter's focal point.
Inter Milan on the Moneyline. Inter haven't lost any of their previous 19 outings in Serie A, and this leg ties the parlay to one coherent story: the Inter attack does the damage.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Talking Points
The derby arrives with both clubs also looking ahead. This week, AC Milan and Inter unveiled joint plans for the Generali Stadium, a shared venue set to replace the San Siro for the 2031/32 season. Closer to kickoff, Rúben Amorim admitted his side lost structural composure and positional discipline against Bologna and called for a full game of consistency against Inter. Cristian Chivu, meanwhile, has asked Inter for a pragmatic, "provincial" defensive mindset built on compactness and depth control to contain AC Milan's speed in transition. That is a telling choice from the league leaders, and it suggests Inter are happy to keep things compact and let Thuram and their wide players do the damage.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Predictions FAQs
When is the AC Milan vs Inter Milan Serie A game?
The game is on Saturday, October 31, 2026, with kickoff at 3:45 PM ET / 12:45 PM PT.
Where is AC Milan vs Inter Milan being played?
The game is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan.
Which Inter Milan players are injured or doubtful for the game?
Lautaro Martínez, Luis Henrique and Benjamin Pavard are injured, while John Stones and Curtis Jones are doubtful.
What formations are expected for AC Milan and Inter Milan?
AC Milan are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation and Inter Milan in a 3-5-2 formation.
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