Valencia vs Real Madrid Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Valencia vs Real Madrid Game Preview

Real Madrid roll into Mestalla on Saturday as heavy favorites, and the Valencia vs Real Madrid betting odds leave little doubt about which side the market trusts.

Valencia sit 19th in the standings and are still hunting their first home league win of the campaign. Umar Sadiq's second-half winner at Elche finally gave them something to build on.

Real Madrid arrive on a four-game league winning streak that included a statement victory at Barcelona. They are chasing the leaders, and the attack is humming.

The head-to-head tilts toward the visitors as well. Real Madrid have won four of the last six meetings, with Valencia taking one and the other ending in a tie.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Recent Results

Valencia have won only two of their last 10 games against all opponents, and their spot near the bottom of the standings makes sense. The win at Elche, courtesy of Sadiq's second-half strike, snapped a four-game league winless run. Finishing is still the problem, so their counter attacks have to bite if they are going to trouble anyone.

Real Madrid have won nine of their last 10 games against all opponents. Kylian Mbappé, Jude Bellingham and Yan Diomande all scored in the first half against Racing last time out. They have also been winning at both halftime and full time in 5 of their last 7 LaLiga games, so they rarely leave it late.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Valencia: Sergi Canós (Injured/out), David Otorbi (Injured/out), Diego López (Injured/out), Copete (Injured/doubtful)

Real Madrid: Rodrygo (Injured/out), Raúl Asencio (Injured/out), Vinícius Jr. (Suspended)

Valencia

Sergi Canós and Diego López are both recovering from ACL injuries and aren't expected back until December. A hamstring injury keeps David Otorbi out until early December. Copete is still a doubt as he works back from a meniscus injury. The good news is that Umar Sadiq is over his hamstring problem and Harvey Elliott returns after serving his suspension. Dimitri Foulquier trained apart from the group on Thursday but is available.

Real Madrid

Vinícius Jr. serves the final game of his suspension, which is the big talking point around the Valencia vs Real Madrid lineups. Rodrygo is still sidelined with a cruciate ligament and meniscus injury, and Raúl Asencio is recovering from tibia surgery. Federico Valverde is back in contention after a hamstring problem and Ferland Mendy is fit. Aurélien Tchouaméni trained apart from the group this week but is expected to be available.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Predicted Lineup

Valencia

Formation: 4-1-4-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Stole Dimitrievski; José Gayà, Pepelu, César Tárrega, Arnau Martínez, Guido Rodríguez, Luis Rioja, Javi Guerra, Aarón Mayol, Pablo Maffeo, Umar Sadiq (probable)

Real Madrid

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Thibaut Courtois; Federico Valverde, Ibrahima Konaté, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella; Aurélien Tchouaméni, Bernardo Silva; Arda Güler, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande; Kylian Mbappé (probable)

Valencia vs Real Madrid Key Stats & Game Facts

• Real Madrid have had 5+ shots on target in 10 out of 10 LaLiga games against Valencia.
• There have been 26+ shots taken in 10 of Real Madrid's last 10 LaLiga games.
• Kylian Mbappé has scored in 3 of his last 3 LaLiga appearances.
• Pablo Maffeo has been carded in 3 of his last 3 LaLiga appearances against Real Madrid.
• Jude Bellingham has won 2+ fouls in 9 of his last 10 LaLiga appearances.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction is a 3-1 Real Madrid win. Madrid are elite at creating scoring opportunities and at hitting teams on the counter, and Valencia rank poorly at defending exactly that. Mbappé leads a front line that keeps producing, so the hosts will spend most of the afternoon chasing. Valencia's width down the right should get them on the scoresheet, but Madrid simply carry too much firepower. Valencia at +1200 (Polymarket) are a long shot for good reason.

Best Picks

Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Real Madrid are projected to score freely at Mestalla. This Total Goals Over/Under pick follows the scoreline we expect, with Madrid doing most of the damage. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of Real Madrid's last 7 LaLiga games. They have also scored at least twice in 5 of their last 6 against Valencia in all competitions.

Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Valencia are expected to score at home against an open Real Madrid side. Our numbers put Both Teams To Score at a 57.25% implied probability, which is higher than the price suggests. Valencia like to play with width down the right, and Madrid's defense is vulnerable to attacks down the wings. Add Valencia's threat on the counter and one home goal looks realistic.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Same Game Parlay

Our Valencia vs Real Madrid Same Game Parlay picks are built around Kylian Mbappé's shooting and scoring, a Dean Huijsen card and Real Madrid piling on the goals.

Kylian Mbappé Over 3.5 in the Player Shots market: he has attempted 4+ shots in 7 of his last 10 LaLiga outings, and everything Madrid do runs through him.

Kylian Mbappé in the Anytime Goalscorer market: his last 3 LaLiga outings against Valencia all produced 2+ shots on target, and Vinícius Jr.'s absence pushes even more through him.

Dean Huijsen in the To Be Shown A Card market: three of his last 4 LaLiga appearances have earned the center back a card, and Valencia's counter attacks will test him in space.

Real Madrid Over 2.5 in the Total Away Goals market: they have scored at least twice in each of their last 3 LaLiga games, and our projected scoreline gives them a third.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Talking Points

Fatigue is the obvious storyline. Real Madrid got back to Madrid at 3:00 AM after the trip to Greece, and José Mourinho went with recovery sessions at Valdebebas rather than handing out days off. Mourinho called Mestalla one of the toughest away games of the league campaign and said his side must start games stronger defensively. That tells you he knows this team gives up too many looks. Vinícius Jr. sits out the last game of his suspension, and Mourinho made a point of saying the team's tactical balance matters more than any one player's quality. Javier Aguirre, appointed in late September, needs a loud home crowd and a direct counter-attacking plan to make this messy.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Predictions FAQs

When is the Valencia vs Real Madrid game?

The game is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT.

Where is Valencia vs Real Madrid being played?

The game is being played at Mestalla in Valencia.

Which team is the favorite to win Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid are the favorite, with a 70.08% win probability against 13.01% for Valencia and 16.91% for a tie.

Who is injured or suspended for Valencia and Real Madrid?

For Valencia, Sergi Canós, David Otorbi and Diego López are injured and Copete is doubtful. For Real Madrid, Rodrygo and Raúl Asencio are injured and Vinícius Jr. is suspended.

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