British Politics Betting Odds

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has staged a dramatic prediction-market comeback in Brazil’s presidential runoff after entering Election Day as a substantial underdog to Flávio Bolsonaro. Lula had been the clear market leader during the summer before losing that advantage entirely, while Bolsonaro surged following his first-place finish in the October 4 first round. Here are the latest Brazil presidential election odds as the runoff vote is counted.

Maine’s Senate race has tightened into one of the most competitive contests of the 2026 midterms, with Democratic challenger Troy Jackson holding a narrow polling advantage over longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins. Prediction markets have moved back and forth throughout the year, but Jackson remains ahead with Election Day only weeks away. Here are the latest Maine Senate odds and what is shaping the race.

James Talarico has returned to the Texas Senate campaign trail after a nine-day absence that his campaign attributed to the flu, ending a stretch that fueled speculation about his whereabouts. The episode did not coincide with an obvious collapse in either public polling or the prediction-market snapshot, where Talarico is priced well ahead of Republican Ken Paxton with only a few weeks remaining before Election Day. Here is the latest on the Texas Senate race and the movement in prediction markets.

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