World Politics Betting Odds

Gadi Eisenkot enters Israel’s October 27 election as the longstanding prediction-market leader after spending most of the summer and fall ahead of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Unlike the dramatic reversals that defined Brazil’s presidential market, Israel’s odds have remained comparatively stable as Election Day approached. Can Eisenkot convert that persistent market advantage into enough coalition support to become Israel’s next prime minister?

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Anthropic has taken another major step toward one of the most anticipated public offerings in technology after making its Form S-1 registration statement public Monday morning. Prediction markets now place a 90% chance on the company formally confirming its IPO before December 1, while the much lower November 16 price points toward a relatively narrow window later in the month. Here are the latest Anthropic IPO odds and what Monday’s filing means for the potential timeline.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has staged a dramatic prediction-market comeback in Brazil’s presidential runoff after entering Election Day as a substantial underdog to Flávio Bolsonaro. Lula had been the clear market leader during the summer before losing that advantage entirely, while Bolsonaro surged following his first-place finish in the October 4 first round. Here are the latest Brazil presidential election odds as the runoff vote is counted.

Maine’s Senate race has tightened into one of the most competitive contests of the 2026 midterms, with Democratic challenger Troy Jackson holding a narrow polling advantage over longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins. Prediction markets have moved back and forth throughout the year, but Jackson remains ahead with Election Day only weeks away. Here are the latest Maine Senate odds and what is shaping the race.