Auburn vs. Ole Miss Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest CFB Odds for Saturday, October 31st
Auburn travels to Oxford for a Saturday afternoon SEC rivalry matchup against No. 12 Ole Miss, with both programs looking to recover from disappointing losses. Can Byrum Brown and the Tigers exploit the Rebels' recent defensive struggles against Trinidad Chambliss and an Ole Miss offense dealing with a significant backfield injury? Check out this Auburn vs. Ole Miss prediction and best bet for Saturday, October 31.
Peter Alexis - October 31, 2026, 10:45 AM EDT
5 Minute ReadAuburn vs. Ole Miss Prediction: Can Trinidad Chambliss, Rebels Bounce Back Against Inconsistent Tigers?
Auburn (4-3, 2-3 SEC) visits No. 12 Ole Miss (5-2, 3-2 SEC) at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday, October 31, with kickoff scheduled for 12:45 PM ET on SEC Network. The Tigers are coming off a 38-17 home defeat against LSU, while the Rebels suffered a 34-27 loss at Texas after overcoming a 21-point halftime deficit.
Ole Miss enters as a substantial home favorite but faces an Auburn team that recently defeated No. 1 Georgia on the road. The Rebels also must adjust to the loss of star running back Kewan Lacy, creating an intriguing matchup between two SEC programs attempting to maintain momentum entering the final month of the regular season.
Auburn vs. Ole Miss Recent Results
Auburn Tigers (4-3), (2-3 SEC)
Auburn suffered its third defeat of the season with a 38-17 home loss against No. 18 LSU last Saturday. The Tigers struggled to contain quarterback Sam Leavitt, who threw for 387 yards and three touchdowns while adding 54 rushing yards and another score.
Quarterback Byrum Brown completed 15 of 24 passes for 160 yards without a turnover but faced constant pressure throughout the afternoon. LSU recorded seven sacks and 12 tackles for loss, limiting Auburn to just 67 rushing yards on 35 attempts while building a 31-10 halftime advantage.
The Tigers previously delivered one of the biggest upsets of the season, defeating No. 1 Georgia 27-24 in Athens on October 17. Brown rushed for 115 yards and threw for another 150, helping Auburn generate 192 rushing yards against one of the SEC's strongest defensive programs.
Auburn also earned victories over Baylor, Southern Miss and Vanderbilt earlier in the season. The Tigers average 25.4 points and 376.6 total yards per game, while their defense allows 24.1 points and 396.9 yards, highlighting an inconsistent but dangerous team under first-year head coach Alex Golesh.
Ole Miss Rebels (5-2), (3-2 SEC)
Ole Miss suffered its second defeat of the season with a 34-27 road loss against No. 19 Texas last Saturday. The Rebels trailed 24-3 at halftime before scoring 21 consecutive points to tie the game early in the fourth quarter, but Texas responded with 10 points to regain control.
Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss completed 25 of 52 passes for 250 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Horatio Fields caught both touchdown passes, while Deuce Alexander led the receiving corps with eight receptions for 87 yards as Ole Miss generated 363 total yards.
The Rebels previously dominated No. 13 Missouri in a 31-3 home victory on October 17. Chambliss threw for 241 yards and three touchdowns while adding a rushing score, and Ole Miss generated 498 total yards, including 257 rushing yards. The defense limited Missouri to just 39 rushing yards despite allowing 339 through the air.
Ole Miss enters Saturday with a productive passing attack led by Chambliss, who has accumulated 1,926 passing yards and 16 touchdowns this season. Alexander leads the receiving corps with five touchdowns, while the Rebels' defense has demonstrated impressive individual performances despite allowing Texas to generate 419 total yards last weekend.
Auburn vs. Ole Miss Head to Head
Auburn leads the all-time series 35-13 on the field, although Ole Miss has won the last two meetings.
- October 21, 2023: Ole Miss 28, Auburn 21
- October 15, 2022: Ole Miss 48, Auburn 34
- October 30, 2021: Auburn 31, Ole Miss 20
- October 24, 2020: Auburn 35, Ole Miss 28
- November 2, 2019: Auburn 20, Ole Miss 14
Ole Miss defeated Auburn 28-21 in the programs' most recent meeting during the 2023 season, securing its second consecutive victory in the rivalry. The Rebels also won a 48-34 shootout in Oxford in 2022, overcoming substantial rushing production from the Tigers.
Auburn previously controlled the series, winning six consecutive meetings before Ole Miss' victories in 2022 and 2023. However, both programs enter Saturday with different head coaches and quarterbacks, making current offensive performance and defensive matchups more important than historical trends.
Auburn vs. Ole Miss Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, October 31st, 2026
- Time: 12:45 PM ET
- Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi
- How to Watch: SEC Network
Auburn vs. Ole Miss Odds
- Spread: Auburn +13.5 (-110), Ole Miss -13.5 (+100)
- Total Points: Over 57.5 (-105), Under 57.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Auburn (+400), Ole Miss (-490)
Click here for the latest Auburn vs. Ole Miss Odds
Auburn vs. Ole Miss Line Movement and Betting Splits
Ole Miss opened as approximately a 10.5-point favorite before the market moved toward the Rebels. The supplied sportsbook now lists Ole Miss at -13.5, representing three points of movement toward the home favorite despite Auburn's recent road victory over Georgia.
The total has also climbed from an opening number around 53.5 to 57.5 points. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to generate explosive offensive production, while recent defensive performances have raised questions about whether either side can consistently prevent opposing scoring drives.
One tracked betting sample shows Ole Miss attracting 57% of spread tickets but just 3% of the handle, compared with Auburn receiving 43% of bets and 97% of the money. The moneyline distribution is similarly divided, with Auburn accounting for 13% of tickets but 84% of the handle. Those extreme discrepancies suggest larger average wagers on Auburn in that sample, although they do not independently establish the quality of those bets.
Auburn Tigers Injury Report and Team News
Auburn has experienced offensive inconsistency throughout the season, with protection issues becoming especially apparent against LSU. The Tigers surrendered seven sacks and managed only 67 rushing yards, placing substantial pressure on Brown to create production outside the structure of the offense.
Brown remains Auburn's most important offensive player, leading the team with 480 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns while throwing for 1,365 yards and eight scores. Keshaun Singleton leads the receiving corps with 36 receptions for 431 yards, giving Brown a reliable target against an Ole Miss secondary that recently surrendered several explosive plays.
Defensively, linebacker Elijah Melendez leads Auburn with 57 tackles and four sacks, while Kaleb Harris recorded nine tackles against LSU. The Tigers will rely heavily on their defensive front to disrupt Chambliss and limit an Ole Miss rushing attack adjusting to the absence of its leading back.
Ole Miss Rebels Injury Report and Team News
- Kewan Lacy (RB): Out, Shoulder
Ole Miss will be without Lacy after the standout running back dislocated his shoulder against Texas. Lacy has rushed for 388 yards and five touchdowns this season after producing 1,567 yards and 24 touchdowns in 2025, making his absence a substantial setback for the Rebels' offensive balance.
Makhi Frazier is expected to receive additional opportunities, with Shakai Mills-Knight and JT Lindsey also available to contribute to the backfield rotation. Frazier rushed for 47 yards against Texas, but replacing Lacy's production and red-zone reliability will require a collective effort.
Chambliss remains the focal point of the offense, with Alexander, Fields and Caleb Odom providing multiple receiving options. However, the loss of Lacy could increase the pressure on Chambliss to generate explosive passing plays against an Auburn defense capable of creating negative plays.
Auburn vs. Ole Miss Prediction
Ole Miss deserves to be favored at home, but the 13.5-point spread creates an opportunity to back an Auburn team that has already demonstrated its ability to compete against elite SEC opponents.
The most important consideration is Auburn's recent victory over Georgia. The Tigers defeated the nation's top-ranked team 27-24 in Athens, generating 192 rushing yards while Brown contributed 265 yards of total offense. That performance demonstrated Auburn's ability to execute offensively against strong competition when its offensive line establishes rhythm and Brown has opportunities to create plays with his legs.
Brown's rushing ability presents a particularly interesting matchup against Ole Miss. The Rebels allowed Texas to generate 207 rushing yards last weekend, including 157 from Raleek Brown. Auburn's quarterback provides a different rushing threat, using designed runs and scrambles to extend possessions and attack defensive gaps.
The Tigers' offensive line must improve substantially after struggling against LSU. However, the ability to establish the run against Georgia suggests the performance was not representative of Auburn's full offensive potential. Avoiding obvious passing situations will be critical against an Ole Miss front capable of generating pressure through multiple defensive packages.
Ole Miss also enters with a significant offensive adjustment after losing Lacy. The Rebels have relied on his physical running style and red-zone production, and his absence could make the offense more dependent on Chambliss. Auburn will have opportunities to prioritize containing explosive passing plays without having to devote the same defensive resources to an established lead running back.
Chambliss remains dangerous, especially with Alexander and Fields providing multiple downfield threats. However, the quarterback threw three interceptions against Texas and completed fewer than half his attempts. Auburn's defense must capitalize on similar mistakes and prevent Ole Miss from generating the quick scoring possessions that could create separation.
The Rebels' recent defensive performances also suggest vulnerability. Texas accumulated 419 total yards and scored 34 points, while Ole Miss has struggled to consistently contain mobile quarterbacks. Auburn does not need to match Ole Miss's offensive production possession for possession, but Brown's ability to extend drives could help the Tigers control the tempo.
Another consideration is the emotional and physical situation for both programs. Ole Miss enters following a difficult road loss that further complicated its SEC championship hopes, while Auburn must recover from a disappointing home defeat against LSU. However, the Tigers have already demonstrated resilience after previous losses, and the opportunity to face another ranked SEC opponent should provide substantial motivation.
FairPlay AI projects Ole Miss as a 10-point favorite with a 78% win probability, compared with the sportsbook offering Auburn +13.5. That represents approximately 3.5 points of projected spread value on the Tigers, even though the model strongly favors Ole Miss to win outright. FairPlay AI also projects 58 total points against the market of 57.5, suggesting a scoring environment that could provide Auburn opportunities to generate enough offense to remain competitive.
The biggest concern for Auburn is its inconsistent offensive line, particularly after LSU dominated the line of scrimmage. However, the Tigers' ability to defeat Georgia on the road and the loss of Ole Miss' leading running back create meaningful reasons to expect a closer matchup than the current spread suggests.
Auburn vs. Ole Miss Best Bet
- Best Bet: Auburn +13.5 (-110) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Auburn enters with a dual-threat quarterback capable of challenging an Ole Miss defense that struggled against Texas' rushing attack last weekend. Brown's mobility provides the Tigers with an important offensive weapon, while the Rebels must adjust to the absence of Lacy, potentially reducing their ability to control possession and establish offensive balance.
Ole Miss remains the stronger team and should benefit from playing in Oxford, but Auburn has already demonstrated its ability to compete against elite opponents with its victory over Georgia. Getting 13.5 points provides substantial protection against a competitive road defeat, making the Tigers an appealing underdog despite their recent struggles.
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