Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest CFB Odds for Tuesday, November 10th

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Prediction: Can Bobcats Edge Out RedHawks in Highly-Anticipated MAC Rivalry Showdown?

Ohio (7-2, 5-0 MAC) visits Miami (OH) (5-4, 3-2 MAC) at Fred C. Yager Stadium on Tuesday, November 10, with kickoff scheduled for 8 PM ET on ESPN2. The Bobcats enter riding a six-game winning streak following a 28-20 road victory over Akron, while the RedHawks suffered a dramatic 34-31 overtime defeat against Buffalo.

Ohio leads the MAC standings behind a productive rushing attack and an offense averaging nearly 30 points per game. Miami has remained competitive despite significant quarterback injuries, and the RedHawks' recent offensive improvement creates an intriguing matchup with the total set at 47.5 points.

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Recent Results

Ohio Bobcats (7-2), (5-0 MAC)

Ohio extended its winning streak to six games with a 28-20 road victory over Akron on November 3. The Bobcats trailed 17-14 during the fourth quarter before scoring two touchdowns in a span of just 14 seconds, overcoming an inconsistent offensive performance to remain undefeated in conference play.

Quarterback Nick Poulos completed 12 of 20 passes for 197 yards and a touchdown without an interception while adding 45 rushing yards and another score. Running back Duncan Brune delivered an explosive performance with 111 rushing yards and a touchdown on just 10 carries.

Receiver Dom Dorwart caught four passes for 108 yards and a touchdown, continuing his emergence as an important offensive contributor. Defensively, linebacker Michael Molnar recorded 16 tackles, helping the Bobcats survive a competitive performance from an Akron team that entered with just one victory.

Ohio previously defeated Eastern Michigan 24-20 on October 24, surviving a late goal-line opportunity to preserve the victory. The Bobcats also dominated Sacramento State 48-7 on October 17, generating 468 total yards and five rushing touchdowns.

The Bobcats enter Tuesday averaging 29.4 points and 368.1 total yards per game, including 188.9 rushing yards. The defense allows 21.7 points and 339.2 yards per contest, while Ohio converts 47.7% of its third-down opportunities.

Miami (OH) RedHawks (5-4), (3-2 MAC)

Miami suffered a disappointing 34-31 overtime defeat against Buffalo on November 3 after surrendering a 15-point fourth-quarter advantage. The RedHawks led 31-16 before allowing two late touchdowns and a two-point conversion, eventually losing when kicker Kellan McLaughlin missed a 45-yard field goal attempt in overtime.

Quarterback Caleb Heavner completed 12 of 23 passes for 154 yards and a touchdown without an interception. Running back D'Shawntae Jones rushed for 112 yards on 17 carries, while receiver Braylon Isom caught seven passes for 89 yards and a touchdown.

Miami generated 350 total yards and 23 first downs against Buffalo, demonstrating greater offensive balance than it had shown earlier in the season. However, the defense allowed 459 total yards, including 358 passing yards and several important fourth-quarter completions that helped Buffalo complete the comeback.

The RedHawks previously secured a narrow 28-27 road victory over Central Michigan on October 24. Heavner threw for 221 yards and contributed 58 rushing yards, helping Miami overcome another competitive conference opponent through its offensive versatility.

Miami also defeated Akron 34-14 and UMass 20-19 earlier in October, demonstrating an ability to win close games despite inconsistent passing production. The RedHawks enter Tuesday averaging 27.4 points and 357.2 total yards per contest.

Defensively, Miami allows 26.7 points and 377.2 yards per game, including 279.7 passing yards. The RedHawks have been considerably stronger against the run, surrendering just 97.6 rushing yards per contest.

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Head to Head

Miami leads the all-time series 56-44-2, although Ohio has won the last two meetings, including the 2024 MAC Championship Game.

• November 4, 2025: Ohio 24, Miami (OH) 20
• December 7, 2024: Ohio 38, Miami (OH) 3 (MAC Championship)
• October 19, 2024: Miami (OH) 30, Ohio 20
• October 28, 2023: Miami (OH) 30, Ohio 16
• November 8, 2022: Ohio 37, Miami (OH) 21

Ohio defeated Miami 24-20 last season, extending its recent success after dominating the RedHawks 38-3 in the 2024 MAC Championship Game. Miami won the previous regular-season meeting 30-20 in Oxford, demonstrating its ability to challenge the Bobcats at home.

The rivalry has produced several competitive, relatively high-scoring meetings, including a 37-21 Ohio victory in 2022 and a 35-33 Bobcats victory in 2021. Tuesday marks the 103rd meeting between the programs, with significant MAC championship implications for both teams.

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Date, Time, Where to Watch

• Date: Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
• Time: 8 PM ET
• Location: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Oxford, Ohio
• How to Watch: ESPN2

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Odds

• Spread: Ohio -1 (-110), Miami (OH) +1 (-110)
• Total Points: Over 47.5 (-110), Under 47.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Ohio (-108), Miami (OH) (-105)

Click here for the latest Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Odds

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Line Movement and Betting Splits

The spread has varied across sportsbooks, with some markets listing Miami as a narrow 1.5-point favorite while the supplied sportsbook favors Ohio by one point. That difference reflects how closely the teams are rated despite Ohio's superior conference record and six-game winning streak.

The total opened around 48.5 points in several markets before declining toward 47.5. Miami's strong rushing defense and Ohio's ability to control possession have contributed to expectations for a relatively modest scoring environment, although both teams have demonstrated recent offensive improvement.

Ohio enters with a 4-5 record against the spread, matching Miami's 4-5 mark. Reliable consensus ticket and handle percentages have not established a clear directional advantage. However, the current 47.5-point total creates an interesting opportunity given Miami's recent 65-point matchup against Buffalo and Ohio's ability to generate explosive rushing plays.

Ohio Bobcats Injury Report and Team News

Ohio has dealt with previous receiving injuries involving Rashad Perry, Ian Ver Steeg, Marcus Cain and Kaden Page, along with offensive-line concerns involving Will Odenthal. Several of those players missed the Akron matchup, and their current availability remains uncertain.

The Bobcats have continued producing behind Poulos, who has thrown for nearly 1,000 yards and seven touchdowns without an interception this season. Brune leads the rushing attack with 463 yards and four touchdowns, while Dorwart and Riley Neer provide important receiving options. Neer leads the team with 550 receiving yards and five touchdowns.

Defensively, Molnar has emerged as Ohio's most productive contributor with 87 tackles and six sacks. The Bobcats have also managed previous secondary absences involving Andrew Vera, Ryan Miller and Eli Thompson, making defensive depth an important consideration against Miami's improving passing attack.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Injury Report and Team News

Miami continues operating without quarterbacks David McComb and Thomas Gotkowski, who suffered season-ending injuries earlier in the year. McComb had thrown for 1,121 yards and seven touchdowns before his injury, while Gotkowski's absence reduced the team's quarterback depth.

The RedHawks have also dealt with receiving injuries involving Devin Hyatt and Keith Reynolds, along with previous tight end absences affecting Eric Karner, Brayden Boeing and Trey Zvonar. Their current availability remains uncertain, although Miami has continued generating offensive production behind Heavner and its running back rotation.

Jones and Rodney Nelson have combined for more than 700 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, providing an important foundation for the offense. Heavner has also contributed more than 200 rushing yards, while receivers Maleek Huggins, Isom and Scoop Smith provide multiple ways to generate scoring opportunities.

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Prediction

Ohio enters as the narrow favorite, but the most appealing betting angle is the possibility of both teams generating enough offensive production to push the total beyond 47.5 points.

The strongest argument for the Over comes from the contrast between Ohio's rushing attack and Miami's passing defense. The Bobcats average 188.9 rushing yards per game, while the RedHawks allow just 97.6, creating a difficult ground matchup. However, Miami surrenders 279.7 passing yards per contest, ranking near the bottom nationally, providing opportunities for Poulos to generate more production through the air.

Poulos has been particularly efficient protecting the football, throwing seven touchdowns without an interception this season. His accuracy and decision-making should help Ohio sustain drives against a Miami defense allowing opponents to convert 41.3% of their third-down attempts.

Dorwart provides another important offensive advantage. The Ohio receiver generated 108 yards and a touchdown against Akron, continuing a two-game stretch featuring 233 receiving yards and two scores. His emergence gives Poulos another dependable receiving target alongside Neer, potentially creating additional opportunities against Miami's struggling secondary.

Brune also remains dangerous despite the difficult rushing matchup. The Bobcats running back generated 111 yards against Akron, including a 91-yard touchdown run that helped secure the victory. His ability to create explosive gains reduces Ohio's dependence on lengthy scoring drives and could become particularly important against a Miami defense that has generally limited conventional rushing production.

Ohio's red-zone efficiency provides another reason to anticipate scoring opportunities. The Bobcats have converted 88.5% of their red-zone possessions into points, while Miami allows opponents to score on 92.9% of their trips inside the 20-yard line. That combination creates opportunities for Ohio to turn sustained drives into points rather than repeatedly leaving scoring chances unfinished.

Miami also possesses enough offensive talent to contribute significant scoring. The RedHawks average 27.4 points per game and have generated at least 28 points in three of their last four contests. Heavner has demonstrated improved production since assuming the starting role, particularly through his mobility and ability to extend plays.

Jones' recent emergence creates another important matchup factor. The Miami running back rushed for 112 yards against Buffalo, helping the RedHawks generate 196 total rushing yards. Ohio allows 137.2 rushing yards per game, suggesting Miami should have opportunities to generate enough early-down production to sustain drives.

The RedHawks also possess several receiving options capable of challenging Ohio's secondary. Isom caught seven passes for 89 yards and a touchdown against Buffalo, while Huggins has accumulated 473 receiving yards this season. Scoop Smith provides additional offensive versatility, contributing as a receiver, runner and special-teams threat.

Ohio's defense has been effective overall, allowing 21.7 points per game, but recent performances have exposed some vulnerabilities. Akron generated 20 points and maintained a fourth-quarter lead against the Bobcats, while Eastern Michigan also produced 20 points during a competitive October matchup. Miami possesses a more balanced offensive attack than Akron, creating opportunities to challenge Ohio through both the passing and rushing games.

Another important consideration is Miami's defensive performance against Buffalo. The RedHawks allowed 34 points and 459 total yards, including 358 through the air. Buffalo generated 15 unanswered fourth-quarter points before securing the overtime victory, demonstrating Miami's difficulty preventing explosive passing plays late in games.

The projected scoring environment also supports the Over. Both teams are averaging more than 27 points per game, while Miami allows nearly 27 and Ohio surrenders approximately 22. Even accounting for the strength of Miami's rushing defense, the offensive production of both programs creates a realistic path toward the low-to-mid 50s.

FairPlay AI projects Ohio as a 1.5-point favorite with a 55% win probability, compared with the sportsbook offering the Bobcats -1. The model also projects 51 total points against the selected market of 47.5, creating approximately 3.5 points of projected value toward the Over. That discrepancy supports the possibility of both offenses generating enough production to exceed the market expectation.

The biggest concern is Miami's ability to contain Ohio's rushing attack and force Poulos into difficult passing situations. However, the RedHawks' secondary has struggled throughout the season, while Ohio has demonstrated the ability to generate explosive rushing and receiving plays. Miami's improved offensive production also creates a realistic path to scoring enough points to challenge the Bobcats' defense.

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) Best Bet

• Best Bet: Over 47.5 (-110) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Ohio enters with a balanced offense averaging nearly 30 points per game, while Miami's defensive vulnerabilities against the pass create opportunities for Poulos, Neer and Dorwart to generate substantial production. The Bobcats have also demonstrated the ability to score quickly through explosive rushing plays, reducing their dependence on prolonged possessions.

Miami's offense has improved behind Heavner, Jones and its receiving rotation, providing enough production to challenge an Ohio defense that recently allowed Akron to score 20 points. With both teams capable of reaching the mid-20s and Ohio possessing a favorable passing matchup, Over 47.5 offers an appealing opportunity in an important MAC rivalry contest.

More College Football Odds

• Click here for complete College Football Odds
• Looking for more CFB picks, check out the best picks from our OC Staff
• Can Ohio State Bounce Back in 2026? The Buckeyes are National Title Favorites Once Again