Monza vs Napoli Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Monza vs Napoli picks, lineups, prediction and odds. Get probable starters, Same Game Parlay ideas and standout odds ahead of Wednesday's Serie A game.
Jade Griffiths - October 28, 2026, 12:12 PM EDT
7 minutesMonza vs Napoli Game Preview
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Game Date | Wednesday, October 28, 2026 |
Game Time | 3:45 PM ET / 12:45 PM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Monza, U-Power Stadium |
Napoli visit U-Power Stadium on Wednesday as the Serie A favorites, but any Monza vs Napoli prediction has to account for two defenses that have been far too generous lately.
Monza sit 15th in the standings and arrive off a loss at Torino. Home has been kinder, with Jurić's side winning their last two at their own ground.
Napoli sit 10th after a wild tie with Roma capped their slowest start to a Serie A campaign since 2009/10. The injury list keeps growing, too.
The matchup history leans one way. Napoli have won their last 3 games against Monza in all competitions, and both sides badly want to return to winning ways.
Monza vs Napoli Recent Results
Monza are dangerous but leaky. They lost 3-2 at Torino last time out, with Gustavo Varela on the scoresheet, and the striker currently leads the league's scoring charts. Home is where Jurić's side have done their damage, winning their last two at their own ground, and that is the platform for any upset here.
Napoli's last outing was pure chaos, a 3-3 home tie with Roma in which Scott McTominay scored a brace. The bigger worry is the road. Across all competitions, domestic and otherwise, Allegri's side are winless in their last four away outings, which is a stubborn slump for a team carrying favorite status into this one.
Monza vs Napoli Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Monza: M. Pessina (Injured/out), J. Ziółkowski (Injured/out), I. Touré (Injured/doubtful), Y. Maye (Injured/doubtful)
Napoli: A. Santos (Injured/out), D. Neres (Injured/out), B. Badiashile (Injured/out), L. Spinazzola (Injured/out), A. Buongiorno (Injured/out), C. Favasuli (Injured/out)
Monza
The Monza vs Napoli lineups start with Jurić set on a 3-4-2-1, with Törnqvist reconfirmed in goal. Goglichidze and Lucchesi are in a selection toss-up to join Carboni and Kouadio in the back three, while Folorunsho and Akinsanmiro form the central pivot with Birindelli and Mangas on the flanks. Robinson and Mota hold the edge over Colpani for the attacking midfield spots behind Varela. Pessina and Ziółkowski remain sidelined through injury, while Maye and Touré face late fitness tests.
Napoli
Allegri's injury crisis shows no sign of easing after fresh setbacks to Badiashile and Spinazzola. Napoli stick with a 4-3-3, with Meret in goal and Marianucci a surprise starter beside Marín in the center, flanked by Di Lorenzo and Olivera. Rrahmani is over the flu but starts on the bench. Lobotka returns to anchor midfield, giving Anguissa a rest, with De Bruyne and McTominay either side. Politano and Lang work the wings to feed Højlund. Buongiorno, Neres, Alisson Santos and Favasuli all remain out injured.
Monza vs Napoli Predicted Lineup
Monza
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: N. Törnqvist; E. Kouadio, S. Goglichidze, A. Carboni; S. Birindelli, M. Folorunsho, E. Akinsanmiro, R. Mangas; J. Robinson, D. Mota; G. Varela (probable)
Napoli
Formation: 4-3-3
Predicted Starting Lineup: A. Meret; G. Di Lorenzo, R. Marín, L. Marianucci, M. Olivera; S. Lobotka, K. De Bruyne, S. McTominay; M. Politano, R. Højlund, N. Lang (probable)
Monza vs Napoli Key Stats & Game Facts
- Napoli have had 16+ shots in 5 out of 6 games against Monza in Serie A.
- There have been 10+ shots on target in 5 of Monza's last 5 games in Serie A.
- Gustavo Varela has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 4 appearances in Serie A.
- Michael Folorunsho has won 2+ fouls in 3 of his last 4 appearances against Napoli in Serie A.
- Monza have received 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 games against Napoli in Serie A.
Monza vs Napoli Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our prediction is a Napoli win in a game with goals at both ends. The visitors have the deeper attack, with De Bruyne, McTominay and Højlund all in the probable XI, and the Monza vs Napoli betting odds make them -125 (Polymarket) on the moneyline. The projected total sits at 3.7 goals, and with a patched-up Napoli back line facing the league's top scorer, Monza can get on the board without changing the outcome.
Best Picks
Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Our first entry in the Monza vs Napoli best picks comes from that goals market, and it lines up with the projection. The line carries a 71.5% probability in the projection, and Monza's last 5 Serie A games have all cleared it.
Both teams to score: Yes, in the Both Teams To Score market. This is where the value sits. The projection rates it at 67.2%, comfortably above the roughly 57% implied probability of the best available price. Varela leads the league's scorers, and Napoli's long injury list has pushed Marianucci into a surprise start in the middle of the back four.
Monza vs Napoli Same Game Parlay
Our Monza vs Napoli same game parlay picks back Gustavo Varela to score, Jay Robinson to test the goalkeeper, Lorenzo Lucca to pile up shots and a goal-heavy game.
Gustavo Varela, Anytime Goalscorer: the Monza striker has found the net in 3 of his last 4 Serie A appearances. Against a Napoli defense this short on bodies, he is the obvious place to start.
Jay Robinson Over 0.5, Player Shots On Target: he has put a shot on frame in all 5 of his last 5 Serie A appearances. Playing right behind Varela keeps him in shooting areas.
Lorenzo Lucca Over 3.5, Player Shots: this is the boldest leg. He has fired 4 or more shots in each of his last 3 appearances against Monza in Serie A.
Over 3.5 goals rounds out the parlay. The projected total of 3.7 clears that line, and neither defense has given much reason to trust it lately.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Monza vs Napoli Talking Points
Napoli will be without Massimiliano Allegri on the touchline after his red card in the Roma tie, which is not ideal for a side already patching together a back four. The real tactical fight is out wide. Napoli love attacking down the wings through Politano and Lang, and defending wide areas has been a Monza weakness. Monza's answer is Varela, the league's top scorer, going at a center back pairing that includes surprise starter Marianucci. Still, Monza have failed to win 34 of their last 38 games in Serie A, so the upset case rests on their recent home form and their striker, not on any long track record.
Monza vs Napoli Predictions FAQs
When is the Monza vs Napoli Italian Serie A game?
The game kicks off at 3:45 PM ET / 12:45 PM PT on Wednesday, October 28, 2026.
Where is Monza vs Napoli being played?
The game is being played at U-Power Stadium in Monza.
Who are the probable starters for Monza vs Napoli?
Monza are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation and Napoli in a 4-3-3, based on the probable lineups. Napoli's probable starters include Meret, Lobotka, Højlund and Politano.
What is the head-to-head record for Monza vs Napoli?
In previous meetings, Monza have 1 win, Napoli have 4 wins and there has been 1 tie.
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