Fiorentina vs Atalanta Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Game Preview

Two struggling sides meet at the Artemio Franchi on Thursday, and right now neither Fiorentina nor Atalanta can defend. This Serie A matchup has messy, open shootout written all over it.

Fiorentina sit 19th in the standings, deep in the relegation zone, and Paolo Vanoli's return to the bench has not stopped the bleeding. One league win so far tells the story.

Atalanta sit 12th under Maurizio Sarri, but an injury crisis has gutted the back line, and they arrive having lost four of their last six league games.

Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 7 Serie A meetings between these clubs. With Fiorentina desperate for points, don't expect either side to sit back.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Recent Results

Fiorentina are in a full-blown slump. They have lost their last three Serie A games, and the latest one stung worst: they conceded twice in stoppage time at Inter. Franco Mastantuono is the one constant in this attack and keeps carrying the threat down the right, but the defense keeps handing the points away.

Atalanta are winless in their last three games across Serie A and the Conference League, and the defense is the problem. Sunday's wild tie with Frosinone summed it up. Nikola Krstović is the bright spot after scoring in each of his last three Serie A outings, but every goal he scores seems to come straight back at the other end.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Fiorentina: Fabiano Parisi (Injured/out), Marin Pongračić (Injured/doubtful), Arthur Atta (Injured/doubtful), Luca Ranieri (Injured/doubtful)

Atalanta: Sead Kolašinac (Injured/out), Raoul Bellanova (Injured/out), Giorgio Scalvini (Injured/out), Isak Hien (Injured/out), Odilon Kossounou (Injured/out), Kamaldeen Sulemana (Injured/doubtful), Giacomo Raspadori (Injured/doubtful), Franck Kessié (Injured/doubtful)

Fiorentina

Paolo Vanoli's biggest problem in the Fiorentina vs Atalanta lineups is at the back. Luca Ranieri and Marin Pongračić both need fitness checks. Radu Drăgușin is guaranteed a start, with Viery potentially moving alongside him, Valde coming in on the left and Álex Jiménez confirmed on the right. Midfield stays the same, and Beto is favored over Pellegrino as the central striker between Franco Mastantuono and Alieu Njie.

Atalanta

The injury crisis keeps getting worse for Maurizio Sarri, who has now lost Raoul Bellanova too. Davide Zappacosta steps in on the right, Lorenzo Bernasconi starts on the left and the youngster Relja Obrić partners Thomas Kristensen in the middle. Eljif Elmas could join Charles De Ketelaere and Jonathan Rowe behind the striker, and Nikola Krstović is expected to get the nod over Scamacca again.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Predicted Lineup

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: David de Gea; Álex Jiménez, Radu Drăgușin, Viery, Valde; Marco Brescianini, Nicolò Fagioli, Cher Ndour; Franco Mastantuono, Beto, Alieu Njie

Atalanta

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Marco Carnesecchi; Davide Zappacosta, Thomas Kristensen, Relja Obrić, Lorenzo Bernasconi; Éderson, Gianluca Gaetano; Eljif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe; Nikola Krstović

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Key Stats & Game Facts

• Atalanta have received 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 games against Fiorentina in Serie A.
• There have been 29+ shots taken in 4 of Fiorentina's last 5 games in Serie A.
• Franco Mastantuono has won 3+ fouls in 3 of his last 3 appearances in Serie A.
• Charles De Ketelaere has assisted in 3 of his last 5 appearances against Fiorentina in Serie A.
• Moise Kean has scored in 2 of his last 3 appearances against Atalanta in Serie A.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction is a 2-2 tie. Fiorentina are the slight favorite at home, but neither defense can be trusted. Fiorentina carry enough attacking threat to hurt a patched-up Atalanta back line, and finishing is the visitors' one real strength. In a game this evenly matched, the tie at +292 (Polymarket) is worth a look.

Best Picks

Over 3.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects a high-scoring game between two sides who regularly score and concede. Our first Fiorentina vs Atalanta best pick lives on the Total Goals Over/Under board. The projection has this game at 3.76 total goals, and seven of Fiorentina's last eight Serie A games have topped 2.5 goals. With both teams missing defenders, the over is the right side.

Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Both sides are expected to score in an open, attack-minded game. Our second play on the Both Teams To Score board backs goals at each end. Seven of Fiorentina's last eight Serie A games have seen them concede at least twice, while Atalanta have found the net two or more times in every one of their latest three Serie A outings.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Same Game Parlay

Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta same game parlay picks back Nikola Krstović to score and pile up shots, add goals in bulk, then take Atalanta on the Moneyline for a bigger payout.

Nikola Krstović in the Anytime Goalscorer market is the anchor. He has found the net in three straight Serie A appearances, and a short-handed Fiorentina back line is no place to cool off.

Krstović over 3.5 shots in the Player Shots market fits his volume. The striker has fired off four or more attempts in all three of his latest Serie A appearances.

Over 3.5 goals on the Total Goals Over/Under board follows naturally. Five of Atalanta's last six Serie A games have topped 2.5 goals, and neither back line has earned any trust.

Atalanta on the Moneyline at +198 (Polymarket) is the swing leg. Fiorentina have lost their last three Serie A games, and Atalanta's sharper finishing can tip a shootout their way.

Shop around for the top price on this parlay using the Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool from Oddschecker.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Talking Points

Fiorentina lead Serie A in goals from outside the box, so a thin Atalanta back line cannot give their shooters room at the edge of the area. There is also a stubborn home record to respect: Fiorentina are undefeated in their last 6 home games against Atalanta in all competitions. Atalanta, meanwhile, arrive on a run of four straight away defeats across all competitions. That tension explains why the Fiorentina vs Atalanta betting odds are so close at the top of the moneyline.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Predictions FAQs

When is the Fiorentina vs Atalanta Italian Serie A game?

The game is on Thursday, October 29, 2026, with kickoff at 3:45 PM ET / 12:45 PM PT.

Where is Fiorentina vs Atalanta being played?

Fiorentina vs Atalanta is being played at Artemio Franchi.

Who is expected to start for Fiorentina and Atalanta?

Fiorentina are predicted to start David de Gea, Valde, Viery, Radu Drăgușin, Álex Jiménez, Marco Brescianini, Nicolò Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Alieu Njie, Beto and Franco Mastantuono. Atalanta are predicted to start Marco Carnesecchi, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Relja Obrić, Thomas Kristensen, Davide Zappacosta, Éderson, Gianluca Gaetano, Jonathan Rowe, Charles De Ketelaere, Eljif Elmas and Nikola Krstović.

What is the recent form for Fiorentina and Atalanta?

Fiorentina have lost their last three games, and Atalanta are winless in their last three games across Serie A and the Conference League.

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