Millwall vs Derby Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Millwall vs Derby Game Preview

Two struggling Championship sides meet at The Den on Saturday, and our Millwall vs Derby prediction leans firmly toward the hosts against a visitor stuck near the foot of the standings.

Alex Neil's Millwall sit 13th in the standings. Last weekend's loss at Portsmouth stretched their Championship winless run, and the Lions need a response at home before the slide gets serious.

Derby arrive 23rd and inside the relegation zone. John Eustace's side were close to a win at Sheffield United before a red card let the Blades salvage a 1-1 tie.

The Lions have not lost any of their last 7 meetings with Derby in all competitions. Another dropped result would leave the visitors sinking deeper into the relegation scrap.

Millwall vs Derby Recent Results

Millwall have won just one of their last eight in all competitions, and that slump has dropped them into the bottom half. The tools are still there, though. They are dangerous on the counter and down the wings, and Lyndon Dykes has been an ever-present up top. What this group needs is a result that gets the confidence back.

Derby have tied three and lost five of their last eight Championship games, so there is no sugarcoating this slump. Finishing is the core problem, and winning the ball back is about the only thing they do well. Sam Szmodics keeps letting shots fly from the left, but the finishing around him has not backed him up.

Millwall vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Millwall: Casper De Norre (Injured/out), Mathis Servais (Injured/out), Taïryk Arconte (Injured/out), Filip Marschall (Injured/out), Josh Coburn (Injured/out), Lukas Jensen (Injured/out), Massimo Luongo (Injured/out, unfit)

Derby: Patrick Agyemang (Injured/out), Eiran Cashin (Injured/out), C. Taylor (Injured/out), Derry John Murkin (Injured/out), Matt Clarke (Injured/out), Lewis Travis (Injured/out), Craig Forsyth (Injured/out), Sondre Langås (Injured/out), Henrik Meister (Injured/doubtful), Dion Sanderson (Suspended)

Millwall

Alex Neil could hand Romain Esse a start for the visit of Derby, and Mihailo Ivanovic is available again after returning from the injury list to face Portsmouth. The absentee list is still long, with Josh Coburn and Massimo Luongo among the seven players missing.

Derby

Dion Sanderson is suspended after his red card against Sheffield United, and Henrik Meister is doubtful after picking up an injury in that game. Jack Robinson and Filip Bilbija could both start, which is welcome news for a squad missing ten players.

Millwall vs Derby Predicted Lineup

Millwall

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Max Crocombe; Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, C. Taylor, Zak Sturge; Jenson Metcalfe, Derek Mazou-Sacko; Romain Esse, Camiel Neghli, Kyrell Lisbie; Lyndon Dykes

Derby

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Jacob Widell Zetterström; Joe Ward, Jack Robinson, Ryan Nyambe, Ryan Hedges; David Ozoh, Bobby Clark; Rhian Brewster, Filip Bilbija, Sam Szmodics; Carlton Morris

Millwall vs Derby Key Stats & Game Facts

• Derby have received 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 games vs Millwall (Championship).
• Bobby Clark has attempted 3+ shots in 3 of his last 3 games (Championship).
• David Ozoh has committed 2+ fouls in 5 of his last 5 games (Championship).
• Josh Coburn has scored in 2 of his last 3 games vs Derby (Championship), though he is on Millwall's injury list.
• Ryan Leonard has made 3+ tackles in 3 of his last 4 games vs Derby (Championship).

Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our prediction is a Millwall win. The hosts carry a 55% implied probability of taking the points. A -138 (Polymarket) moneyline price on the Lions is fair for the gap between these sides. Attacking set pieces are Millwall's sharpest weapon, and defending them is one of Derby's soft spots, so the Lions have a clear route to goal even on a scrappy afternoon. At the other end, Derby's poor finishing gives Millwall's back line little to fear.

Best Picks

Millwall to win, in the Moneyline market. The home side are the projected favorites at The Den. Backing Millwall in the Moneyline market is our top call among the Millwall vs Derby best picks. Derby have not beaten Millwall in any of the last 7 meetings in all competitions. The visitors are also winless in their last 8 Championship games, which hardly screams upset.

Both Teams To Score: No. Derby are projected to score fewer than one goal. Both Teams To Score is the market here, and the implied probability of both sides finding the net sits at just 48.2%, which tips the scale toward No. Derby are projected to manage only 0.90 goals, and their shaky finishing gives little reason to expect a breakthrough at The Den.

Millwall vs Derby Same Game Parlay

Our Millwall vs Derby same game parlay picks stack two Bobby Clark player props with a corners line and a Jack Robinson card in a four-leg Same Game Parlay.

Start with Bobby Clark Over 1.5 in the Player Shots market. The Derby midfielder's last six Championship games have all featured 2+ shot attempts.

Add Over 13.5 in the Total Corners market. The line has landed in 4 of Millwall's last 6 games, and both teams like to play wide and cross often.

Bobby Clark Over 0.5 in the Player Shots On Target market follows naturally. Five of his last six Championship games have featured at least one shot on target.

Jack Robinson in the To Be Shown A Card market rounds it off. Three of his last four Championship games against Millwall have ended with his name in the book.

Shop around for the top price on this parlay with the Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool from Oddschecker.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Millwall vs Derby Talking Points

The big question is which trend gives way. Millwall games have been wide open lately, with nine of their last 11 Championship outings clearing 2.5 goals, but this matchup tends to turn stubborn and messy. Derby are still chasing only their second league win of the campaign, and a side that struggles to finish rarely steals a result in a tight, physical game. That is why we trust Millwall's edge in the air and on dead balls to settle it.

Millwall vs Derby Predictions FAQs

When is the Millwall vs Derby Championship game?

The game kicks off at 11:00 AM ET / 8:00 AM PT on Saturday, October 31, 2026.

Where is Millwall vs Derby being played?

The game is being played at The Den in London.

Which formation are Millwall and Derby expected to use?

Both Millwall and Derby are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation.

What are the current moneyline odds for Millwall vs Derby?

Polymarket lists Millwall at -138, the tie at +333 and Derby at +450 on the moneyline.

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