Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Game Preview

Any Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction has to start with a warning. Rayo host this LaLiga matchup as narrow moneyline favorites, priced at +160 (Polymarket), but that number flatters them.

Rayo sit in the bottom half with 10 points. Their game is built on volume, with set pieces, crosses and long-range shooting doing most of the heavy lifting.

Celta Vigo have 12 points from a stubborn start. The problem is an injury list that includes Borja Iglesias and Carl Starfelt, which thins out both ends of the field.

History does side with the hosts. Rayo Vallecano are undefeated in their last 10 home games against Celta Vigo in all competitions, and that is the trend Celta arrive to break.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Recent Results

Rayo have failed to win any of their last four league games. The low point came last time out, a 3-0 home beating by Elche. The Copa del Rey offered some midweek relief, with Rayo edging Recreativo de Huelva after extra time. Sergio Camello remains the attacking focal point up top.

Celta Vigo arrive unbeaten in their last 7 games in LaLiga. They're ninth in the standings, though the ties keep piling up, and their latest outing was a scoreless home draw with Real Betis. Ferran Jutglà leads the line, with Hugo Álvarez and Pablo Durán set to support him.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Rayo Vallecano: Augusto Batalla (Injured/out), Luiz Felipe (Injured/out), Pathé Ciss (Suspended)

Celta Vigo: Borja Iglesias (Injured/out), Miguel Román (Injured/out), Álvaro Núñez (Injured/out), Carl Starfelt (Injured/out), Jones El Abdellaoui (Injured/out)

Rayo Vallecano

Luiz Felipe has suffered an ACL injury and is set to miss the rest of the season, while goalkeeper Augusto Batalla is still out with a fractured tibia and isn't expected back until January. Pathé Ciss is suspended due to yellow card accumulation. The good news is that Andrei Ratiu is available again and Randy Nteka returns to the squad. Pedro Díaz is set to partner Unai López in midfield in Ciss's absence, with Isi Palazón in the No. 10 role.

Celta Vigo

Carl Starfelt is out with a semimembranosus injury and isn't expected back until mid-November. Borja Iglesias is sidelined with a soleus injury until late November, and Miguel Román is recovering from knee arthroscopy with a return targeted for early November. Álvaro Núñez has a torn adductor, and Jones El Abdellaoui also misses out after knee arthroscopy. Hugo Álvarez and Pablo Durán are set to support Ferran Jutglà in attack.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Predicted Lineup

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Emil Audero; Iván Balliu, Florian Lejeune, Mujaid Sadick, Adrià Pedrosa; Pedro Díaz, Unai López; Jorge de Frutos, Isi Palazón, Álvaro García; Sergio Camello

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-2-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Ionuț Radu; Javi Rodríguez, Yoel Lago, Marcos Alonso; Javi Rueda, Ilaix Moriba, Aleix Febas, Javi Galán; Hugo Álvarez, Pablo Durán; Ferran Jutglà

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Key Stats & Game Facts

• Rayo Vallecano have received 3+ cards in 6 of their last 8 games vs Celta Vigo (LaLiga).
• There have been 29+ shots taken in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 5 games (LaLiga).
• Jorge de Frutos has scored in 3 of his last 4 appearances vs Celta Vigo (LaLiga).
• Javi Galán has made 4+ tackles in 5 of his last 9 appearances vs Rayo Vallecano (LaLiga).
• Celta Vigo have had 7+ shots on target in 3 out of 4 games vs Rayo Vallecano (LaLiga).

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our prediction is Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Celta Vigo. The moneyline gives Rayo a slight nod, but we aren't buying a home side stuck in a league slump and missing Pathé Ciss from the middle of the park. Rayo will throw bodies forward and should find the net, but Celta's unbeaten run in LaLiga has been built on not cracking, and they have enough going forward to punish a Rayo team that struggles to protect a lead.

Best Picks

Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects a fairly open game between two sides that both look to attack. The Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo best picks start in the Total Goals Over/Under market, because that is where the value sits. The projection lands on 2.77 total goals, and Over 2.5 keeps grading out as a value play. Rayo's shot-happy style and a reshuffled midfield without Ciss point to a messy, open afternoon.

Both Teams To Score: Yes. Both sides are expected to find the net. Both Teams To Score is the natural partner to our scoreline. The projection gives both teams finding the net a 56.14% probability, with each side projected to score more than once on average. Rayo create through set pieces and individual skill, while Celta still have Jutglà to lean on despite their injury list.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Same Game Parlay

These Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo same game parlay picks stack player props: Sergio Camello to score and keep shooting, Yoel Lago to be carded, and Hugo González to test the goalkeeper.

Sergio Camello, Anytime Goalscorer: Camello has hit the net in five LaLiga appearances out of his last eight, and he is the man Rayo look to when the goals come.

Sergio Camello Over 2.5, Player Shots: Over his last eight LaLiga outings, he has attempted 3+ shots six times, which fits a Rayo side that loves to let fly.

Yoel Lago, To Be Shown A Card: Three of the Celta center back's last five LaLiga appearances have ended with him in the book, and Rayo's dribblers will keep him busy.

Hugo González Over 0.5, Player Shots On Target: González has put at least one shot on target in all four of his most recent LaLiga games, a reliable leg to close it out.

Shop around for the sharpest price on this four-leg parlay using the Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool from Oddschecker.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Talking Points

The style clash is the story here. Rayo shoot from distance, cross often and stretch the field with width, while Celta prefer short passes and a non-aggressive approach without the ball. That contrast cuts both ways. Celta's big weakness is finishing their chances, the one thing that could cool the goals angle, but Rayo's soft spots are protecting a lead and defending long shots. With Celta also prone to rotating their lineup, the visitors' depth gets tested on a day when the hosts are desperate to end their slump.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Predictions FAQs

Which team is favored in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

Rayo Vallecano is listed as the favorite, with a 40.67% home win probability. Celta Vigo has a 33.99% win probability and a tie has 25.34%.

Who is injured or suspended for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

For Rayo Vallecano, Augusto Batalla and Luiz Felipe are injured and Pathé Ciss is suspended. For Celta Vigo, Borja Iglesias, Miguel Román, Álvaro Núñez, Carl Starfelt and Jones El Abdellaoui are injured.

What time is kickoff for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

Kickoff is at 11:15 AM ET / 8:15 AM PT on Saturday, October 31, 2026.

Where is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo being played?

The game is being played at Estadio de Vallecas.

Affiliate Disclosure

We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.

Please gamble responsibly. 21+.