Atalanta vs Parma Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Atalanta vs Parma picks, predicted lineups and odds for this Serie A game. Get our prediction, standout odds and Same Game Parlay angle before kick-off.
Grayson Parker - November 2, 2026, 10:54 AM EST
6 minutesAtalanta vs Parma Game Preview
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Game Date | Monday, November 2, 2026 |
Game Time | 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | New Balance Arena |
Atalanta host Parma at New Balance Arena on Monday in a Serie A matchup between two struggling clubs, and the Atalanta vs Parma betting odds make the home side clear favorites.
Maurizio Sarri is still juggling an injury crisis, but Atalanta have already won three times at home this season. Clinical finishing remains the strength that carries this team.
Parma arrive in the relegation zone with just five points. Alberto Gilardino is set to go with a defensive 3-5-2, which tells you everything about his priorities.
Atalanta lead the previous meetings with three wins, one tie and two defeats. Goals have rarely been scarce in this matchup, and Atalanta's leaky back line offers little reason to expect a change.
Atalanta vs Parma Recent Results
Atalanta have won only two of their last nine official games, and their latest league outings ended in back-to-back ties. The attack is not the problem. They have scored at least twice in each of their last four Serie A games, with Nikola Krstović leading the line and Charles De Ketelaere pulling the strings behind him.
Parma sit 18th in the standings, and the slump has been at its worst away from home, where they have lost all four games. Gilardino's side can create through individual skill, yet finishing is a real weakness, which puts plenty of pressure on El Bilal Touré and David Romero up front.
Atalanta vs Parma Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Atalanta: Sead Kolašinac (Injured/out), Raoul Bellanova (Injured/out), Isak Hien (Injured/out), Odilon Kossounou (Injured/out), T. Pompei (Injured/out), Thomas Kristensen (Injured/doubtful), Gianluca Scamacca (Injured/doubtful), Giacomo Raspadori (Injured/doubtful), Franck Kessié (Injured/doubtful)
Parma: Nesta Elphege (Injured/out)
Atalanta
The Atalanta vs Parma lineups start with Sarri's injury list. Thomas Kristensen went down last time out, but Giorgio Scalvini is back to partner Relja Obrić at center back while Isak Hien, Sead Kolašinac, Odilon Kossounou and Raoul Bellanova stay out. Éderson and Gianluca Gaetano hold midfield with Franck Kessié not expected to make it, and Eljif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere and Jonathan Rowe line up behind Nikola Krstović, with Gianluca Scamacca and Giacomo Raspadori not expected to be available.
Parma
Gilardino is expected to keep Giovanni Daffara in goal ahead of Corvi. Mariano Troilo, Enrico Delprato and Diego Carlos form the back three, with Sascha Britschgi on the right flank and Emanuele Valeri on the left. Vincent Sierro and Mandela Keita provide cover behind Adrián Bernabé, while El Bilal Touré partners David Romero in attack.
Atalanta vs Parma Predicted Lineup
Atalanta
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Marco Carnesecchi; Davide Zappacosta, Giorgio Scalvini, Relja Obrić, Lorenzo Bernasconi; Éderson, Gianluca Gaetano; Eljif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe; Nikola Krstović (probable)
Parma
Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Giovanni Daffara; Mariano Troilo, Diego Carlos, Enrico Delprato; Sascha Britschgi, Vincent Sierro, Mandela Keita, Adrián Bernabé, Emanuele Valeri; El Bilal Touré, David Romero (probable)
Atalanta vs Parma Key Stats & Game Facts
- Atalanta have scored 2+ goals in 9 out of 10 games vs Parma (Serie A).
- There have been 28+ shots taken in 4 of Parma's last 4 games (Serie A).
- Nikola Krstović has scored in 3 of his last 4 appearances (Serie A).
- Mandela Keita has won 3+ fouls in 5 of his last 8 appearances (Serie A).
- Atalanta have had 6+ shots on target in 7 out of 10 games vs Parma (Serie A).
Atalanta vs Parma Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our Atalanta vs Parma prediction is a home win, just not a quiet one. Atalanta are -188 (Polymarket) on the moneyline, and their finishing should be too much for a Parma attack that struggles to convert. The catch is an Atalanta back line that keeps leaking, so expect the visitors to land a punch before the hosts pull clear.
Best Picks
Both Teams To Score: Yes. Atalanta's attack should find the net against a Parma side that is expected to get at least one back. This is the first of our Atalanta vs Parma best picks, in the Both Teams To Score market. Atalanta have conceded at least two goals in 6 of their last 7 Serie A games. Parma project for 1.24 goals of their own, so a scoreless night for the visitors would be a surprise.
Total Goals Over/Under: Over 2.5. Atalanta v Parma has been a high-scoring fixture, and the model projects a high-scoring game again. Back it in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Atalanta have seen over 2.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 games against Parma in all competitions. Add a projected total of 3.53 goals and the over is the right side of this matchup.
Atalanta vs Parma Same Game Parlay
Our Atalanta vs Parma Same Game Parlay picks lean fully into Atalanta's attack, pairing Nikola Krstović to score and fire away with over 3.5 total goals.
Nikola Krstović in the Anytime Goalscorer market is the anchor. The forward has scored in 3 of his last 4 Serie A appearances and leads a short-handed Atalanta front line.
Over 3.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market is priced at +150 (Polymarket). There have been 4+ goals scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 4 Serie A games.
Krstović Over 3.5 in the Player Shots market rounds it out. He has attempted 4+ shots in 3 of his last 4 Serie A appearances, and Atalanta love to shoot.
That completes a three-leg build, with every selection tied to the same read: Atalanta score freely and this game opens up.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Atalanta vs Parma Talking Points
Sarri is not buying the standings. He warned that Parma's position does not reflect their defensive compactness, and with the coach talking about laying the foundations for a "new, great cycle," dropping points at home here would sting. Atalanta have spread their Serie A goals across 10 different scorers, so shutting down Krstović alone will not save Parma. The real swing factor is the visitors' direct approach. They like long balls and crosses down the right, and Atalanta have struggled in aerial duels and defending set pieces, which is exactly where Parma can nick a goal.
Atalanta vs Parma Predictions FAQs
When is the Atalanta vs Parma Serie A game?
The game kicks off at 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT on Monday, November 2, 2026.
Where is Atalanta vs Parma being played?
The game is being played at New Balance Arena.
What formations are expected for Atalanta and Parma?
Atalanta are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, while Parma are expected to use a 3-5-2 formation.
Which team is favored to win Atalanta vs Parma?
Atalanta are the favorite, with a 61.02% win probability, compared with 19.61% for Parma and 19.37% for a tie.
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