£10 on all tips this year would have returned a monster £3003 in profit!
Latest Horse Racing Tips
Freemason is a worthy favourite on handicap bow at Kempton but there must be trip doubts for this first go at 1 mile 4 and
he didn't settle at 10 furlongs on reappearance. There's not a great deal of pace on either so I want to take him on at 6/4.
Royal Warranty should be better for his course and distance effort earlier this month after a break but this is tougher. Daydreamer
is 2 from 2 on polytrack and with Seb Sanders so must be of interest but he might just want more of a test. Tucson Arizona
is not entirely straightforward and they reach for the tongue tie and cheekpieces but he's won here before and the step up
in trip should bring out the best in him. Gelded before his last start, he shaped nicely that day and is worth taking at 8/1.
Kempton 17.10 - Tucson Arizona 1pt e/w
The last at Kempton has the likeable Matravers at the top of the market and this Stoute favourite looks a decent price. He did well from the back of the field last time and can cope with a 6lb rise. There are plenty with chances though and Bombardment is a threat back on the all weather. If he is a 3/1 poke however, I'm not sure why Killing Time is as big as 12/1 given he has a 5lb pull with the Godolphin runner for their course and distance run in August. He may have needed it too that day, back from 3 and a half months off, and was always out the back and not given a hard time in the straight. His last win came over course and distance off 1lb lower as a 2 year old with blinkers and Jim Crowley on top, both of which return today.
Kempton 17.40 - Killing Time 1pt e/w
I'm very tempted with Odeliz in Ireland and if there was more juice in the ground I'd be a backer…but there isn't!. At Plumpton
Hinton Indiana looks a good thing but it's the sort of contest, especially at this time of year, where very short prices are
a little off-putting and this is tougher than his last few runs. The later contest, the 2 mile handicap hurdle, is fascinating
given the presence of Triumphant for Plumpton's specialist trainer Gary Moore. The horse looks feasibly treated and a run
as good as his effort on the flat last time sees him go close. I'm surprised he's as short as 7/4 though and that makes others
look a little over priced. Namely the 2 David Pipe horses and even Springinherstep who is 5/1 but not as close to the favourite
in the betting as she might be on account of her penultimate flight fall when sure to win last time out. Sheena West won this
last year with Alfraamsey, who has changed hands since, and she saddles Screaming Brave today who is fragile. That's
presumably why we've not seen him for such a long time but he won back from a long lay-off as a 6 year old and is now 3lb
lower than for that win. He wants it rattling quick and was only beaten 3 and a quarter lengths on his sole course and distance
start in 2011 off 10lb higher. That was only 7 starts ago so there's plenty of racing in him if he can be kept right and he
can certainly out-run his 33/1 price. He likes to dictate but his penultimate win came from just off the pace and,
given the likely pace on here, I hope he's willing to relinquish the lead.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 16/1
Ayr Gold Cup pace as follows: 2p, 6, 9, 10p, 23, 25p with those little p's meaning prominent. There are 3 main bits of pace
drawn across the track and an obvious advantage is hard to see, though preference this week has clearly been for high. The
shortlisted 4 at the prices are Duke Of Firenze, Barnet Fair, Go Far and Highland Acclaim but 2 of those are badly drawn in
the middle. I really like Barnet Fair who was held up the worng side last time but who has Cam Hardie back on and his
trainer has a superb record in this. He's improved on each start this year for his new yard and looks well worth another go
at 6 furlongs at 28/1 out of a just high enough stall 17. Highand Acclaim is very much 2nd choice but it's a race I'm
not all that confident about in truth.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 20/1
Not really one for shorties and Hillstar hardly has an appealing profile but I'm a bit surprised he's not favourite today and really fancy he'll win this at 3/1. Ryan Moore got a little caught out last time but he'll very likely make amends today and this trip on softish ground should be ideal. He has won on soft before and, whilst I can see the appeal of Tasaday, I think Hillstar is a better horse and is only being asked to give her 3lb. Glorious Protector is a lovely horse but I think he'll want more of a test than looks likley here.
2pt win - WON @ 11/4
Silver Cup pace as follows: 6, 14, 16, 19, 21 23p, 24, 25. Huntsmans Close is the bet I'm most looking forward to today. Perfectly drawn, he'll hopefully not get too far back as he likes to be in the mix. He has a win in him off this mark and James Doyle, who gets on well with him, is back on. I've had a good go at 11/1. I also like Lexington Abbey at the same price, whose trainer said after his 2nd at York he'd make an Ayr Gold Cup horse, and he too has a superb draw. Pat Smullen booked is a big plus given how he's riding and 3 year olds have a good record in the race. He's bumped into a few good ones of late but is still improving and probably wasn't ideally positioned last time in the centre of the track. A strong pace up the rail will suit.
Huntsmans Close 1pt e/w - WON @ 9/1
Lexington Abbey 1pt e/w - 5th @ 10/1
Back at Newbury, I was quite keen on Arab Dawn until the rain came. That is not to say that he will not like the ground, more that it has dramatically enhances the chances of Roseburg, who disappointed last time but had excuses. Keen off a stop/ start gallop on quick ground at Goodwood, he'll get a better pace to aim at today and will relish conditions. Andrea Atzeni, who knows him best, is back on too and he's a nice proposition at 13/2.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 9/2
I really like the chances of Sennockian Star today back at a tack he's won at before. He is Listed class and 2nd best in the field on ratings behind Sky Hunter. Whilst likeable, that runner looks best with cut in the ground and he's in a first time hood having been off for 4 months. Sennockian Star doesn't get a mile and a half but this is ideal and thank goodness Mirsaale is in the field as he'll give the selection a tow into this. He may be a Johnston horse but I think he's best coming form just in behind and looks a lovely bet at 10/3.
2pt win - 2nd @ 10/3
Rasaman is tempting today in the Bronze Cup but, if yesterday is anything to go by, he's not drawn all that well. There is
pace across the track but plenty up high and that makes Mon Brav appealing from 23. He was not beaten far in this 3
years ago off 6lb higher and will get the good pace he needs to chase here, though some luck in running will be required.
He's also one of the few that have been cutting it in this sort of company of late, with that Ripon run one of the stronger
bits of form on show. He's not one to put the house on but worth support at 18/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 14/1
I've had Chooseday on the radar for a while now and he has plenty going for him this afternoon. A drop to a strongly run 5 furlongs, which this should be, looks well worth a go and so do first time blinkers. The tongue-tie worked well on penultimate start but wasn't really given a chance to work last time given he stumbled leaving the stalls and was drawn the wrong side. Blinkers will hopefully sharpen him up a bit and he's extremely well treated for a yard that know how to win these sprint handicaps. The blinkers should mean he will race prominently in behind good pace from stalls 7,13, and 14 and hopefully they'll come down the centre of the track, though Spencer will at least have options from stall 10. He has run well here on both starts and his form in much better company at Ripon means he should be shorter than 14/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
Jonny Delta is back to his last winning mark and his form here across both codes reads 121312. He is yet to be successful beyond 1 mile 4 on the flat but recent runs have suggested this sort of trip is what is needed and his run in the Cesarewitch when a touch unlucky and 3lb out of the handicap gives him every chance here. He'll get a good pace to chase too and he's easily pick of the prices at 9/1.
1pt e/w - 2nd @ 8/1
Hanalei Bay, Trail Blaze and Imshivalla should ensure a decent test at Ayr for the mile handicap. Almuheet is of particular
interest but my eyes nearly popped out when I saw fellow Middleham Park 3 year old Shot In The Sun at 16/1 (opened
up 20's). That age group haven't won this of late but three filled the first 4 places a couple of years ago and only 1 ran
last year. Shot In The Sun was staying on from the worst draw last time at Goodwood over 7 and looks well worth a go back
at 8. His Epsom Almargo form is solid, again when staying on from the back over 7 off 1lb higher and it's worth pointing out
he was sent off favourite for a decent York handicap 2 starts ago (poor run and excuses thin on the ground but he came down
the centre of the track in the straight and the race developed far side). This is a drop in class and the yard have a good
record in the race. I'm tempted by Fire Fighting later on the card but not quite tempted enough at 9/2.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
Heaney has to go up for the Kerry National given his form. He ran really well in the Irish National, was a touch disappointing
when 7/2 fav last time, but his Munster Natonal form behind Spring Heeled, Jamsie Hall and Double Seven is the best on show,
all of whom have won / gone close off higher marks. Heaney returns off 2lb lower and is overpriced at 11/1. I was going
to put up Jacksonslady next but am surprised Balnaslow is as big as 16/1. He's inconsistent but has a big pot
in him and is still well treated. The worry is the trip and it might stretch him but his rider has had a good week and Mullins
has won this a few times with 7 year olds. I like this one's profile at a price.
Heaney 1pt e/w - U/P @ 11/1
Balnaslow 1pt e/w - U/P @ 12/1
Earlier on the card sees Tarana as a likeable favourite but this looks a little tougher than the Listed race she won last time over the same trip with runners rated 110, 104 and 106. The last of those is Altruistic who is interesting but probably best watched. 3 year olds have taken the last 2 runnings of this and I thought Vintage Nouveau would be closer in the betting to the favourite than 9/2. She was a touch unlucky last time but is still improving and looked Listed class when winning well at Down Royal in handicap company off 88 on quick ground. She is getting 13lb from the fav but officially has just 9lb to find on ratings thanks to her age allowance and looks sure to appreciate the step up in trip.
1pt win - WON @ 3/1
Just the one at Musselburgh today in the form of Jan Smuts. There's not many in this field on the up and so shortish
prices about them are putting me off. There's also a chance of rain to consider and a likely good gallop given a few that
will look to dominate (hopefully they don't fear the Johnston runner and allow him a soft lead). Jan Smuts will want a good,
even test and any rain would be welcomed. His course and distance record reads 1124, with that 4 coming in this race last
year when he was sent off at 6/1 off 1lb lower but completely blew the start. This is tougher than his last few races where
he's be running consistently, doing his best work late on quickish ground, but he's certainly worth a play at 11/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
The opening sprint handicap at the Curragh is a super betting heat and there's nothing I want to back more than Zalty.
His form is superb in both his course and distance 3rd to Line Of Reason and subsequent 4th behind Muthmir off this mark.
Last time he was never involved in a race where it paid to be handy but a big field over this trip will suit. He's drawn 15
and, though there's not a lot of pace, there are front runners out of 10, 14, 15 and 18. 14/1 is very generous. The
other that needs respect at 10/1 is Lady Mega who was unlucky in the Rockingham when short of room and finishing
best from the rear. She put in an excellent time when winning an easier race last time out and is up just 5lb. Up in trip
looks to be what she needs and the fact that there's not loads of pace may swing things in her favour.
Zalty 1pt e/w - 2nd @ 9/1
Lady Mega 1pt e/w - U/P @ 9/1
Interesting that Joseph O'Brien chooses Guerre today over Fountain Of Youth but he has rarely ridden the colt, who has surprised the supposed first string before. He beat Extortionist last time out over course and distance when the latter did plenty of work early and the selection got the better tow into the race. I can see Olly Stevens' colt reversing the form but he's 9/2 and Fountain Of Youth is a whopping 12/1. I don't understand why, perhaps he'll be used as a pacemaker for Guerre but he's still a stupid price. Abstraction coming over from 1 to lead with Stepper Point should ensure the test he will need and his form at sprint trips reads 2141, with that 4 seeing him 1st of 13 that raced his side (the wrong side) in the Windsor Castle last year.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 14/1
Tony Martin went close in a couple of big handicaps yesterday and I fancy his Artful Artist today at 8/1. The ground is the only issue but he has won on good and has been putting in some mark up performances on the flat. Hurdles never really suited but he won back on the flat last time when staying on from the back in a race where it looked to pay to be prominent. He couldn't quite overcome that problem at Leopardstown in June over 10 but this is his trip and he'll get a pace to chase today. Fran Berry is 2 from 2 on him and he'll make the frame as long as the ground is ok.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 9/1
I can't desert Wind Fire now having backed her on her last 2 runs and 12/1 is fair enough. She has little weight on her back and is well drawn to track Caspian Prince throughout. There's every chance she wants 6 but Gerald Mosse is a big plus and we haven't seen what she's capable of yet this term. She was the wrong side at Goodwood but flew home and the 2nd, 3rd and 4th in that went on to occupy those places in the Nunthorpe so it's impressive form. Also drawn badly at Sandown the run before but still only 2 and a half lengths behind the Nunthorpe 3rd, she has every right to go close here.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 10/1
Can't wait for the Portland and I'm surprised Muthmir isn't shorter. A maiden winner here over 6, he looks a Group
horse running off 100 in a handicap and this trip should be ideal. He was technically the wrong side and a touch too keen
last time meaning he got daylight too soon and others had more of a pace to chase. Out of 15 today, High On Life, Magical
Macey and See The Sun should give him a superb tow into this and I fancy he'll take some stopping at 6/1. The form
of his York win is sensational. Also worth a nibble is York Glory who is back to his last winning mark. Hopefully Clear
Spring will give those drawn low a bit of pace to chase and 25/1 is too big. That last win came at Ascot, form that
translates well to the also recently relaid Doncaster track, and Ryan Moore has to be a plus.
Muthmir 2.5pt win - WON @ 3/1
York Glory 1pt e/w - U/P @ 16/1
I do fancy Aljamaaheer to win the Park Stakes with ground and trip firmly in his favour. He is yet to win this season though and, given that the yard are just struggling a little, I'll swerve at 7/4. This is a weakish Group 2 with Es Que Love carrying a penalty and others having a bit to prove. Penitent and That Is The Spirit will probably take each other on for the lead, worrying for both of them, and the really interesting one is Cable Bay. He needs to step up on last year but his Champagne Stakes course and distance 3rd last year is solid form given The Grey Gatsby was 2nd. He was easy to back on belated reappearance but will be better for it and 9/1 makes him a play.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 12/1
The Kingston Hill watering saga is a shame in a number of respects. It's impossible to see the clerk watering having described the ground as softer than it probably was earlier in the week (perhaps with an eye on the participation of the Leger favourite). It's tricky to see Kingston Hill running if they don't water given Varian's comments. Funny given that he ran a great race in a quick ground Derby but if they think he wants it softer then they have every right to take him out. That will destroy the market but, as we look at it currently, I like Windshear very much at 8/1. He has run some brilliant Leger 'trials' in defeat over shorter and this extra trip should bring out the best in him. I fancy he will reverse form with Snow Sky and, whilst his form is not quite Group 1 standard, it is very strong and this is a sub standard renewal bar the favourite. Also worth support is Alex My Boy who has 8lb and some to find with the selection from their Ascot run but I think that was an exceptionally good handicap and Alex My Boy has improved since. He flew from the rear that day and looked crying out for further last time at Goodwood. He will not mind quick ground at all and 20/1 is value enough.
Windshear 1pt win - U/P @ 13/2
Alex My Boy 1pt win - U/P @ 14/1
One from Chester and it was to be Mabait until I saw he was drawn widest of all. I'm sick of trying to beat the draw at Chester and, though there's a bit of pace on here, there's surely not enough to get Mabait involved. Clockmaker is very much a price selection but he does like it here and is well drawn to race prominently. He has won with Hayley Turner on before and has dropped to a winning mark, though he's been putting in some inconsistent efforts of late. On his course and distance win off 3lb higher last year though, when he tracked a decent pace and extended away, he has a super chance and he's no 20/1 shot. The hood is left off and that may just freshen him up.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 14/1
2 year old races haven't been kind to this site but Fast Act looks overpriced at 14/1 back over 5. He didn't
seem to handle Goodwood when 2nd to Cotai Glory on penultimate start so a more conventional track should suit too. He is drawn
widest of all, probably not ideal given the field will end up far side, but Bond's Girl got a good pace to chase from high
numbers before tracking over yesterday and Sarista and Astrophysics should help those high get involved. He'll certainly settle
better today and the ground on the straight course will be ideal.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 16/1
Pricewise has ensured the price of Sir Walter Scott has collapsed before my very eyes and is now a best priced 10/1, which won't last long. He is unexposed under Luca Cumani and ran a good race last time. The fact he's eased 1lb is a gift. If he has a chance though then so too does Suegioo who is worth a nibble. He wants further and there's not much pace on but this is a half furlong further than the Ebor and he did best of those from towards the rear that day. He's overpriced at 22/1.
Sir Walter Scott 1pt e/w - U/P @ 7/1
Suegioo 0.5pt e/w - 3rd @ 16/1
No prices are of interest in the Doncaster Cup but I like that of Bonnie Grey in the May Hill. She is yet to run a bad race and I think the form of her Group 3 3rd last time will turn out to be very strong. I'm a huge fan of Malabar. She repelled all challengers from the front last time and the 1st and 3rd came for the rear. This is another step up but she looks to be crying out for a mile and not having to do the donkey work up top may suit at a generous 14/1.
1pt win - U/P @ 12/1
Mick Appleby is doing some sterling work with his horses and I hope Danzeno wins today. I'm not a backer at 15/8 though given he can be a bit keen and there's not bags of pace on. Yeeoow was 3rd in this last year on ground softer than ideal, has a 4lb pull with Sir Reginald (winner 12 months ago) and yet is a far bigger price and can't be left alone at 10/1. The yard are in fine form and he's just 1lb above his last win. That came at Ascot over 6, track form that translates well here I always think, and he was staying on behind subsequent scorer Blaine in a very quick time on penultimate start. Last time wasn't great but he's prone to a stinker at York and I can't fathom his price. He'll go close.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 13/2
In some ways I'm putting up Chances Are for protection against self harm should she win. She was woeful last time at
Beverley and perhaps she didn't like the track but really it was just too bad to be true. If I was willing to put her up at
5/2, I'll take 28/1 for all that this is a better race. She was beaten by Terentum Star on debut, who won a handicap
last week off 85, and Chances Are is better than a mark of 73, definitely. She just needs to show it. She's also drawn in
stall 2…for the superstitious types out there.
0.5pt e/w - NON RUNNER
I'm a huge fan of Bragging and yet have never backed her. Should have last time and should today but this is a good looking Group 3 and I'm not leaving Kiyoshi alone at double figures (11/1). I think she's desperate for a return to 7 furlongs and she's been running well of late. She travelled sweetly in France on ground softer than ideal and there's nothing wrong with her Euro Charline form. There's a bit of pace on here and that will suit her hold up style and it's worth noting that Tapestry and Rizeena, either side of her in last year's Moyglare, are Group 1 winners this term. There's a big race in Kiyoshi.
1pt e/w - WON @ 11/1
I think Arabian Comet should be favourite for the Park Hill and 4/1 is worth taking. She seems made for this trip as 12 furlongs was too sharp last time. So too at Goodwood over half a furlong shorter and, whilst this is technically tougher, she is very much still on the up. If she is worth a bet though, then both Groovejet and particularly Island Remede look overpriced. The latter was outpaced last time before staying on and, though not finding all that much at the finish, she's bred to get this trip and will strip fitter for that recent effort. She saves her best for Hanagan and 40/1 is worth a saver.
Island Remede 0.5pt e/w - NON RUNNER
Arabian Comet 1pt win - U/P @ 9/2
The feature handicap on the card looks wide open and Long Cross deserves to be at the top of the market. He's very much an unknown quantity though and the bigger prices about Mange All and The Corsican are of more appeal. The former may not settle back at this trip but the latter wants at least this far and should get a decent pace to chase. He was pitched into Group 3 company at Newmarket but the rain didn't help. He showed his worth last time though and a 7lb rise may not be enough to stop him at 7/1.
1pt e/w - WON @ 11/2
If there was any sort of nap of the day then it would have to be Doc Hay at 8/1. He's back with David O'Meara, back with the hood on in which he won first time, and, crucially, has the stands rail to stop him hanging right. And he's won over course and distance off 10lb higher. Pace drawn on his outside makes him a nice bet. A saver on Mississippi is advised given Shore Step should give him a good tow into this. He may want even more pace and isn't guaranteed to get it but his early season form here suggests he's no 22/1 poke off 2lb lower than when narrowly denied in June by a follow up winner.
Doc Hay 1pt e/w - U/P @ 10/1
Mississippi 0.5pt e/w - U/P @ 10/1
Reckless Abandon is a worthy favourite but too short for me at 2/1. He will be better than last time, as plenty are having
returned from stud, but this is a good race for the level and I'd rather back Online Alexander at 8/1 who looked
Listed quality last time at York. She has come on a bundle having returned from a break at Goodwood and showed at York she
can can come from just off the pace. The bundles of speed on show here may mean she has to again and this is tougher but she's
1pt e/w - U/P @ 13/2
A shortlist of 4 for the feature handicap. Wilde Inspiration probably wants more cut and more of a test than looks likely. Azagal is very interesting and worth a go at a price but the proper nod is a choice between Expert and Ticking Katie. I like the consistency of Karl Burke's filly though, who had ground and trip excuses last time but who will appreciate a return to 7 at 10/1. Hopefully it dries out a little as her Bragging form is some of the best going and Little Shambles (2nd) won next time. She's gone well here before and I think she'll go very close. Actually, given the form of Azagal here, not out of the top 3 on 4 starts including a course and distance win, she can't go unbacked at 20/1.
Ticking Katie 1pt e/w - NON RUNNER
Azagal 1pt e/w - U/P @ 12/1
1, 3, 9, 12, 16, 17, 20, 21, 22 is where the pace should come from for the big sprint handicap. One of those is Imperial Legend who was very well backed before throwing in a stinker last time. He has his preferred cheekpieces back on though and Dandy Nicholls will know what he's going. He's worth a go at 16/1 especially on drying ground. Pick of the race though is the superbly drawn Sleepy Blue Ocean, twice a winner here, who should get a lovely tow into this. He's not chucked in but if the ground is good come race time he can cause a shock at 25/1. Lastchancelucas and Adam's Ale are also of particular interest.
Sleepy Blue Ocean 1pt e/w - U/P @ 16/1
Imperial Legend 0.5pt e/w - U/P @ 16/1
Couple of good races at Leicester and Pastoral Player is very tempting. The race is likely to have bags of pace though and
that may suit Flow…either way there's not enough of a price about either. Later on the card Green Door is shorter still
but in an easier race. Duke Of Firenze has cheekpieces on but is 4lb worse off with the favourite and the danger could be
Boston Rocker after 10 months off on debut for this new yard. Green Door has run very well on 3 of his last 4 starts though
and the cheekpieces go on him too. He looks a much more attractive proposition at the weights this afternoon compared to Nottingham
last time and should be tough to beat at 9/4.
2pt win - 2nd @ 9/4
When Creevytennant is next allowed to make all he will win. However, the presence of Book'Em Danno is a worry and they set their stalls out in the Summer Plate to go forward. It meant the former could not get into a rhythm and the latter had to relinquish a lead to the more determined sort before taking a crashing fall. The interesting one tactically is Hero De Villeneuve who wants further but is in fine form and should get the end to end gallop he needs. I can see one of the aforementioned beating him but, if they try to beat each other, it could set up for the selection at 13/2.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 5/1