£10 on all tips this year would have returned a monster £3373 in profit!
Latest Horse Racing Tips
Exchequer is the likeable favourite at Kempton for the 7 furlong handicap this evening but I'm surprised Unforgiving Minute
isn't 2nd in the betting. He won well on debut over a mile here, keen from just off the pace, but has since flopped on turf.
The drop to 7 is a concern but there is a fair bit of pace on and he should settle better. The 3rd from that race has since
won off 80 and I fancy 83 is lenient at a generous 12/1 now returned to the all weather, where his dam was a maiden
winner. Nassau Storm and Brocklebank should get the pace they need in rear and look decent bets at the prices. Especially
the latter at 20/1 who is well treated for this return to the all weather with Jack Duern back on for an in form yard
Kempton 20.55 - Unforgiving Minute 1pt e/w
Kempton 20.55 - Brocklebank 1pt e/w
If Vikekhal gets the trip today at Fontwell I think he'll win. He showed up for a long way on belated reappearance here last time after 6 months off before clouting 3 out. There is every chance on pedigree that he'll get 2 miles 6 here and I like that he's won at Plumpoton en route as so often that form ties in at Fontwell. I'll be surprised if he goes off as big as 11/4 with most of the others having questions to answer.
Fontwell 16.10 - Vikekhal 2pt win
Pressies Girl looks feasibly treated for handicap debut at Fontwell but I fancy there may be more to come from Swallowshide on reappearance for Emma Lavelle. The yard have been sending out a few that have looked to need it this term but Court By Surprise won fresh yesterday at Exeter and Swallowshide won on first start last term. His Oscar Hoof run has him about right on 125 and I thought he'd fair better on handicap debut last time out back from 4 months off. Whilst he may strip fitter for the run he could have more to offer this term as a 5/6 year old and he looks overpriced at 14/1.
Fontwell 15.35 - Swallowshide 1pt e/w
Really good card at Exeter today and I think Far West will win. He'll make up a little acca on the day. The handicap chase
over 3 miles is a cracker and there are 2 to back. For the purposes of this I'll just put up Financial Climate at 11/1
who was beaten easily off this mark at the end of last term but he's clearly better than that. This track will suit, as will
the rain, and he's gone fresh before. The other to note is Perfect Candidate who may come on for this but is undoubtedly well
treated at 11/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 10/1
The following hurdle sees course lover Ray Diamond and also Look For Love look overpriced but it's tough to see them winning. Bajan Blue would be a bet but for the forecast and I'll just have a little bit on Thundering Home who shouldn't be outsider of this bunch at 33/1. He's dropped to 1lb below his last win and followed that success up with a close 2nd here over shorter, and was staying on, off 6lb higher. He needs to return in better form than the end of last term and the summer on the flat but those runs came on lively ground and he's certainly better with juice underfoot. The tongue tie returns and he won in it first time a couple of years ago. Bit of straw clutching going on but not without hope.
0.5pt e/w - WON @ 25/1
Tizlove Regardless might be tough to pass this evening at Kempton and 7/2 looks about right. Mubtadi will be better returned to this track and might be worth a bt of support at 16's but the bet is Hedge End at 7/1. She will be involved and may finally get her head in front if everything drops right, though she'll probably need something to keep the favourite up to his work on the front end. Cam Hardie rides really well here but probably got a bit far back last time over course and distance in a strong race for the grade. This is down in class, though still a good race, and she has been dropped 2lb. The form of her 3rd behind Brown Eyed Honey is very strong and highlights the fact she's a different proposition on the all weather.
1pt e/w - 2nd @ 6/1
Azure Fly made a pleasing start to his chasing career last time and is still rated a fair bit below his highest hurdles
mark. I was willing to back him at Newbury last year off 131 and, given he looks a better prospect in these sphere, 127 underestimates
him. He can go a bit left at times and is wayward under pressure but is improving all the time and he is more progressive
than anything in this field at 3/1, though Fergal Mael Duin warrants another look on ground that may just be lively
enough for him. He shapes for further but there's a bit of pace on here and that should suit.
1pt win - U/P @ 11/4
The feature handicap hurdle is a horrid looking affair with a short favourite that gave odds-on backers a real scare last time at Ffos Las. He'll likely be wound up for this reappearance and is clearly the most progressive of the field but his mark is hard to assess and he's not without his quirks. He might get away with it here given the rest of the field have serious questions to answer but I'll take him on with outsider of the field Cove. I nearly backed this mare a few times last term and she has gone well here before. She has been placed off this mark and is still relatively unexposed. Cheekpieces are a plus as she can go in snatches and make the odd mistake and she looks to want at least this far. However, she will be a lot better for an apparently much needed reappearance last time out and 20/1 is too tempting to ignore in this small, shoddy field.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 16/1
Can't wait to see The New One today but it's a no bet race. The following contest is of interest though and I like Kitegen
at 5/1. I can see why The Last Night is favourite given potential in first time visor but the key is that he's unlikely
to be left alone up top. That could set it up for Kitegen who will race just in behind and who is a course and distance winner
last March off just 1lb lower. That came after a break and he returns fresh for this having shaped for a drop in trip last
time out with the yard going along nicely.
2pt win - U/P @ 15/8
Earlier on the card is a lesser fancy but one that looks way overpriced. Many in the 2.45 are unknown quantities and I wouldn't have Fond Memory much bigger than the principals, especially given we know he's well treated based upon last term's efforts over hurdles. He couldn't hack a class 2 at the end of last term and perhaps needed it on reappearance. He certainly looks worth dropping back to a trip he's had most success over and a tongue tie adds intrigue. The yard are in good form and there's every chance he'll make a better chaser than he was hurdler. No 12/1 poke in my book.
1pt e/w - WON @ 5/1
I think Leading Light will win the Ascot opener and am tempted to have some money on Whiplash Willie too. However, what the
heck is Biographer doing as outsider of the field? He is a winner here over 14 furlongs, was staying on from the back
in this last year and not beaten far. He has been running back into form of late and yet pops up at 28/1. Far too big.
Lanigan was way out of form at the start of the season but is going well now and I like that George Baker is back on for a
1pt e/w - 2nd @ 25/1
Jack Dexter is a pretty confident selection for the sprint. He gets his ground and was 2nd in this race last year. I'm not sure there's anything as good as Slade Power in the line-up this time around. Jack Dexter ran a cracker from the wrong side in the Ayr Gold Cup on ground that wouldn't have been ideal and I think he'll go very close at 7/1.
1pt e/w - 3rd @ 11/2
The fillies race is substandard for me. Not a vintage Group 1 by any stretch with only 2 previous Group 1 winners in the field and 1 of them unconvincing at that. The other is Chicquita who comes into this in fair form and is lightly raced this term. She had little hope from her high draw in the Arc and will be better today in a far, far easier race. She would be a soft ground winner bar a crazy incident in France and ran a perfect prep for this behind Tarfasha at the Curragh last month, looking to want this extra couple of furlongs. Some will want even further, like the otherwise very respectable Cubanita, but not Chicquita who should be favourite for this, certainly shorter than 7/1.
1pt e/w - 3rd @ 7/1
I'm swerving the Champion Stakes where I can't really find an angle on the prices. Cirrus looks the likely winner but is priced accordingly. Conversely, Night Of Thunder looks the mile winner but is too big at 3/1. He was too far back last time at Longchamp and I expect him to reverse form with Charm Spirit. He loves cut and loves a straight track too. He needs pace and has a fair bit here in the form of Brendan Brackan, Custom Cut and probably Toormore, just next door, and I fancy he'll win this with a little in hand.
3pt win - 2nd @ 2/1
The closing handicap sees the majority of pace drawn high though, in truth, there's not bags of it. I actually like far side on soft ground here as opposed to on the quicker ground Royal meeting where you definitely want to be stand side and we do have some pace low this afternoon. First up Levitate is my favourite at 11/1 who has a capable claimer on top and will relish conditions. The yard are going well and he'll get a better run here than when best from the back last time. Also worth a look is Georgian Bay who I'm convinced can win off this mark. He is just 2lb higher than when bolting up on reappearance at Kempton and his best turf runs this term have come at Ascot. He isn't as good on turf and I'm hoping heavy will be ok given he is a half brother to a couple of heavy winners and by Oratorio but think it's definitely worth chancing at 40/1,
Levitate 1pt e/w - 4th @ 10/1
Georgian Bay 0.5pt e/w - U/P @ 33/1
At Cheltenham I'm keen on Ackertac for the 2 and a half mile chase but want him a little bigger in the market. For the 3 miler I fancy it's more open than the market suggests. Midnight Appeal opened up at 20/1 and has gone to 14/1 but still warrants respect. He has won fresh on his last 2 seasonal bows and the yard are going well. He looks feasibly handicapped off 7lb higher than his win last year and a little rain in the air will be no bad thing. I'm struggling for anything positive to say about any other runner in the race at the current prices though Dursey Sound and Golden Chieftain would be on the agenda if going a little bigger.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
The juvenile contests at Newmarket yield just 1 likely bet in the form of Kool Kompany. He's clearly not as good as
stable compaion Ivawood, not by a long stretch, but the ground is key and he will handle it better than others. He had excuses
last time when not ideally drawn and keen early giving away bags of weight but his Phoenix Stakes form is probably good enough
for him to challenge today. Ryan Moore is an obvious plus and he looks overpriced at 10/1, though it is tricky to see
him bagging anything other than minor honours.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 9/1
Air Pilot, Educate, Ocean Tempest and Mutakayyef make the shortlist for the Darley Stakes and the latter, for me, should be a 3/1 shot on form. It looks weak on paper and this 3 year old was 2nd in the Tercentenary Stakes last time which is very strong Group 3 form. The issues: he can be keen and probably wants further so a lack of pace is not ideal but 6/1 is an absolute steal. He's too good not to make the frame at the very least. Of the others I fancy Educate will go well but, equally, he should be double the price of the selection.
1pt e/w - 2nd @ 11/2
Can't wait for Cheltenham but it's probably not a card to go crazy with punting wise. The race I want to have a go at is the 3 mile handicap hurdle. First up Return Spring looks big at 11/1 given he won fresh here last year and followed it up with a 2nd and another win at the track. He's dropped 3lb after some poor runs at the latter end of last season but we know he's better than that and a return here may just spark some improvement. He just gets the vote over Sybarite. At 33/1 it could pay to have a nibble at Destroyer Deployed who was a bit of a cliff horse for me last year. He does go well here though and has Alan Johns taking off 7lb, providing a little relief for the fact that he's 5lb out of the handicap. Claim aside, he's effectively just 1lb higher than when 2nd over course and distance to Cesarewitch winner Big Easy last year and has twice been placed on seasonal bow.
Return Spring 1pt e/w - U/P @ 13/2
Destroyer Deployed 0.5pt e/w - U/P @ 20/1
If it's really soft at Haydock then Le Chat D'Or must have a super chance and double figures are worth another look. I prefer the price and chances of Ingleby Angel though at 14/1 who drops into a 0-95 for the first time this year and he likes it here. He will get a good pace to chase, which is essential, and the soft ground should be no trouble given he's won on heavy. Everything looks right for a decent showing and I think this is his best chance of success so far this term.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 12/1
There's a few trappy/dodgy little races at Wincanton today and Spoil Me is a horse near the top of the market I want to oppose.
Rogue Dancer should probably be clear favourite but he does look vulnerable to an unknown quantity and that could come from
either Herecomesthehollow or Fuse Wire. The latter is bigger in the market at 7/1 and he really showed he could
cut it at 3 miles last time. It possibly stretches him but he's bred for it and unexposed at the trip. I'm happy to give him
a go at 3 miles 1 and a half furlongs here. He looks competitive off this mark back in a handicap and certainly seems better
suited to fences than he was hurdles given what he showed on his first chase start and last time out. Dave Crosse goes well
on him and the yard are 2-6 this month.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 6/1
The feature is a very good handicap and I'm looking forward to seeing Wiffy Chatsby who is certainly well treated. The forecast is a worry though at that sort of price as he wants it quick. It's a choice between Berties Desire and Al Alfa with preference for the latter at 5/1. He would likely have won this last year but for slipping turning in and can make another bold bid from the front. He was held last time out, here, off 2lb lower and this is probably tougher but the key that day was that he was headed around half way by the winner. I'm not convinced anything else will want to go forward today, though it may actually be Berties Desire. I get the impression that runner is highly regarded though and he may just be ridden with a little more restraint so as not to give him too hard a time on this reappearance he'll probably need. Al Alfa won fresh last year and will be ready to roll from the front.
1pt win - U/P @ 4/1
One at Uttoxeter comes in the form of a bet I'd not usually have. Net Work Rouge makes his rules debut today having won a point well after being left clear. There's really no form in the book but he does have a reputation at Kim Bailey's yard and I fancy he'll be quite useful. Un Ace was a similar early price last year and came with a similar reputation when bolting up at Doncaster on his seasonal reappearance, though he did have bumper form. Either way I fancy Net Work Rouge can run into a place at worst at 12/1 and who knows. He was withdrawn due to soft ground at Huntingdon but that was more precaution on testing going. Today's good to soft will be no problem.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 11/1
Perfect Persuasion may get the pace he needs today given he shapes as though he wants further but he's still short given he's
drawn 14. Tawteen won well on all weather debut but this mark is hard to weigh up and I prefer the likes of First Experience
and Khatiba. Both are back on the all weather off feasible marks and preference is for Andrea Atzeni's mount. I hope
she isn't sent to the front as she was last time but that looked a consequence of fewer runners and a lack of pace. There's
plenty on here and that should suit as I fancy she'd get a mile. She was held by Crowdmania here on 2nd start and given what
that runner has gone on to do, you'd think a 4lb higher mark is competitive. The headgear is off which may just freshen her
up and better can be expected for a switch back to this surface at 10/1.
1pt e/w - WON @ 7/1
At Nottingham Red Baron must have a huge chance but plenty think so and he's gone from 9's to 5's very quickly. It's an open race and he's still 5lb higher than his last win so I'll swerve at that price. Megaleka looked to have the makings of a smart handicapper but she does have her querks and isn't in flying form. That explains why she's 25/1. However, she's a soft ground winner who has only ever finished out of the places once here in 5 starts over this trip and can boast 2 wins. One of those was from stall 12, where she is drawn today, but I'd prefer if she was a little lower to counter that customary hang over to the far side rail which inevitably costs her ground. The yard aren't flying but she is capable off this mark in this class and I'm gobsmacked she's near outsider of the lot.
1pt e/w - WON @ 16/1
Sticking at Nottingham I'm tempted by course lover Art Scholar at the prices but 5lb out of the handicap may be too big an ask. I really fancy Green Light but 1 factor is very off-putting at 9/2. I'll give a chance to Stand To Reason on 2nd start for Tony Carroll who is feasibly treated on his flat form before going to Nicky Henderson. We know he handles the ground and he's 5lb lower than when beaten 7 lengths in this race 2 years back. He should strip a lot fitter for his run last month having been of since January. A drop back in trip will help too at 25/1.
0.5pt e/w - U/P @ 25/1
Mercoeur looks to have a decent future but this is a tough ask for a 3 year old in likely testing conditions and I want to
swerve at a shortish price. I'm surprised last time out winner Curragh Hall is as big as he is and looks the type to
really improve for the flying Dan Skelton now he's got that win under his belt. He should handle the ground and, though there
are plenty that like to be prominent, I'm not sure anything would want to take him on for the outright lead. I thought he'd
be closer to the favourite than 5/1.
1pt win - U/P @ 2/1
Trickaway looks certain to appreciate the ground if it comes up very testing and he looks every bit a chaser in the making. Feasibly treated on handicap debut, 2/1 is tempting. However, Vermouth Bleu was going well last time wen falling and looks worth the return to a right handed track. He didn't jump well last time and was keen early on so the fact he was still in contention suggests there's more to come off this mark. He needs the blinkers to sharpen him up but the ground should mean they go a little slower at the fences and we know he handles it. I make him shorter than an 8/1 shot.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 20/1
I've had a go at Top Billing who looks a nice prospect at the top of the market. However, Flemi Two Toes has to be of interest back over hurdles with blinkers fitted. I'm a touch put off that he goes so well here and yet ran poorly at the track over fences last time and without the blinkers he'd be a swerve. He will love the likely testing ground though and a switch to hurdles with the headgear may just freshen him up at a very healthy 14/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
A favourite I was close to backing on the card was The Druids Nephew but 6/4? That's short. He has switched yards since disappointing at the latter end of last term but now looks well treated and the team are going incredibly well. AP takes over and he could romp home off this mark but still needs to prove his fortunes have changed. I'm more taken with Chapolimoss at the prices who is a course and distance soft ground winner with Nick Scholfield on top. He is 13lb higher now but is lightly raced and may not be done wining just yet. In truth I fancy he may find something too good or better treated / more progressive but he does save his best for here and he's too big at 12/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 11/2
Marchese Marconi looks a nice price for the Irish Cesarewitch tomorrow in first time blinkers but I just prefer Zeus Magic
for Brian Ellison. Andrea Atzeni is an excellent booking and this horse rattled in a quick double for Ellison towards the
end of the summer. The trainer has suggested he wants a little cut and 1 mile 6 furlongs. 2 miles here should be fine and
he certainly got an inadequate test last time over 12 at Catterick. He could be a decent stayer in the making and he still
looks well treated off 84 at a tasty 16/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 20/1
One at Ffos Las in a decent little handicap next. I was going to put up Carole's Destrier for chase debut and think he'll go close but then I saw course and distance scorer High Kite was 12/1. He won here in a good time in June and jumped and travelled better the further he went. He hasn't built on it as yet and is now 9lb higher (2lb out of the weights today) but looked as though he could leave that mark behind him. The ground should be fine and blinkers go on in an attempt to rediscover that mid-summer form. The yard are in decent nick too and he's overpriced.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
Good betting cards today. In the opener at York, Lily Rules is interesting back in a handicap but I wonder if she'll just
want a little more of a test than this. Lacan is very likeable but I prefer the price about End Of Line who looked
a decent prospect at the start of the season. He'll like the ground and it's pleasing to see some headgear go on. He will
have needed it at Chepstow having been gelded and the ground may have been on the quick side last time out. Now just 1lb higher
than his 2nd to What About Carlo at Sandown at the start of the year, he looks better than a 12/1 shot.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 17/2
Staying at York, Sudden Wonder looks a super bet at 11/1 back from a break. Both his wins have come after an absence and he should be freshened up for this significant drop in class. He was well held by Snow Sky in the Lingfield Derby trial but that runner is a subsequent Group winner and Charlie Appleby's 3 year old will enjoy today's ground. I like Adam Kirby on top too, who has a strike rate in the mid thirties for the trainer this term. He will want a test but that looks likely with plenty of pace on.
1pt e/w - WON @ 13/2
A few catch the eye in the 3 year old handicap at Newmarket in the form of Miner's Lamp, Min Alemerat and Mistiroc but, in all honesty, I'm not sure what's going to happen in this wide open, ultra competitive race and it is probably best swerved. The York sprint is worth having a go at though and right at the top of the shortlist is Mass Rally at 9/1. He goes so well here and is 3lb lower than when much better value than his 2 and a half length defeat here to Blaine would suggest. The extra half furlong suits him that little better too, and so will the ground. The other I ike is Lancelot Du Lac at 16/1 for a team going along nicely. He's been gelded and is back from 3 months off but has won fresh before and is a well treated former course and distance winner.
Mass Rally 1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
Lancelot Du Lac 1pt e/w - NON RUNNER
Main fancy for the Cesarewitch is Suegioo as I'm not sure the ground will be juicy enough for Nearly Caught. He's not ideally drawn but is a proper hold up type and has only once finished outside of the top 3 here or on the July course in 7 starts. He ran a cracker over a trip too sharp last time and stays on the same mark. He must get involved at 18/1. Next up is either Jonny Delta or Groovejet and the filly just gets the vote at 28/1. She was staying on in what looks a good race last time and so too behind Missunited the start before that at Goodwood. She's been hiked as a result but is well worth a go at the trip and the yard are back flying this month. Big Easy makes up the shortlist but is as skinny as I'd like at the prices.
Groovejet 1pt e/w - U/P @ 16/1
Suegioo 1pt e/w - U/P @ 20/1
GM Hopkins looks tough to beat on paper this afternoon but this is York on soft ground and I want to take him on. Two to go
to war with, and I can't split them at the prices, are Levitate and Big Baz. Both hail from yards in good form
and the former should be fresh from a run last time (superb form) when looking as though he needed it after a few months off.
He's gone close here before, has his ground and is dangerously well treated at 9/1. Big Baz should be shorter than
11/1 given the form of the yard and his consistency. He ran well back form a break before hitting the front too soon
at Sandwon on lively enough ground for him. Ridden more patiently when winning next time at Haydock, he is just 4lb higher
today and going the right way. Conditions should be ideal.
Levitate 1pt e/w - U/P @ 12/1
Big Baz 1pt e/w - NON RUNNER
Plenty make appeal in the 12 furlong handicap on the card and a few at nice prices. Of them, Kings Bayonet, Old Town Boy and, in particular, Chancery look decent bets. The latter has the first time headgear David O'Meara angle though and shouldn't be left alone. His last 2 wins have come here, the most recent of them over this trip off the same mark on good to soft. It is a little softer today but that's no real concern and I really fancy him to go close. The worry is that he hasn't stuck his head in front for over a year but 9/1 balances those concerns. This bet excites me.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 11/2
Just the one today and it coud be a stinker. Welsh Bard has looked a real monkey on a couple of starts since winning
a novice handicap chase off just 2lb lower in the summer and, as with his hurdles form, I was going to wait until some headgear
went on. However, he's won over further than this and a go at this testing track over 3 miles with a bit of pace on could
provide the test he needs. Most of his efforts have come at sharp tracks but he went well at Carlise not too long ago over
hurdles and may just appreciate a return to something similar. It's speculative but he's the 16/1 outsider in a dodgy
looking field. American Legend was lucky last time and I fancy According To Sarah should be the favourite and should reverse
form. She's short though and course winner Caufields Venture finished last term well out of form, though I can see the appeal.
Welsh Bard is too young and promising to write off just yet however, and Jason Maguire up is a big plus as he may need a wise
old head to help tame him (and some headgear!).
1pt e/w - U/P @ 9/1
It may rain at Ludlow today but at present the ground is quick. Boyfromnowhere is 16/1, handles all types of
ground but has been largely disappointing since winning at Fontwell last November. He's now dropped below that winning mark
and, though the yard weren't firing on all cylinders last term, they have had a good start to the new season. This track should
play to his strengths and he's gone well fresh before (he was out of form when running here at the end of last season). There
will be competition for the lead but he doesn't have to dictate and cheekpieces, which he was successful in last year, return.
What A Warrior is too short based upon last term's performances but a change of yard could work wonders for him. Dan Skelton
is fast becoming the David O'Meara of the jumps.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
I'm very tempted by L Stig on handicap debut who looks feasibly treated. The rain in the air is a worry though and this isn't a bad little race. He's probably best watched. Of those at the top of the betting, Sunblazer should improve over hurdles but he is yet to convince and the 9/2 about Zarzal is that little more appealing. He won over fences here last season off 10lb higher and loves this track, where all his wins have come. He should have been freshened up off a break and the yard are going along nicely. Anywhere else and he'd be a swerve but he's a different horse at this track.
1pt win - U/P @ 15/8
At Leicester Day of Conquest looks worth support at 8/1. A winner on his sole start here (from stall 5 that
time too and I like that the stalls are stands side as he has shown a preference for a rail in the past) he looks well worth
another go at a mile. Not too much rain has fallen, a plus for him, and there's a bit of necessary pace on here given he didn't
settle at the trip last time. He is a mile winner and this doesn't look quite as strong on paper as the race he finished off
well in over shorter last time out.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 11/2
There's a bit of pace on in the 12 furlong handicap at the Midlands track and that should help From Frost who is a very nice price at 11/1. Dropping in class from a staying on effort last time out over this trip at Goodwood, he has been tried over 14 furlong in the Melrose but wasn't up to it. This is easier though an a test at this trip could well be more his thing. He is just 1lb higher than his last win which came at Southwell but his run last time demonstrated his turf potential and he has he has the scope to build on that.
1pt e/w - 3rd @ 6/1
3 in the final race at Kempton this evening catch the eye. Gabbiano is back on the all weather, 10lb higher than for his last start here which resulted in a win. He will have the strong pace to aim at that he needs but he's just a little shorter than I'd like. The favourite, Dutch Interior relished a return to this surface last time and a 5lb hike up in class may not stop him. I thought he'd be a 2/1 shot for this so am happy to take 11/4, especially with Ryan Moore booked who is showing a profit for his Dad this year. Also worth a nibble is Taquka who may be freshened up after his mini break. He won at big odds here of 3lb lower 2 months ago and looked good value for it. Next time he was keen off a modest pace and so too last time but a good gallop with Patrick O'Donnell back on should help him settle that bit better. I think he'll be involved at 12/1.
Dutch Interior 2pt win - U/P @ 6/4
Taquka 0.5pt e/w - 2nd @ 14/1
It's an Arc that looks to be lacking a superstar this year and I want to take something at a price. Those who've followed
the column this summer will know I've backed Taghrooda antepost and I hope she wins but can't back her at single figures after
York, especially from stall 15. I hope there's a shock if she doesn't win and first up Prince Gibraltar is a monster
price at 33/1. He's perhaps not good enough to win a vintage Arc but this isn't one and he should have won the French
Derby, getting there with every stride. He's had excuses since and a good gallop over this trip on decent ground, I think
he wants decent ground, looks ideal. First time blinkers are no bad thing either as they may just sharpen up this lazy sort.
There are a few that should go forward and I think we'll see a genuine test, which will help Treve who was staying on last
time and not asked too many questions. However, if she is a 10/1 poke then Dolniya must be backed at 20/1. We
know 3 year old fillies have a good record in the race and this filly's dam was a half sister to Arc winner Dalakhani, who
won for the same team 11 years ago. They also won it with a 3 year old filly 6 years ago and, in short, know what it takes.
Again, she's not as good as the 2 aforementioned winners but may not have to be and should come on for that run in the Vermeille
when not given a hard time after 3 months off.
Prince Gibraltar 1pt e/w - U/P @ 29/1
Dolniya 1pt e/w - U/P @ 18/1
Elsewhere on the card I want to give Malabar a chance to reverse Moyglare form with Found. There are other dangers in here but Malabar is bred for further and should really appreciate the step up to a mile. The Moylare form ties in with the best of the Royal Ascot form and it just looks so strong. I'll be surprised if one of the aforementioned fillies doesn't take this and, at the prices, Malabar is the selection at 8/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 73/10
Sticking with the juveniles, War Envoy looks a big price ahead of the Jean-Luc Lagardere. He has failed to live up to expectation and has plenty to find on Ascot form with The Wow Signal. However, I though he ran a blinder from the back last time in a good race behind a very good horse in Estidhkaar and I like that Ryan Moore is back on. He learns so much from riding horses first time and will give him more of a chance this afternoon. This should be run at a stronger pace too given the bigger field and 25/1 is worth taking.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 24/1
Both We Are and Olympic Glory are tempting elsewhere on the card but the one other definite bet I want to have is Whiplash Willie. He has been on the radar for a while but I thought last time against Estimate would be too much of an ask. However, he ran a superb race and was getting there at the finish, looking as though further would suit. He gets that today and the only worry is the ground. He handles good ground but connections want to protect him and may not run him if they deem it too quick. I'll take the risk though on this very talented stayer at 7/1. If he runs, he'll be involved at the finish.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 48/10
I'm not taken with many in the juvenile races today, though Limato should take some stopping. He'll go in a double with Muthmir.
I can't wait for the Sun Chariot and am all over Sky Lantern at 9/1. She ran a cracker in the Duke Of Cambridge
at Ascot when openly needing the run and giving 5lb to Integral. She then ran a funny race next time where solely the ground
should't have been enough of an inconvenience. The yard said she wasn't herself, and wasn't for some time after, but she is
back to her old self at home now and has a better chance here than her price suggests. I'm not crazy about the Guineas form
so Miss France isn't as appealing a 3 year old as Fintry, who is a worthy favourite but I still think she'll struggle to beat
both Integral and Sky Lantern with just 3lb in hand.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
The Bengough Stakes sees last year's winner lining up again but I fancy Reckless Abandon to take this and reverse Newmarket form with Tropics. He will have needed the run after failing at Stud. He then shaped for 6 furlongs last time out behind subsequent follow up winner Mecca's Angel and he goes well here. He's a Group 1 sprinter in his prime and he looks big at 7/1. Also well worth a bet is Lucky Kristale now returned to sprint trips. She doesn't get a mile, didn't get 7 last time but shaped well for a return to 6 and is overpriced at 16/1. The yard finally sent out a winner here yesterday too.
Reckless Abandon 1pt e/w - U/P @ 5/1
Lucky Kristale 1pt e/w - NON RUNNER
The big handicap isn't as inspiring a market as I thought it may be. Bang at the top of the shortlist are the 3 at the top of the betting. Of Prince's Trust, American Hope and Highland Acclaim, it's the latter that just gets the vote and he will almost certainly make the frame. He ran a super race from the back over 6 at Ayr and isn't done winning off this mark. American Hope is very likeable as there's not bags of pace on and he likes to be up there but he is still yet to win on turf and is now up in the handicap. Also sneaking in is the O'Meara debutant Fort Bastion in first time visor. He was often on the radar for Ruth Carr but has to go up now on first run for this master trainer. He may want more of a test at the trip but he's worth chancing at 18/1.
Highland Acclaim 1pt e/w - U/P @ 8/1
Fort Bastion 1pt e/w - U/P @ 12/1
Screaming Brave is back. Put up here at a big price on reappearance, I fancy he has a better chance today given he will be
allowed to dominate. However, it was so bad last time, and he does go fresh, that you have to think he's not quite good enough
for this company. Clear favourite should surely be Pure Style for a team flying along. The horse looked to want a little
further last time in a race that has worked out very well and it was good on the clock too. He gets further today and, given
how confidentaly he was ridden last time and the fact he's returning off the same mark, 9/4 will almost certainly shorten
(opened 3/1 last night).
2pt win - 2nd @ 6/4
Regretably we've missed a few early prices and one of them is Telmeyd who it is difficult to see not winning the Ascot sprint. He blew the start last time here giving the field some 10 lengths and still finished a staying on 4th. He returns off the same mark and has Ryan Moore on top this afternoon. Perhaps the drying ground is a worry but that's finding problems. I do think Lexington Abbey is worth another go and looks a bet in the race (am tempted by the forecast). He was a little far back in the Ayr Silver Cup before staying on and it paid to be handy that day. Jamie Spencer, who rides this straight course so well, takes over and he's a price shout at 9/1.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 10/1
Another price to shorten was Outback Traveller but he's been pushed back out to 5/1 and that is tempting. The slight worry is that he wants the ground as good as firm and it's a touch easier on the straight course. He'll go very close. The pair that look too big are Muir Lodge and Outer Space. The former looks well worth a go at 7 and he did well last time at Haydock when the race developed away from him. Selection, however, given they are the same price, must be Outer Space at 28/1 who has rediscovered his form on the all weather and handled turf when on song last term just as well. He was unlucky last time when barging his way through in a very good race and a repeat of that run now back on turf should see him involved. He shapes as if a go to 7 will suit and it's certainly feasible on pedigree.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 16/1
Lost Glory is at the top of the list for win purposes today at Warwick but has duly been well backed and looks opposable now
at 9/4. Trafalgar was sure to be a danger and he is now out but the race does have 2 other likeable types. Firm Order goes
very well fresh and were headgear on as usual, I'd be very keen. I'm disappointed Wiesentraum isn't bigger than 9/2
and was going to swerve but he should be ready for this after a couple of starts this term and sharp left handed tracks really
seem to play to his strengths. 3lb higher than his last win, he likes good ground and, in the hope that Firm Order goes forward
as has been tried in the past, he and Bit Of A Jig should ensure the selection enjoys a half decent test at the trip.
1pt win - WON @ 7/2
I was trying to find every excuse in the book to put up Bayley's Dream for the previous race at Warwick. He looks feasibly treated and has bags of scope as a 5 year old but does look a stayer and may just want more pace on here. He also returns from a break without the normal tongue tie. I hope he runs a stinker then goes back over 3 miles in a race with lots of pace on and shows up at a price… In truth it's hard to oppose the favourite Finding Your Feet at 2/1 who is progressive in the visor and will face much the same test (or lack of) as last time when romping in. He wouldn't want to have his stamina stretched at the trip but should have too much toe for these if they dawdle and a 10lb hike is unlikely to halt his progression. Demographic is a danger but too much of an unknown quantity at 11/2, whilst other last time out winner Bathwick Man is very much a known quantity and lacks the scope of the favourite.
2pt win - WON @ 13/8
The 2 Mick Appleby runners make most appeal in the 10 furlong Nottingham handicap. Both have won at the track with No Win
No Fee a 2 time course and distance winner. However, it's Donny Rover at 9/2 that makes that little more appeal,
with his scope for progression and hold up tactics more suitable given the likely decent gallop. His Connecticut form is standout
and Andrew Mullen chooses him over the other. I also want to have a go at Ocean Applause for a team going well. He
didn't convince at Epsom over 12 furlongs last time but a strongly run 10 here should suit. He's just 1lb above his last win
and I'm surprised he's anywhere near as big as 22/1.
Donny Rover 1pt win - WON @ 5/1
Ocean Applause 1pt e/w - 2nd @ 20/1
Staying at Nottingham there a acouple that look a little overpriced for the 6 furlong handicap. The first is Amadeus Wolfe Tone at 14/1 who isn't normally that consistent but has now run up a couple of wins in a row. The latest was in a claimer but it looked a decent one and a drop to 6 furlongs shouldn't inconvenience. He's just 3lb higher than that recent handicap win too and I like the booking of Kieren Fallon. The other is front runner Guishan who is 2 from 2 over course and distance and, though 6lb higher than that last win, has likeable claimer Ali Rawlinson on top at 14/1. The selections will in truth want the race run a little differently and preference would be for Guishan up top in a race lacking pace in abundance but both look worth support.
Guishan 1pt e/w - 2nd @ 7/1
Amadeus Wolfe Tone 1pt e/w - U/P @ 14/1