£702 to 1pt profit on all Saturday tips!
Latest Horse Racing Tips
Just the one today and I confess to not having been through the card at Sandown, due to being in France, but thought Bradley
might head for this after his run at Cheltenham. He went right a little at times that day, and has done before, and this track
may just suit him that little bit better, though he has won at both previously. One thing he does want is good ground and
that is a given with the forecast dry and some decent times yesterday. The extra half a furlong should be another positive
given how good he looked after jumping the last at Cheltenham. Currently 8/1, the yard has been short of winners of
late but is still sending out some decent places and Conor Shoemark is a big plus as an apprentice well worth his claim. He
was very well supported last time in what was technically a tougher race and is only raised 1lb, not enough for Godsmejudge
(who is unchanged) to reverse the placings.
Sandown 15.35 - Bradley 1pt e/w
Havingotascoobydo has dropped to an interesting mark and runs over 3 miles plus for the first time in his career today. It's
not guaranteed to suit but he has been looking outpaced over shorter of late and is certainly capable of a win off 123 if
it works. The one to side with, however, could be Allthekingshorses at 7/2 for a yard in great form. He will
stay and has won on good ground before so conditions should suit perfectly. We haven't seen him since he fell almost a year
ago at Newbury in a race where the form looks pretty solid and the ground may have been on the soft side for him that day
too. He still has plenty of scope for improvement over fences on only his 4th start in this sphere and is 1lb lower than for
his last win over hurdles at Doncaster.
1pt win - 2nd @ 15/8
The following race again sees the top weight at the head of the market and Roman Flight is very tempting after his impressive reappearance at Kempton on debut for David Pipe. Still only a 5 year old, there should be more to come and conditions will suit. Keiron Edgar is also one of the best claimers to have on side. The one I want to side with is Jumps Road at 11/2 who is only 2lb higher than for his last hurdles win, which came here over course and distance. In fact, both his last wins have been here and a 100% course and distance record is a big plus. The ground may not be such a positive but that last success was on good to soft and he has only 1 career start to his name on officially good ground. Yet to fire this term, this is a significant drop in class, especially from Ascot on penultimate start, and I'd be surprised if he isn't in the mix come the finish.
1pt e/w - WON @ 7/2
A good novice handicap chase at Ludlow this afternoon sees King Massini back at the track he was successful at last time.
3 miles that day saw him to good effect but that is the only trip he has won at and I want to oppose under a 7lb penalty,
even with Conor Ring effectively taking it off. The 2 that look most dangerous are chase debutants Spoil Me and Bobcatbilly.
Ian Williams' 7 year old showed some solid form over hurdles, the best of it when 3rd at Fakenham over 3 miles and it looked
too far that day. This is a more realistic trip, having contested 2 miles 1 on heavy ground last time out and he is bred to
be a capable chaser. 7lb lower than his highest hurdles mark is feasible but I'm not keen on 3/1. I fancy Spoil Me
should be closer to those at the top of the market than 10/1. The yard is in super form without having sent out a winner
in the last few days but plenty of places at decent prices. His only win came in a jumper's bumper but he was staying on over
2 miles last time out and is of a fair mark for chase debut. His 5 and a half length defeat by Dormouse puts him right up
there for this and any overnight rain will be very welcome.
1pt e/w - 3rd @ 7/1
The staying contest at Ludlow should turn into a real test given the amount of prominent racers on show. That has to be a worry for Charingworth and Cootehill but will be no such trouble for One In A Milan. 3rd in the Midlands Grand National, he will want every bit of this but his concern is dry ground as he appears to prefer some cut, preferable plenty. The unknown quantities are Talkonthstreet, who is well treated on last season's performances but was way below his best last time, and recent French import Union Jack d'Ycy, who could be anything. Preference is for an improver that we know something about in the shape of Faultless Feelings at 5/1. The yard is going well and this 7 year old was very impressive in an all the way win on penultimate start in a decent time. He was staying on last time out over a furlong shorter at Cheltenham in impressive company (very good time) and should be able to go close here off a mark of 127. The 2nd at Uttoxeter (penultimate start) went on to run well in this class next time and Ian Popham's mount may just be ahead of the handicapper. A solid stayer, he will also appreciate a likely battle up front.
1pt win - U/P @ 3/1
An intriguing little Conditions Stakes at Lingfield sees Bancnuanaheireann attempt to build on an impressive 2nd behind Prince Alzain last time over course and distance in Listed company. He deserves to be favourite and I'm a big fan of his. He should confirm the form with Uramazin (who also ran a brilliant race last time) given that he had to travel further than the rest all the way on the wide outside. However, beware the green machine out in front that is Marshgate Lane for Mark Johnston. With no other confirmed front runner (I'm not sure that Freewheel will be up there on first start for Dandy Nicholls), this 4 year old could have the run of things and have the tactical speed to win at 3/1. He also ran over course and distance last time out and there was very little between the times, even allowing for the ground lost by the favourite. I fancy Tom Queally's mount is the better horse off level weights, but the better horse doesn't always win (and his name is so hard to spell I don't want to write it again).
1pt win - WON @ 5/2
The feature handicap at Lingfield takes place over the shortest distance and 6 year old Picansort looks worth a chance at 11/1 in his toughest task to date. He is dramatically up in class but brings with him a course and distance record that reads 224311211. He was successful the first time a visor was fitted and was a 14/1 winner here last time with it back on after a successful spell with blinkers. Either way, headgear is a must, as is a strong pace, and that seems likely with the presence of Tangerine Trees, Even Stevens and Addictive Dream. His 2 recent winning times here have been impressive and so the step up in class is not as much of a worry as at first it seemed, especially given he is carrying little weight. Yes he is up against better opposition but his best form puts him right up there, though i'm not sure hell be able to post a time faster than standard. The other to support looks to be Ubetterbegood, mainly because I followed him off a cliff in the summer and will cry if he wins. He was gelded before his last effort at Kempton and that was an unlucky, though greatly improved effort.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 14/1
Bright Applause looks the one to side with of those more prominent in the market for Segefield's handicap hurdle over 17 furlongs.
He will appreciate the drying ground and the form of his last start looks more solid than the form any other runner brings
into this. Travis County has major claims but if the former goes off bigger than the latter, then Richard Johnson's mount
will look a very solid bet. Of interest at a bigger price are both Bonnie Burnett and Satanic Beat. The latter improved
on the flat towards the end of the season and looks weighted with perhaps a little in hand on handicap debut. Bonnie Burnett
makes plenty of appeal on her novice hurdle form at 10/1, and should be capable of running to a mark about 10lb higher
solely based on that. However, she was poor last time and looks the model of inconsistency. The ground may have been the issue
recently as she has under performed on heavy before and I think she'll see this out better on today's surface. A strong traveller
that sometimes finds little, I actually think she lacks pace at the business end and a likely stern test here may be what
she needs. We should certainly find out about stamina and she's worth a go off a career low mark.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 12/1
There's plenty of competition for the favourite in Kempton's feature handicap this evening and it's wise to have a good look
at Secret Beau. He was yet to finish anywhere other than 2nd at the track until last time out, when squeezed for room early
and a little too far off the pace to be competitive. I like plenty of the youngsters in this and Bowstar is another with every
chance. He goes very well here and drops back in class from last time when his effort was a little better than his finishing
position suggested. However, purely form a price point of view, Panther Patrol looks too big for this at 20/1.
This should be run at a decent gallop but I don't think it'll be fierce as a few that have front run before have done so over
further and some didn't opt for those tactics last time out. He appeared not to see out 7 furlongs on his only start at the
trip but actually that race was a pretty slow time and I fancy he lacked a little speed to go with them at the business end
(if that wasn't the case then he has little chance today). Staying on for both recent course efforts over shorter, and given
the form of the latter looks pretty strong, I think he'll get further the older he gets. The yard is in good nick on the all
weather and cheekpieces are tried for the first time, which may just eek out that little bit more.
1pt e/w - U/P @ 20/1
Over at Plumpton, Further More could romp to victory in a modest looking handicap chase but I'm not brave enough to back a horse with his current form figures. We have to remember that he was running for a yard out of form last year but looked much better on chase debut last time before hitting 3 out and finishing tamely. He looks a better prospect over shorter and I'd take him in the battle at the top of the market with Mister Wiseman. However, the pair of Doheny Bar and top-weight Porters War are worth a pop in a relatively weak affair. The former has a good record here but I just worry he is carrying too much weight to justify supporting him at his current price. On better ground than he has had on 2 starts this term, Jeremy Scott's 11 year old is off a workable mark and should threaten back over a fairly sharp 2 and a half miles. He has form at Fontwell, no bad thing coming into a first effort at Plumpton, and drops in class for the first time in over a year. He was pulled up 3 starts ago but broke a blood vessel, found 3 miles too far on penultimate start, and made an error when competitive 4 out last time on ground that may have been too soft. No excuses today at 12/1, chance.
1pt e/w - WON @ 7/1
A year ago I thought the days of tipping Don Cossack were over. He seemed a horse destined not to fulfil his potential and
I've lost money on every back/lay I've placed on him…including when I opposed him first time out this year on chasing debut.
So this is it Don Cossack because I think you're a good thing today at 11/4. Looking through what has beaten
him, Annie Power, Pont Alexandre (maybe not so much Mozoltov) and Morning Assembly are all serious horses and I'm not sure
there is anything of that class lining up here. Gordon Elliott's 6 year old is a far better chasing prospect than he was hurdler
and is worth another chance. The horse that beat him last time looks very good indeed and I'm not worried about him dropping
back over 2 and a half miles. The ground would be better softer but I still think he's very much the one to beat. Sizing Rio
is progressive and won a Grade 3 last time but the races looks weak and there should be more in the market between the top
2pt win - WON @ 13/8
Jezki must win the Hatton's Grace Hurdle and has been fortunate that the ground is not too soft. He handles soft ground but if this was a real test in a bog then there'd be major concerns about him seeing it out. Either way, Rule The World looks more of a bet at the prices but the race is best left alone. The following handicap is often won by the favourite and Sword Fish is a solid option after his comfortable win last time. He will see out the extra trip and, even with a 15lb rise, he may still be ahead of the handicapper. The one I like a a price is ex-Tim Vaughan inmate Thelobstercatcher at 14/1. He's moved to a yard that has sent out some impressive recent winners and he has shown steady improvement, bar an effort last time where he got off to a bad start. A step back up in trip could be just what he needs and he has undoubtedly dropped to a very lenient mark with better ground firmly in his favour.
1pt e/w - WON @ 7/1