Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway Latest Odds, Fight Times, Streaming Information for UFC 329 Rematch
Conor McGregor and Max Holloway are set to duel again on July 11th for the first time in 13 years, if McGregor makes it to the ring. Let's check out this McGregor vs. Holloway UFC 329 odds for the rematch.
Peter Alexis - May 21, 2026, 12:15 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadConor McGregor vs. Max Holloway Odds: Can McGregor Return to the Octagon, Upset Holloway at UFC 329 in July?
Conor McGregor and Max Holloway are set to run it back 13 years after their first meeting, with the rematch scheduled for UFC 329 on July 11 in Las Vegas. McGregor won their 2013 fight by unanimous decision, but the market is treating this version very differently, with Holloway a massive -400 favorite and McGregor sitting at +350.
The biggest question is whether McGregor actually makes it to fight night. He has not fought since breaking his leg against Dustin Poirier in 2021, has had comeback attempts fall apart before, and is now trying to return against one of the most durable and active elite fighters of his generation.
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Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway Odds
- Moneyline: McGregor (+350), Holloway (-400)
Conor McGregor vs. Max HollowayDate, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, July 11th, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Paramount+
Click here for complete McGregor vs. Holloway odds
Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway Prediction
Max Holloway (-400)
Holloway is priced like the much safer side because he has been active, battle-tested, and far more reliable in recent years. He remains one of the best volume strikers in UFC history, and even as he moves deeper into the veteran stage of his career, his pace, durability, and shot selection still make him a brutal matchup for a returning fighter trying to shake off five years of inactivity.
The method market tells the same story. Holloway by KO/TKO is listed at -148 as the most likely method of victory, while the fight is -400 to not go the distance. That points to the expectation that Holloway eventually overwhelms McGregor with pressure, volume, and accumulated damage rather than letting this turn into a slow tactical decision.
Conor McGregor (+350)
McGregor’s +350 price is the longest underdog range of his UFC career, and it reflects how much uncertainty surrounds him. At his peak, McGregor had one of the most dangerous left hands in the sport, elite timing, and the ability to punish even small defensive mistakes. That version would have made any Holloway rematch fascinating. This version has not fought since 2021, has only fought four times in MMA since 2016, and is trying to answer durability, conditioning, and reliability questions all at once.
There is still a reason the fight carries massive intrigue. McGregor already beat Holloway once, and if his timing is sharp early, he has the power and counterpunching instincts to make the first round dangerous. The problem is that a McGregor bet requires a lot of assumptions: that he shows up, makes weight, survives the pace, and still has enough explosiveness to hurt Holloway before the fight tilts toward volume and attrition.
UFC 329 Betting Outlook
The round total sitting at 3.5 creates an interesting contrast with the fight not to go the distance at -400. Books are expecting a finish, but not necessarily a 90-second collapse. That makes sense for a five-round main event where Holloway’s most likely path is to gradually break McGregor down, especially if the former two-division champion fades after the early danger window.
The market has this fight framed correctly. McGregor is the storyline, but Holloway is the reliable fighter in 2026. Unless McGregor proves in camp and at weigh-ins that he is physically ready for a real UFC main event again, the odds are less about name value and more about trust. Holloway at -400 is expensive, but the number reflects the reality of the matchup: one fighter has been competing, while the other is trying to restart a career that has been paused for five years.
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