Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams Game Pick: MNF Prediction and Odds

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams Game Pick: MNF Prediction and Odds

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Packers vs. Rams Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: December 19, 2022
• Game Time: 8:15 pm ET
• Where to Watch: ESPN

Packers vs. Rams Odds

• Spread: Packers -7 (-110), Rams +7 (-110)
• Total Odds: O/U 39.5 (-110)
• Moneyline Odds: Packers (-335), Rams (+260)

Click here for Packers vs. Rams odds

Packers vs. Rams Prediction

The 5-8 Green Bay Packers play host to the 4-9 Los Angeles Rams in a Week 15 Monday Night Football game between two underwhelming teams. Both these teams were expected for much greater things this season, but neither has found their stride. Still, the Packers are technically in the playoff race, but if they lose this game, they have no chance. They must win out and hope a few other teams drop some games for the Packers to make it. The Rams, on the other hand, are out of the race at 4-9, and they have lost their best players during the season. With tonight's game being a "must-win" for the Packers, who can we expect to step up?

I think it is Aaron Jones. As far as consistency goes, Aaron Jones has been one of the most consistent players for the Packers this season and for six seasons in a row since he joined the team. Aaron Jones' 5.2 yards per carry is tied for the third-highest among running backs in the league, behind Khalil Herbert and Tony Pollard.

I think Aaron Jones may be getting slightly overlooked in this game, as crazy as that sounds, because of the big game A.J. Dillon had last time out against the Bears. Dillon had 18 carries for 93 yards and three receptions for 26 yards, totaling 129 yards from scrimmage in that game. However, Aaron Jones was dealing with two injuries that even had him sidelined for part of the Eagles game before returning. Jones has not been fully healthy since Week 9 when he sustained the injury, but with a whole week off and the Packers coming off their bye, Jones is finally listed as healthy. Sure, the injury may nag a little bit, but Jones staying off the injury report means he will be as healthy as ever since Week 9. So while Jones may have been stalling a bit over the last few games, a bye week to get healthier was precisely what he needed to return in a big game the Packers need to win.

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As a result of Jones' performance over the last few games, the lines have been dropping on him. His receiving line is only 20.5 tonight, and I think he will get to the mid-30s. Jones operates as the main receiving back between him and Dillon. With Dillon having such a great game on the ground against the Bears, I think he sees more carries, while Jones gets more of the designed passing plays. Jones has passed 20 receiving yards in six of his thirteen games this season, but he was dealing with an injury for five of those games. Also, while the line is 20, Jones has hit exactly 20 in two of them.

With so many issues out wide for Green Bay, Jones has been a trusted set of hands for Rodgers, and Jones has been seeing more and more designed passing plays this season. He has caught 48 of his 58 targets, and he has 328 receiving yards across his 13 games, averaging 25.2 per game. Now that he has had a bye week to get healthy, I think we see a big game from the sixth-year back. I also don't mind playing his total yards from scrimmage at 85.5, but I am more confident he gets into the 30s through the air. The Rams have allowed an average of 39 receiving yards per game to running backs, and I see Dillon taking the majority of carries, while Jones gets the majority of targets.

• 2 Unit Pick: Aaron Jones O20.5 Receiving Yards @ (-110) Bet $200 to collect $381. DraftKings has the best odds, click here to bet