2025 U.S. Open Sleepers and Value Picks: Bet on Lowry, Spieth at Oakmont
Jordan Spieth hasn't won a major since 2017, and would love to get back in the mix at Oakmont this week with a U.S. Open win. Does he have the chops to compete with Scheffler and other stars right now? Matt MacKay is targeting him and a few others in his U.S. Open sleepers and value picks.
Matt MacKay
| 6 Minute Read
2025 U.S. Open Sleepers and Value Picks: Bet on Lowry, Spieth at Oakmont
The third major of the 2025 PGA Tour season is here and will be hosted at Oakmont Country Club this week. It's a brutal par 70 course that has become infamous for its five-inch rough and lightning-fast greens.
This is the first time Oakmont has hosted a U.S. Open major since 2016, when Dustin Johnson won at 4-under-par. Those conditions were more favorable after heavy rain and a washout, which isn't expected to be the case this time around in Pittsburgh.
Oddsmakers have Scottie Scheffler valued as a massive betting favorite at +280 odds to win his fourth career major. It'd be the first U.S. Open title for the World's No. 1 ranked golfer, who has won three of his past four events played, including the 2025 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club on May 18th.
After Scheffler, odds lengthen considerably. 2024 U.S. Open winner, Bryson DeChambeau, is the next betting favorite at +900, followed by Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm at +1200 odds. Xander Schauffele (+2200) and Collin Morikawa (+2500) are the only other golfers with odds shorter than 35-1 to win the 2025 U.S. Open at Oakmont.
PGA handicapper Matt MacKay is back with his favorite 2025 U.S. Open sleeper picks in the outright winner betting market. He's using the latest odds ahead of Round 1 at Oakmont Country Club on Thursday morning.
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2025 U.S. Open Odds
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2025 U.S. OPEN DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH
- Date: Thursday, June 12 - Sunday, June 15, 2025
- Time: 6:00 AM - 8:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: USA, Peacock, NBC, USGA App, USOpen.com, DirecTV, YouTube TV
2025 U.S. Open Sleeper Picks
Shane Lowry (+4500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best U.S. Open odds
It's been five years since Shane Lowry's last solo win on the PGA Tour, which came during the 2019 Open Championship at Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland. Lowry is currently 45-1 to win at Oakmont, which makes him the eighth betting favorite.
Lowry has a pair of runner-up finishes on the PGA Tour in 2025, including recently at the Truist Championship. He logged a T42 finish at the Masters, before missing the cut at the PGA Championship.
The Irishman's game fits nicely with the challenges at Oakmont. Lowry ranks fifth in total strokes gained, including second SG: Approach, 28th driving accuracy, and first in proximity. He's also 24th scrambling, 30th scoring average and 17th on par 4s.
Putting has been the Achilles heel for Lowry. However, the 14-15 foot putting velocity on these Perennial poa annua greens will challenge most golfers in this field, mitigating Lowry's weakness with his putter.
Let's place a half unit (0.50) wager on Lowry to end his five-year win drought with another major victory at 45-1 odds.
Jordan Spieth (+7000) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best U.S. Open odds
Jordan Spieth has plenty of talent and over a dozen wins carded during his career on the PGA Tour. He's another golfer riding a win drought entering Oakmont, although he's elevated his play in recent events.
Spieth has a pair of top 10 finishes in his last five events. These came at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson (4th) and a T7 at the Memorial Tournament during his most recent outing.
Spieth won the 2015 U.S. Open at Chambers Bay a decade ago. In 2016, he carded a T37 finish (+9) at Oakmont.
He's ranked 19th in total strokes gained, including 26th SG: Off-the-Tee and 23rd putting average. Spieth is also 28th on par 4s and 36th total driving.
He thrives at difficult courses that aren't birdie fests. Oakmont certainly fits this bill. At 70-1, let's bet a quarter unit (0.25) on Spieth for a massive payout.
Keegan Bradley (+10000) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best U.S. Open odds
Keegan Bradley is rounding into form ahead of Round 1 at the 2025 U.S. Open. He's carded back-to-back top 10 finishes, including a T8 (-4) at the PGA Championship.
Bradley missed the cut at Oakmont in 2016. He's got two top 10 finishes, including a T7 finish at the 2022 U.S. Open at The Country Club.
Ranks 15th total strokes gained, notably 14th SG: Approach, 19th total driving, and 22nd proximity. Also 26th putting average, 17th on par 4s and 27th SG: Off-the-Tee.
Putting and approach shots from 200+ yards are Bradley's weak areas heading into Round 1. However, his tee-to-green accuracy and ability to navigate par 4s successfully should allow Bradley to climb the leaderboard into potential contention.
Let's bet 0.10 units on Bradley to win his first U.S. Open at 100-1 odds.
Taylor Pendrith (+12500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best U.S. Open odds
Getting Taylor Pendrith at 125-1 odds feels like good value. The Canadian golfer ranks fourth SG: Off-the-Tee, including 35th SG: Approach in 2025.
Pendrith is fifth in total driving, seventh at finding greens in regulation, as well as top 50 in 200+ yard approach shots and hole proximity. His short game is a liability but I like Pendrith's tee-to-green efficiency.
He's coming off of a solid T16 finish at Pinehurst No. 2 during the 2024 U.S. Open. He also carded a T5 finish at the PGA Championship during the last major, going 5-under-par with strong opening and closing rounds.
Let's place another 0.10 unit sprinkle on Pendrith at a long 125-1 price to win the 2025 U.S. Open.
Sungjae Im (+12500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best U.S. Open odds
I'll wrap up with Sungjae Im in this same 125-1 outright winner price range. He's missed the cut at three consecutive U.S. Open events, while never placing higher than T22 in six attempts.
The South Korean golfer is volatile but has improved his short game considerably in 2025. Im ranks 31st SG: Putting, 39th scrambling, third in putting average and leads the PGA Tour in putts per round. He's 28th on par 4s and 13th in birdie average.
Im struggles has regressed with his irons, ranked 177th SG: Approach this season. He's also 157th for finding greens in regulation, 167th proximity, 126th on Approach from 200+ yards and 153rd in driving distance.
Despite significant struggles with his irons, Oakmont could be a good course for Im to play. He's ranked ninth in driving accuracy, which will help him avoid errant lies in the intimidating five-inch rough. His short game is also going to allow Im to separate from others in this field.
Let's place one final 0.10 unit wager on Im at +12500 odds to win his first major at the 2025 U.S. Open.
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