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NBA Rookie Rankings: Ranking the Top 5 Candidates Based on Their 2023 Rookie of the Year Odds

Kade Kimble analyzed the odds changes for the NBA Rookie of the Year award. He even ranks the top 5 candidates. Read on to see who's on his list.
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NBA Rookie Rankings: Ranking the Top 5 Candidates Based on Their 2023 Rookie of the Year Odds

Just when you thought Paolo Banchero couldn’t further extend his lead with the odds, he does. He’s continuing to gradually build separation as the odds leader, and it’s begun to add up. But how does the rest of the field look? Let’s take an updated look at the NBA Rookie of the Year Odds Power Rankings. 

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OddsPlayerStockImplied Chance
-10000Paolo BancheroNeutral99.01%
+2500Jalen WilliamsUp3.85%
+10000Walker KesslerNeutral0.99%
+25000Bennedict MathurinDown0.4%
+25000Jaden IveyNeutral0.4

Ranking the Top 5 Candidates Based on Their 2023 Rookie of the Year Odds

1. Paolo Banchero (-900) Bet $100 to collect $111 FanDuel has the best odds, click here to bet

Banchero has maintained the lead in the odds for so long, that the only thing to analyze is how much further he’s separated his lead. He’s retained his 20+ points per game status thus far into the season, and it feels like it’s going to stick. Every time he plateaus and scores under 20 points consistently, he has a very solid stretch of bounce-back games. The further he extends the lead, the less it matters that he maintains that 20+ points per game status. With Mathurin being his only real competition at this point in the season, it’s no surprise that Banchero is able to keep expanding his lead despite slowly dropping statistically. 

2. Bennedict Mathurin (+900) Bet $100 to collect $1,000 FanDuel has the best odds, click here to bet

Again, Mathurin is the only real competition for Banchero, and that’s becoming less and less of a competition. While holding a very, very solid lead for Ivey, Mathurin would have to do some jaw-dropping stuff over the next few weeks to make this race respectable again. He plays on the better team between him and Banchero, and that’s sort of to his disadvantage because he might be a 20+ points per game scorer in a different situation. Now, he could easily jump to that status next season, but he’d have to do far too much to catch up this season, thus leaving him as a strong runner-up candidate. 

3. Jaden Ivey (+4000) Bet $100 to collect $4,100 BetRivers has the best odds, click here to bet

Ivey really has done enough to maintain his spot in third place, and it’s likely going to remain that way. He’s got enough of a lead from Kessler that his spot feels safe, and he’s quite far from Mathurin in second place. So, it would take a drastic bump in play or fall off from Ivey for anything to happen to his spot on the list. Statistically, being third makes sense, too. He’s averaging 15.1 points per game and as the season continues, he’ll likely finish scoring around 15 points per game. I really thought he’d take a big jump after Cade’s injury, but that hasn’t happened quite yet. I can still hold onto hope, but the trends since his injury haven’t shown that it’s going to happen.

4. Walker Kessler (+15000) Bet $100 to collect $15,100 BetRivers has the best odds, click here to bet

Kessler has climbed the boards as of late, and it makes sense that he’s seen a usage and minutes bump recently, too. It was a matter of time before Kessler is showing his potential. His counting stats aren’t Rookie of the Year worthy, but because this is a 2.5-man race for the award, Kessler can get his honorable mention, fourth place. He’s averaging 7.6 points per game and 7.3 rebounds per game this season. Now, if he continues to improve those stats and stays playing nearly 25 minutes per game, he could see another odds boost, but nothing that rattles the board. 

5. Keegan Murray (+20000) Bet $100 to collect $20,100 BetRivers has the best odds, click here to bet

Murray’s odds have continued to slip recently, but he’s due for an odds boost soon. He’s had two 20+ point games recently, including a 29-point, 10-of-12 shooting performance against the Thunder. Those are games that should boost his odds, and, frankly, his case is more compelling than Kessler’s. The Kings are a good team, and Murray is playing his role in them being a good team, so he should get more recognition for that in this race. I like him to find his way back to the fourth spot on this list very soon.

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Kade has spent his last 3 years writing about the Oklahoma City Thunder. He has also been following the NBA for the past 11 years. Just recently, Kade began co-hosting the Boomtown Hoops Podcast.

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