NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Can Anyone Catch Paolo Banchero in the ROTY Race?

With the 2022-23 season reaching the final month or so of play, Kade Kimble takes an updated look at the NBA Rookie of the Year Odds Power Rankings.
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NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Can Anyone Catch Paolo Banchero in the ROTY Race?

The only thing really impacting odds down this final stretch of the season is time. With how this race has gone, not much can change when a player like Paolo Banchero has run away with the odds for the entire season. Let’s take another check-in on the NBA Rookie of the Year Odds Power Rankings.

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OddsPlayerStockImplied Chance
-4500Paolo BancheroNeutral97.83%
+5000Bennedict MathurinNeutral1.96%
+8000Walker KesslerNeutral1.23%
+10000Jalen WilliamsNeutral0.99%
+10000Jaden IveyNeutral0.99

Click here for NBA Rookie of the Year odds

2022-23 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds

1. Paolo Banchero (-4500) Bet $100 to collect $102 Get the best odds at FanDuel; click here to bet

Though not much changed for Banchero over the past week, time is running out, and no other rookie is showing enough pushback to catch up to Banchero in the ROTY race. Simply put, all of the other rookies have little to no time to do anything substantial enough to make this race respectable. With the regular season dwindling away, Banchero is averaging over 20 points per game and will do so for the remainder of the season, helping him polish his resume to win the award. 

2. Bennedict Mathurin (+5000) Bet $100 to collect $5,100 Get the best odds at DraftKings; click here to bet

This last week was a showing that Bennedict Mathurin won’t have enough to catch Banchero in this race. When Mathurin needed the most minutes and shots to chase Banchero statistically, he played a few minutes. He took few shots, giving his season-long stats another knockdown, which helped Banchero build more and more separation in terms of the best resume. The race is beginning to feel out of reach, and there will have to be a historical stretch from Mathurin for anything to change. 

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3. Walker Kessler (+8000) Bet $100 to collect $8,100 Get the best odds at UniBet; click here to bet

Walker Kessler’s last-season push for the award has been interesting. Statistically speaking, he hasn’t done enough to compete for the award. However, his impact is incredible for his team, that has over-succeeded this far into the season and will give the Play-In a push. It’s not enough for Kessler to have better odds for this award, though. He’s become a double-double machine and had he put together more and more of these games to start this season, this final stretch might look different in terms of his odds of winning the award.

4. Jalen Williams (+10000) Bet $100 to collect $10,100 Get the best odds at Caesars; click here to bet

Jalen Williams had a similar season trajectory as Kessler. He’s now coming off some of his strongest games, but it feels like too little, too late. He’s recently got his highest-scoring games and some huge impacts to help lead his team, but it’s not a full enough sample size for the season to give him any better odds. It’d be incredibly hard to compare his stats to Banchero's and explain how he might deserve the award more. 

5. Jaden Ivey (+10000) Bet $100 to collect $10,100 Get the best odds at PointsBet; click here to bet

Jaden Ivey has had a slight bump in numbers as of late, but it hasn’t been done efficiently. If Ivey could have put together a longer, a more efficient stretch of big numbers in Cade Cunningham’s absence, he wouldn’t have fallen so hard down this list and in his odds. He was solely in third place for so long but recently took a tumble with a consistent drop in play. It’s beginning to look like Ivey won’t get as much ROTY love as it seemed early in the season.

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Kade has spent his last 3 years writing about the Oklahoma City Thunder. He has also been following the NBA for the past 11 years. Just recently, Kade began co-hosting the Boomtown Hoops Podcast.


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