
WNBA Championship Odds: New York Liberty Favored Over Indiana Fever, Defending Champ Las Vegas Aces
The WNBA season gets underway on Friday night, and the New York Liberty will look to win their second title in three years with a stacked roster. They added Satou Sabally in the offseason to pair with Stewart, Ionescu, and Jones, and now are favored over both the Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever in the 2026 title race. Let's check the complete WNBA championship odds ahead of the May 8th season opener.
Peter Alexis - May 8, 2026, 9:40 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadWNBA Title Odds: Liberty, Fever, Aces Among Title Favorites as Season Begins
The WNBA season begins Friday, May 8, and the New York Liberty open as the title favorites at +220 after one of the biggest offseason swings in the league. New York already had championship-level star power with Sabrina Ionescu, Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones, but the April signing of Satou Sabally gives the Liberty another elite forward who can score, stretch the floor and raise the team’s ceiling in any playoff matchup.
The chasing pack is loaded. Las Vegas and Indiana are both +450, Atlanta sits at +650, and Minnesota rounds out the top five at +900. The board reflects a league with several realistic title paths, but it also makes clear that New York’s combination of proven stars, depth and offseason ambition has separated the Liberty as the early betting favorite.
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WNBA Championship Odds
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WNBA Championship Odds Breakdown
New York Liberty (+220) Check out the best odds on DraftKings Sportsbook
The Liberty finished 27-17 last season and entered the playoffs as the No. 5 seed before losing a first-round series to Phoenix, a disappointing ending for a team with title expectations. That finish explains the urgency behind the Sabally move. Ionescu, Stewart and Jones already gave New York one of the strongest cores in the league, and adding Sabally creates a lineup with size, versatility and shot creation at multiple positions.
The concern is chemistry and early health, especially with Ionescu dealing with a preseason ankle scare and Sabally also working through availability questions before the opener. Still, the +220 price reflects the most complete roster on paper, and the Liberty have enough offensive balance to justify favorite status.
Las Vegas Aces (+450) Check out the best odds on Caesars Sportsbook
The Aces remain the most dangerous threat to New York because they still have A’ja Wilson, and Wilson continues to define the championship tier by herself. Las Vegas finished 30-14 last season, entered the playoffs as the No. 2 seed, and went on to win the championship, with Wilson averaging 23.4 points, 10.2 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 2.3 blocks and 1.6 steals across 40 games.
Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray keep the Aces’ perimeter structure intact, while Becky Hammon’s group still has the late-season and postseason experience to punish any contender that is not fully connected. At +450, Las Vegas is not priced like the favorite, but the Aces remain the cleanest answer to the Liberty if the race becomes about playoff execution over roster depth.
Indiana Fever (+450) Check out the best odds on BetMGM Sportsbook
The Fever finished 24-20 last season, reached the semifinals, and pushed Las Vegas to five games before their playoff run ended. That matters because Indiana is no longer just a Caitlin Clark story. Clark, Aliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell give the Fever a legitimate top-end trio, while Lexie Hull and a deeper supporting cast give Stephanie White more lineup flexibility entering the new season.
The key question is health and consistency. Clark was limited last season, and Indiana still managed to become a semifinal team, which makes the upside obvious if she is fully available and controlling games again. The +450 price is aggressive, but it reflects the market’s belief that Indiana’s ceiling is no longer theoretical.
Atlanta Dream (+650) Check out the best odds on DraftKings Sportsbook
The Dream finished 30-14 last season, earned the No. 3 seed, and then fell to Indiana in the first round after losing a winner-take-all Game 3. That playoff exit left a clear gap between regular-season strength and postseason trust, but Atlanta still has the profile of a team that can push into the top tier. Allisha Gray gives the Dream a proven lead scorer and two-way guard, while Rhyne Howard and Brionna Jones keep the roster balanced around shot creation and frontcourt force.
The addition of Angel Reese adds rebounding, physicality and another high-profile piece to a team that already had contender-level regular-season results. At +650, Atlanta is priced behind the more obvious powers, but the Dream have enough talent to make that number interesting if the offense holds up against elite playoff defenses.
Minnesota Lynx (+900) Check out the best odds on Caesars Sportsbook
The Lynx had the best regular-season record in the league last year at 34-10, led the WNBA in scoring at 86.1 points per game, and still saw their title push end early in the semifinals against Phoenix. That creates a strange betting profile entering the new season. Minnesota has the coaching edge with Cheryl Reeve, the star power of Napheesa Collier, and a proven core with Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams, but the offseason also brought real turnover.
The Lynx lost key contributors, added Natasha Howard, brought in Olivia Miles, and are waiting on Collier’s early-season recovery after offseason ankle surgery. The +900 price is longer than the team’s regular-season résumé would suggest, but it reflects the uncertainty around roster changes and early availability. If Collier gets healthy and Miles gives Minnesota immediate backcourt lift, the Lynx could quickly look undervalued again.
WNBA ODDS
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