Sunday was one of the best days Giants fans have had in recent years. The insertion of Daniel Jones as the team’s starting quarterback had fans genuinely excited to watch their team take on the Buccaneers. When Jones led the G-Men to a massive comeback win it sent the team’s passionate fan base into a justifiable frenzy.
Your job as a bettor is not to get caught up in all the hype. Jones is absolutely an upgrade over Eli Manning at quarterback for New York. He’s probably better in every facet of the game. Jones doesn’t have the same level of experience as the two-time Super Bowl champion, but there’s no question who the better quarterback is in 2019.
Let’s first clear up what Jones doesn’t do for the Giants. He does not suddenly transform this team into a Super Bowl contender. Any wager you make backing New York to shock the world and lift the Lombardi Trophy is the equivalent of lighting your cash on fire. Don’t even think about it.
It also doesn’t suddenly catapult the Giants into contention to win the NFC East. Even at +2100 odds it doesn’t make any sense to bet on New York to overcome the Cowboys and Eagles. Dallas, in particular, has a massive advantage since they’ve sprinted out to a 3-0 record. Even with the win over Tampa Bay, the Giants are already two games behind their longtime rivals.
There’s a decent chance that Pat Shurmur’s team won’t be able to finish ahead of the Eagles either. These two teams are going in opposite directions when it comes to health. The elephant in the room for the Giants is that Saquon Barkley is going to miss significant time with the high ankle sprain he suffered against the Buccaneers. There’s a cogent argument to be made that subtracting him from the offense is a bigger loss than adding Jones to the lineup.
Philadelphia, on the other hand, is hoping to get some of their key players back soon. Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson both missed their loss to the Lions. There’s no guarantee that either guy will be back next week, but both should return to the lineup before Barkley gives the Giants a boost. If you forced me to back one team or the other right now I’d still lean towards Carson Wentz and company to straighten things out and finish ahead of the Giants.
Clearly, finishing third in their own division means the Giants aren’t likely to be a playoff team. This roster is still at least a year away from being a serious postseason contender. It will take a minimum of nine wins for an NFC team to sniff a Wild Card Berth. Even if Jones plays really well for the rest of the season, the Giants are not going to make it to that mark.
We hate to throw cold water on anyone’s enthusiasm about the Giants and their rookie signal caller, but there isn’t a ton of money to be made here. Exercise caution when reacting to one week of football. Jones looked really good against a bad Buccaneers defense, but inconsistently really dogged him during his collegiate career at Duke. He’s likely going to have a few games where he looks like a rookie who is in over his head.
In the end, Jones makes the Giants more watchable this season, and more importantly, he drastically brightens their future outlook. He doesn’t make them an instant contender though. Don’t bet on the Giants like he will suddenly play like a Pro Bowler as a rookie.
The Giants are currently favored by 3 points at home to the Redskins in week 4, click HERE to see all the odds for Sunday’s game