NFL Odds & Betting: Top 5 Cases Where Bookmakers Disagree Ahead Of Regular Season
We’ve taken a look at some of the biggest odds differences offered by online bookmakers ahead of the 2020/21 season
1. Rob Gronkowski to win Comeback Player Of The Year
Best Odds on OddsChecker: +1100Worst Odds on OddsChecker: +450
This isn’t the biggest odds difference being offered ahead of the 2020/21 NFL season, however, it’s potentially one of the most head-scratching. Rob Gronkowski took home the 2014 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award after returning after that horrific knew injury.
Gronkowski is aiming to become the second ever player to be a two-time recipient of the award, the only other player to do this is Chad Pennington. Gronkowski has joined Tom Brady at the Buccaneers this season, and has been made the third favorite in the Comeback Player of the Year odds market with four different online bookmakers. However, despite one sportsbook only offering odds of +450, there others are offering a massive +1100.
DraftKings sportsbook are one of the bookmakers offering +1100 on Gronkowski winning the Comeback Player of the Year. This would make the Buccaneers man the 6th favorite in the betting market.
Comeback Player of the Year Odds (Best Odds)
Ben Roethlisberger +350
Cam Newton +450
Alex Smith +700
Matthew Stafford +800
JJ Watt +1000
Rob Gronkowski +1100
2. Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl
Best Odds on OddsChecker: +650Worst Odds on OddsChecker: +400
Kansas City Chiefs will be talked about as the favorites to win the Super Bowl this season, and that’s largely a true statement. However, there are two online sportsbooks who actually have the Baltimore Raven’s as the favorites to win the Super Bowl.
In fact, one bookmaker has actually has the Raven’s Super Bowl odds at +400, which would imply they have a 20% chance of winning the Super Bowl in February.
So when people tell you the Chiefs are favorites to win the Super Bowl this season, make sure you correct them! Also, if you are backing either the Ravens or Chiefs for Super Bowl glory, make sure you pick the bookmaker with best odds. This might not be the biggest price difference in the world, but it just shows bookmakers will even disagree on the favorites for the biggest betting event of the year.
Super Bowl Odds (Best Odds):
Kansas City Chiefs +600
Baltimore Ravens +650
San Francisco 49ers +1000
New Orleans Saints +1200
3. Carson Wentz to win Regular Season MVP
Best Odds on OddsChecker: +2500Worst Odds on OddsChecker: +1700
Mahomes, Jackson and Wilson head the Regular Season MVP odds market, and are the only three players with odds less than +1200 with any bookmaker. However, outside of these three there’s plenty of examples where bookmakers disagree on players chances of winning the award.
One example is Carson Wentz, the Eagles quarterback is available to back +2500 to win the MVP award, which makes him the 8th favorite in the market. However, one online sportsbook is only offering odds of +1700.
A lot of the time, online bettors will just log-on to their favorite betting app and place the bet they want and disregard the odds available. This is another classic example of bettors needing to shop around.
Regular Season MVP Odds (Best Odds)
Patrick Mahomes +400
Lamar Jackson +700
Russell Wilson +800
Dak Prescott +1400
Tom Brady +1800
4. Antonio Gibson to win Offensive Rookie Of The Year
Best Odds on OddsChecker: +3300Worst Odds on OddsChecker: +1200
Antonio Gibson has become the darling of fantasy football experts over the past few weeks and his situation in Washington looks very promising for a breakout campaign.
The third-rounder didn't play a huge amount of snaps at running back during his collegiate career at Memphis but a path has opened for him in Washington, with the release of both Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson over the past month.
We still remember what Christian McCafferey did as part of a Ron Rivera team and there are hopes that Gibson could replicate a degree of that success. At +3300 he's a huge price and one that could be worth backing.
Offensive Rookie Of The Year (Best Odds):
Joe Burrow +250
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +400
Jonathan Taylor +1100
Tua Tagovailoa +1400
Jerry Jeudy +1700
5. Ben Roethlisberger to have most Passing Yards
Best Odds on OddsChecker: +2500Worst Odds on OddsChecker: +1300
The Steelers feel like the biggest bounce back candidates in the league. Last season Big Ben got injured early and the rest of their roster seemed to fall apart after. Now Roethlisberger is fit and it's been forgotten how well he performed at the tail end of the '18 season and the start of '19.
If he is over this injury then he is a real dark horse for this award and one which should be backed. With Juju Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson and James Connor on his offense there is a real chance he could put up some explosive numbers.
Passing Yards Odds (Best Odds)
Patrick Mahomes +500
Dak Prescott +800
Matt Ryan +800
Tom Brady +950
Jared Goff +1200