2022 NFL MVP Odds: Week 6 Power Rankings
2022 NFL MVP Odds: Week 6 Power Rankings
Week 6 had massive upsets that showcased the parity of the NFL. Josh Allen emerged victorious against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in an AFC Divisional round rematch, while Jalen Hurts threw two touchdowns to quiet his critics against a talented Dallas defense.
Tom Brady was unable to beat the short-handed Pittsburgh defense with his top weapons, while Aaron Rodgers' swift fall out of the top-ten discussion could be the result of a variety of issues occurring within Green Bay's offense. After Week 5, there were ten quarterbacks at the top of the NFL MVP Odds. Now, there are nine, as Cooper Kupp has ascended into the conversation due to sustaining elite production on the Rams' underwhelming offense.
Here we rank the top ten MVP candidates and explain why each player deserves to be tailed or faded at their current MVP odds. Which players have improved their outlook, and which ones have seen their MVP stock drop?
2022 NFL MVP Odds
|Odds||Player||Stock Watch||Implied Chance|
NFL MVP Power Rankings
1. Josh Allen (+160) (Bet $100 Collect $260)
No surprise here. Josh Allen has led the Buffalo Bills on a fast-paced start to the 2022 season, obliterating the defending Super Bowl champions on the road in Week 1 and outplaying Patrick Mahomes in Arrowhead Stadium this past weekend. The only blemish is a disappointing 21-19 loss that could've easily resulted in a win against Miami in Week 3. Allen has thrown for 17 touchdowns and only four interceptions while flexing a 66.9 percent completion rate. He's also just as talented with his legs, carrying ten or more times in three games and scoring two additional touchdowns on the ground, including a clutch one against Baltimore to complete a comeback in Week 4. Allen is the clear-cut betting favorite, and unless he takes a drastic step in reverse, he should be sailing to his first MVP.
2. Jalen Hurts (+450) (Bet $100 Collect $550)
Philadelphia remains the lone undefeated team after a resounding 26-17 win over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 6. Jalen Hurts has elevated his throwing mechanics from year two to year three, but he had been relying on his ability to be a dynamic ball carrier against teams like Detroit, Minnesota, Arizona, and Jacksonville. After questions started percolating about Hurts' recent passing usage, he silenced critics with an efficient 15-of-25 for 155 yards and two touchdowns against a Cowboys defense surrendering 16.3 points per game. As long as the Eagles continue to win games, Hurts will remain at the forefront of the MVP race.
3. Patrick Mahomes (+450) (Bet $100 Collect $550)
Despite the loss to Buffalo, Patrick Mahomes remains tied with Jalen Hurts at +450. We've seen the Chiefs' star quarterback make impressive plays and utilize his signature side-arm throwing ability time and time again, so it's not a surprise to find Mahomes near the top of the list mid-season. He's thrown for three touchdowns in half of his games this season, including a masterful comeback against Las Vegas in Week 5. Mahomes' clutch factor, combined with a rocket arm and good decision-making, could result in the 27-year-old franchise quarterback winning his second MVP award.
4. Lamar Jackson (+850) (Bet $100 Collect $950)
Turning down a contract extension from Baltimore this offseason has left Lamar Jackson with only one choice. Ball out. So far, he's done exactly that. Although his play has been excellent against teams like Miami and New England, Jackson has been held in relative check against the Bills, Bengals, and Giants across the last three weeks. This has resulted in his MVP odds dropping from +600 to +850 based on the ugly loss against New York in Week 6. Jackson threw for 210 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Finishing with a 53 percent completion rate was the lowest of the season, so Jackson will need to improve his play at home against Cleveland in Week 7.
5. Justin Herbert (+1600) (Bet $100 Collect $1,700)
The Chargers proved that they don't have to rely on Justin Herbert's arm to get a win against the Browns in Week 5. Still, it doesn't hurt to trust the third-year quarterback with a massive workload due to the high expectations he continuously sets for his team. Herbert threw for a season-low 228 yards and one touchdown against Cleveland but has only thrown two interceptions. He started red-hot with three passing touchdowns each against Las Vegas and Kansas City, but he's still completed at least 64 percent of his pass attempts against Houston and Cleveland. The Chargers' schedule opens up after Denver, so Herbert will face soft pass defenses like Seattle and Atlanta to pad his MVP resumé. At +1600, this is an MVP candidate I'm willing to ride with based on his talent and the personnel surrounding him.
6. Joe Burrow (+3000) (Bet $100 Collect $3,100)
An 0-2 start to Cincinnati's season kept Joe Burrow in the doghouse for a bit. In Week 6, upon his return to the Super Dome, where he won the College Football Playoff National Championship with former and current teammate Ja'Marr Chase, Burrow displayed exactly why he's a top-ten MVP candidate. The Bengals' third-year franchise quarterback completed 28 of 37 passes for 300 yards and three touchdowns while also avoiding costly turnovers to pull out a win against New Orleans. His completion percentage has hit above 62 percent in every outing this year, and his mobility created an exciting 19-yard touchdown run against the Saints. Burrow is another quarterback who deserves to be tailed with the schedule opening up against Atlanta, Cleveland, and Carolina.
7. Cooper Kupp (+3500) (Bet $100 Collect $3,500)
The only non-quarterback candidate to appear in the top-ten MVP odds this season is Los Angeles Rams' star wideout Cooper Kupp. The sixth-year wideout has 56 receptions for over 600 yards and four touchdowns, leading the position in receptions and completing four games with at least 100 receiving yards. Kupp is the only star player for the Rams' offense right now, as the combination of no Odell Beckham Jr. and a bad offensive line forces Kupp to deliver high-end production every week. I would not invest in his odds due to the position, but he's one of the league's most valuable players right now.
8. Kirk Cousins (+4000) (Bet $100 Collect $4,100)
After throwing two touchdowns against Miami on the road, Kirk Cousins improved his odds by +1000 in the MVP race. He has yet to throw for 300 yards or three touchdowns in an outing, but Cousins is coming off of his third Pro Bowl season and is elevating his play consistently under first-year head coach Kevin O'Connell. Arizona and Washington are two soft pass defenses that could keep Cousins' odds rising into November.
9. Tom Brady (+4000) (Bet $100 Collect $4,100)
It was an ugly showing against a short-handed Pittsburgh defense in Week 6, but Tom Brady's MVP odds did not shift, staying at +4000. It's tempting to bet on the three-time MVP-winning quarterback in an offense that attempts 40 or more passes per game, especially at 40/1 odds. The main concern is Brady's lack of mobility and fragility at age 45 behind a mediocre offensive line. If the Panthers hand the Bucs another loss in Week 7, the seven-time Super Bowl winner could find himself outside of the top ten for the first time this season.
10. Derek Carr (+5000) (Bet $100 Collect $5,100)
Las Vegas has had some bad breaks to start its season, which we've grown accustomed to watching during Derek Carr's nine-year tenure with the Raiders. The 31-year-old quarterback has thrown for two touchdowns in five of six games while improving his completion percentage against Denver and Kansas City recently. He's certainly better off with star wideout Davante Adams, who has elevated Carr's production under first-year head coach Mike McDaniels. Carr has an opportunity to make some noise and improve his MVP odds with upcoming matchups against Houston, New Orleans, and Jacksonville.
Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.