2026 French Open Odds: Alexander Zverev, Novak Djokovic New Favorites After Jannik Sinner Shocking Upset
The 2026 French Open market is wide open after Jannik Sinner's stunning defeat in the second round on Thursday. Can Rafael Jodar make a run as the youngster, or will we see Djokovic or Zverev take control? Let's take a look at the 2026 French Open futures odds as the odds shift rapidly.
Peter Alexis - May 28, 2026, 10:25 AM EDT
4 Minute Read2026 French Open Winner Odds: Can Rafael Jodar Make a Run at Roland Garros After Jannik Sinner's Shocking Exit?
The men’s French Open futures market has been completely shaken up after Jannik Sinner’s stunning second-round collapse on Thursday, May 28. Sinner had been an absurd -350 favorite to win Roland Garros with Carlos Alcaraz out of the field, but his golden chance at completing the career Grand Slam ended after he blew a two-set lead and fell to Juan Manuel Cerundolo in five sets, 3-6, 2-6, 7-5, 6-1, 6-1.
Now the board has reset. Alexander Zverev is the new favorite at +180, Novak Djokovic jumps back into the title conversation at +400, and Casper Ruud, Rafael Jodar, Francisco Cerundolo, and Ben Shelton all suddenly have a much clearer path in a draw that no longer has a dominant force sitting above everyone else.
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2026 Men's French Open Winner Odds
2026 Men's French Open Winner Odds
Alexander Zverev (+180) Check out these Best French Open Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Zverev is the clear new favorite, and the price makes sense after Sinner’s exit. The No. 2 seed has been one of the most reliable Roland Garros players of the last half-decade, reaching at least the semifinals in four of the last five editions and making the 2024 final. He also looked sharp in the second round, beating Tomas Machac 6-4, 6-2, 6-2 in under two hours to set up a third-round matchup with Quentin Halys.
The question is whether Zverev can finally turn his Paris consistency into a title. With Sinner gone and Alcaraz not in the field, this is one of the cleanest major opportunities of his career. Zverev has the serve, the backhand, the clay-court endurance, and the experience to control this draw. The pressure is now obvious, though. At +180, the market is no longer treating him as a challenger. It is treating him as the man to beat.
Novak Djokovic (+400) Check out these Best French Open Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Djokovic is suddenly right back in the title picture. The 39-year-old has not been priced like a dominant version of himself this tournament, but Sinner’s loss removes the biggest obstacle from his path toward a record 25th Grand Slam title. Djokovic moved into the third round by beating Valentin Royer 6-3, 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 in a match that was more complicated than it looked after the first two sets.
The concern is physical. Djokovic had to spend nearly four hours in the Paris heat against Royer, and he now gets Joao Fonseca next in a fascinating third-round matchup between an all-time great and one of the sport’s brightest young talents. Still, Djokovic does not need to be the week-to-week tour destroyer anymore to win a major. If he gets through the early physical tests and reaches the second week, his experience alone makes +400 extremely live.
Casper Ruud (+650) Check out these Best French Open Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Ruud may be the steadiest value in the new market. He has already made multiple French Open finals, knows exactly how to structure points on clay, and looked far better in the second round after a brutal five-set opener in extreme heat. Ruud handled Hamad Medjedovic 6-3, 6-2, 6-4, then moved into a third-round matchup with Tommy Paul.
The path is not easy, but Ruud’s style travels at Roland Garros. He is not going to overwhelm opponents with flash, but he can grind them down with forehand patterns, depth, and clay-court patience. Sinner’s exit is huge for him because it removes the one player who looked capable of simply blasting through the field. At +650, Ruud is no longer just a finalist-type longshot. He is a legitimate title contender if the draw keeps opening.
Rafael Jodar (+750) Check out these Best French Open Odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Jodar is the breakout story on the board. The young Spaniard has surged into the futures conversation after a strong early tournament and a broader clay swing that already put him on the radar as one of the next major Spanish names after Rafael Nadal and Alcaraz. His rise has been fueled by aggressive baseline tennis, fearless shot-making, and the kind of confidence that markets love when a draw suddenly opens.
The challenge is that this is still a massive ask. Jodar has the upside and the story, but winning Roland Garros requires surviving repeated physical battles against players who have already handled this stage. The price at +750 is partly about talent and partly about market imagination. Without Sinner, there is room for a young star to crash the tournament, but Jodar still has to prove he can handle the pressure of being treated like a real contender rather than a surprise name.
Francisco Cerundolo (+1500) Check out these Best French Open Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Francisco Cerundolo is now a fascinating mid-board option, even though the Sinner upset came from Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Francisco has the stronger established Roland Garros profile, having reached the fourth round in both 2023 and 2024, and his clay-court game is built for this tournament with heavy forehand shape, physical rally tolerance, and comfort extending matches.
The price is attractive because the draw no longer has one overwhelming favorite. Cerundolo opened with a four-set win over Botic van de Zandschulp, 6-3, 6-4, 6-7, 6-4, and was lined up for a second-round meeting with Hugo Gaston. If he gets through that section cleanly, the market could move quickly. He is not as safe as Zverev, Djokovic, or Ruud, but +1500 gives him enough upside in a newly chaotic field.
Ben Shelton (+2200) Check out these Best French Open Odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Shelton is the biggest high-upside longshot among the top six. He started his French Open with a clean 6-3, 6-3, 6-4 win over Daniel Merida, serving efficiently and keeping the match from turning into the kind of clay grind that can sometimes expose his impatience.
The issue is whether Shelton can win seven matches on clay. His serve and lefty power give him a chance against almost anyone, and Sinner’s exit gives big hitters more room to believe the draw can break their way. Still, Shelton likely needs to keep shortening points, protect his legs, and avoid five-set wars early. At +2200, he is not a favorite-style pick, but he has the kind of explosive ceiling that becomes more interesting when the tournament loses its most reliable frontrunner.
French Open Betting Outlook
Sinner’s loss changes everything. The tournament went from one dominant favorite and a group of hopeful challengers to a wide-open title race where Zverev, Djokovic, and Ruud all have realistic claims. Zverev deserves the favorite tag because of his form, draw position, and Roland Garros consistency, but Djokovic at +400 has the most dangerous championship aura if he survives the heat and workload.
The value tier is where things get interesting. Ruud at +650 has the most proven Paris profile outside the top two, while Francisco Cerundolo at +1500 and Shelton at +2200 offer bigger payouts in a field that suddenly feels unstable. Sinner missed his golden chance at the career Grand Slam, and now the French Open may be decided by which contender handles the opening better than the favorite did.
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