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NBA Finals MVP Odds: Can Jayson Tatum Catch Favorite Jaylen Brown?

The Celtics up 3-1 in the series and with tonight being Game 5 we might have an NBA Champion announced. Can Jayson Tatum catch favorite Jaylen Brown? Jason Radowitz takes a closer look at the NBA Finals MVP odds.
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NBA Finals MVP Odds: Can Jayson Tatum Catch Favorite Jaylen Brown?

You won't be able to get into Game 5 of the NBA Finals at the TD Garden for under $1,000 on the secondary market.

With the Celtics up 3-1 in the series, they're in a prime position to win the NBA Championship tonight. If Boston wins the Championship, there will be a Championship ceremony tonight, including the NBA MVP.

At this time, oddsmakers have Jaylen Brown listed as the favorite to win the MVP. Take a look at the odds for Brown, Jayson Tatum, and Luka Doncic, who are the three likeliest candidates to win the award when the NBA Finals concludes.

NBA Finals MVP Odds

NBA Finals MVP CandidateOddsImplied Odds
Jaylen Brown (BOS)-23570.15%
Jayson Tatum (BOS)+25528.17%
Luka Doncic (DAL)+11008.33%

NBA Finals MVP

Jaylen Brown (-235) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

Jaylen Brown has added 20.8 points per game in the NBA Finals. He's also contributed 4.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game and has hit 49.2% from the field, despite shooting 24% from downtown.

In Game 4 of the NBA Finals, Brown struggled. He nailed just 3-of-12 from the field and hit 1-for-5 from downtown in 27 minutes. With that, he finished with ten points, two assists, and one rebound, with two turnovers and three fouls.

Yet, Brown is still the favorite to win the NBA Finals MVP. That's because Jayson Tatum was just as bad as Brown in Game 4 and hasn't been nearly as consistent as Brown throughout the NBA Finals.

Jayson Tatum (+255) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

Tatum has only averaged 20 points per game. However, he's added more rebounds and assists than Brown. Tatum has recorded 7.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists but has also shot below 30% from three while hitting just 36.5% from the field.

Ultimately, no player should win the MVP shooting that poorly from the field, especially when taking more than 18 shots per game.

Tatum hasn't shot above 50% from the field in a single game, while Brown has shot above 50% from deep in three games.

But it really depends on what the NBA will value more. Will they value Brown's shot-making or Tatum's ability to add more rebounds and assists?

Let's say Tatum scores enough to leapfrog Brown in points per game in a Game 5 win; Tatum would more than likely win the award, despite his shooting percentage. Therefore, there is a legitimate value on Tatum at +255. Brown definitely hasn't run away with the MVP trophy yet.

Luka Doncic (+1100) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

You're only going to look at Luka Doncic if you believe the Mavericks will win the NBA Championship. He won't win unless the Mavericks earn three more consecutive wins to stun the Celtics in a seven-game series.

A comeback from down 3-0 has never been done in the playoffs, let alone the NBA Finals. Therefore, it's unlikely Doncic will win, which is why he's sitting at +1100. Still, there's always room for a first. It'll happen at some point. Why not this year?

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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