Erling Haaland Golden Boot Odds: Can Haaland Add to World Cup Goal Tally Against Senegal on Monday Night?
Erling Haaland scored twice in Norway’s opening win over Iraq and sits behind Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe in the Golden Boot market. Can Haaland keep Norway’s attack rolling against Senegal on Monday night, or does Norway’s tougher tournament path make +1200 a fair price? Here is a look at Haaland’s Golden Boot odds and Norway vs. Senegal scoring props.
Peter Alexis - June 22, 2026, 4:03 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadCan Haaland Continue Carrying Norway, Stay in Mix for Golden Boot Award with Strong Showing Against Senegal on Monday Night?
Erling Haaland is +1200 to win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot after scoring twice in Norway’s 4-1 win over Iraq. He is already in the early chase with two goals, but he remains priced well behind Messi and Mbappe because Norway’s team outlook is much tougher.
Norway faces Senegal on Monday, June 22, at MetLife Stadium, with Norway listed as a slight +125 favorite. Haaland is +300 to score first, +100 to score anytime, and +430 to score two or more goals again. Those props put him in the same anytime price range as Messi, but his Golden Boot number is much longer because Norway is only +3500 to win the tournament.
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Haaland’s first World Cup match went almost exactly how Norway needed it to go. He scored twice, Norway won 4-1, and the team moved to the top of Group I on goal difference ahead of France. That matters because Haaland does not need Norway to win the World Cup to cash a Golden Boot ticket, but he probably needs Norway to play at least five matches. The quarterfinals may be the minimum path if Messi, Mbappe, and the other stars keep scoring.
Senegal is a much harder second opponent than Iraq. France beat Senegal 3-1, but Senegal still has pace, physical defenders, and urgency after losing its opener. Pape Thiaw has already pushed back on the idea that this is only about stopping Haaland, and that is the right approach because Martin Odegaard, Alexander Sorloth, and Norway’s wide players are also part of why Haaland gets so many good looks.
The case for Haaland at +1200 is simple: he may be the best pure finisher in the tournament, and his team is better than its long odds suggest if the midfield keeps supplying him. Norway swept qualifying, scored heavily before arriving in North America, and immediately put four past Iraq. The risk is match volume. France can make a semifinal run without surprising anyone, Argentina can do the same as the defending champion, but Norway likely has to beat a tougher knockout opponent earlier than either of those teams.
Haaland is the longshot of the three, but +1200 is not a throwaway number after a two-goal opener. If Norway beats Senegal and Haaland scores again, the price will not stay there. The safer Monday prop is anytime scorer at +100, while the higher-upside bet is two or more goals at +430 for anyone expecting Norway to keep Senegal under pressure.
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