Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers: Bettors, Oddsmakers Backing Packers
The list of San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers set to miss Thursday night’s rematch of the 2019-2020 NFC Championship Game is almost comical, with key players from both sides sitting out with injuries or sicknesses.
For San Francisco, not a single offensive player that gained a yard or was targeted in the passing game in their NFC title game win over Green Bay will be playing. That's obviously a massive blow to a team that came into the season with high expectations and has struggled mightily.
On the other hand, the Packers, who are 5-2 on the year, could be without their entire running back room as Aaron Jones is questionable and AJ Dillon and Jamaal Williams are on the COVID-19/reserved list.
What does that mean for betting? Even though both teams will be without key players, bettors and oddsmakers alike are expecting a massive Green Bay Win.
The line for this game opened at 4 or 4.5 points in favor of the Packers, depending where you looked, but has moved substantially since the 49ers announced how many players they’d be missing.
As of Thursday afternoon, Green Bay is favored by as many as 6.5 points in some places.
On the moneyline, the Packers come into Thursday Night Football at -295, implying a 74.7% chance they move to 6-2 with a win.
The 49ers, without almost every offensive skill player, are +260 to win outright, indicative of just a 27.8% chance of winning.
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Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting
Predictably, bettors don’t have much faith in the 49ers to pull off the upset. In the last 48 hours, 91% of all moneyline wagers have been on the Packers to win outright, with just 9% going on the 49ers.
As far as the spread is concerned, it’s even more lopsided as about 93% of the betting public is on the Packers to cover.
|Team||ML Odds||Implied Probability||Public Betting %|
|Green Bay Packers||-295||74.7%||91%|
|San Francisco 49ers||+260||27.8%||9%|