NFL Week 1 Bad Beats: We Hope You Weren’t on the Wrong Side of These

With Week 1 of the 2021 NFL season nearly in the books, NFL Expert Matt O'Leary recaps Sunday's betting action and bad beats including an early candidate for Bad Beat of the year.
Matt O'Leary
Mon, September 13, 11:05 AM EDT

NFL Week 1 Bad Beats: We Hope You Weren’t on the Wrong Side of These

Would it be an NFL Sunday if there weren’t bad beats involved? This past Sunday was Week 1 of the NFL season, and folks everywhere were getting in on the action in Week 1. Unfortunately, it happens to everyone, but there were two horrible beats that stand out in the NFL from Sunday.

Both bad beats happened in the 1:00 pm slate, which could have absolutely derailed your gambling day if you let it. 

Bad Beat: 49ers -8.5 or More

If you got this line at anything more than 49ers -8.5, I’m so sorry. The 49ers had this game in the bag. They were dominating the Detroit Lions through the first 58 minutes of this game. San Francisco was up 41-17 at the two-minute mark, and then, all hell broke loose.

After a pass interference out of the two-minute warning brought the ball to the one-yard line, the Lions punched it in with a Jamaal Williams rushing TD. Jared Goff would find T.J. Hockensen for the two-point conversion making it 41-25.

No need to panic, there’s just 1:53 left in the game, and the 49ers are still up by 16 points. The Lions would have to grab an onside kick and then score again, and onside kicks had a 4.23 percent recovery rate in 2020.

Well, wouldn’t you know it, but Detroit not only recovered the onside kick but also orchestrated another drive down the field and scored a touchdown. This time in just 46 seconds, Jared Goff found Quintez Cephus for a two-yard TD and then again on the two-point conversion to make it a 41-33 game.

In less than a minute of game time, the Lions scored twice to backdoor cover. That might be an early candidate for the bad beat of the year.

Bad Beat: Cardinals vs. Titans O/U 52.5 points

Cardinals vs. Titans looked like a game that was sure-fire to hit the over. Through the first three-quarters of play, the teams combined for 51 points as the Arizona Cardinals led by a score of 38-13.

All you needed was one more score in the fourth quarter. Heck, even a safety would’ve put you over. Instead, the Cardinals were moving the ball when the fourth quarter started and stalled at the Titans’ 23-yard line.

No worries, send out Matt Prater, the guy with the longest kick in NFL history, out for a 43 yarder. Welp, Prater, sent it wide left.

The Titans would then turn it over on downs on their next possession, and then Arizona essentially ran out the clock before punting back to Tennessee, who sat on the ball for three plays.

The Tennessee Titans, who hit the over 75 percent of the time last year, could only muster up 13 points. However, Kyler Murray and the Cardinals did their part. You can’t get mad at them even with the missed field goal.

That’s gambling though. Pick yourself up, brush yourself off, and get right back on the horse for Week 2, which will be here before we know it.

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