Odds format
United States

First NFL Head Coach To Be Fired Odds Update: Urban Meyer on the Hot Seat

Kyle Newman takes a look at the latest odds on who is going to be the first NFL Head Coach to lose his job in 2021 prior to the start of Week 4.
| 4 min read
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link

First NFL Head Coach To Be Fired Odds Update

Urban Meyer and Matt Nagy are the odds on favorites to be the first NFL Head Coach to be fired.

It’s been a rough start for rookie quarterbacks around the NFL, but oddsmakers see two situations as volatile. The subpar performance from Lawrence has Urban Meyer on the hot seat, while the lack of playing time and subsequent awful Week 3 performance from Justin Fields has Nagy in trouble.

Both Meyer and Nagy are given +275 odds to be the first head coach fired. That’s an implied 26.7% chance. Only two other coaches have odds better than +1000, Joe Judge at +450 and Zac Taylor at +750.

So, Meyer and Nagy are a clear tier removed from everyone else.

Meyer may still have other opportunities as he’s been among the favorites to land the USC head coaching job. He was given +500 odds to land the USC job, the third-best on the market when it opened. However, Nagy may have to rely on that same job with a twist. Eric Bieniemy was given +600 odds to become USC’s next head coach before the market closed, second-best on the market. That could open up Nagy’s old job as Andy Reid’s offensive coordinator.

It’s hard to imagine Jacksonville moving on from Urban Meyer voluntarily so quickly. They gave him complete control of the franchise and told him to rebuild. It hasn’t started well, but rebuilds take more than a year. Meanwhile, Nagy makes perfect sense. Last year, he was given a playoff mandate, and he saved his job by getting in at 8-8. With a slow start this year, he needs Fields to play lights out for him to keep his job. Instead, Fields hasn’t seen much of the field, and it hasn’t looked good when he has.


CoachOddsImplied Chance
Urban Meyer+27526.7%
Matt Nagy+27526.7%
Joe Judge+45018.2%
Zac Taylor+75011.8%
Mike Zimmer+10009.1%

A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.


Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.