SNF Week 4 Complete Betting Preview and Odds: New England Patriots vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro
TV Network: NBC
New England Patriots (1-2-0 SU, 1-2-0 ATS)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1-0 SU, 1-2-0 ATS)
SNF Week 4: New England Patriots vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were dealt a setback in Week 3, following a 34-24 loss to the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Now, Brady has his sight on a bounce-back performance under the lights in his former stomping grounds at the Foxborough. It’s the much-anticipated Brady vs. Belichick matchup that everyone has had circled ever since the NFL schedule was made public.
Mac Jones and the Patriots are coming off a resounding 28-13 loss to the New Orleans Saints at Gillette Stadium. It marked their second defeat of the season, putting Belichick’s side in a tough spot ahead of a marquee billing that’s already the most talked-up and overhyped game of the week.
Books opened with the Buccaneers -5.5 on Sunday, but the line has been bet up to -7 since markets opened. The total is set to 49 points and has held firm. Early consensus betting trends reveal a distinct lean towards the hosts, with the bulk of the tickets going towards the Patriots at this time. The implication: it’s going to be a close game, according to bettors.
New England Patriots Odds & Overview:
The moment Belichick decided to roll with rookie Mac Jones, the expectations for the New England Patriots adjusted accordingly. It’s not often that rookie quarterbacks enjoy incredible success in the first year. And, not since Tom Brady as a rookie quarterback, managed to win a Super Bowl in his inaugural season.
So, it’s no surprise that the Patriots boast a 1-2 record ahead of Week 4, with losses to the Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints. The lone victory came against the New York Jets, with Mac Jones and the Patriots steamrolling their rival 25-6. The Patriots are 1-2-0 ATS on the season with a 1-point winning margin and a -3 differential versus the spread.
Jones and the offense struggled last Sunday against the Saints. The rookie quarterback looked outmatched and overwhelmed by a solid defense and a head coach in Sean Payton that has been around the block a few times. It’s one thing to manage a game against the likes of the Dolphins and Jets, both teams at different stages of a complete rebuild and far from established. It’s another to go toe-to-toe with an established outfit under experienced management.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds & Overview:
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers came crashing back down to earth last Sunday, following a 34-24 defeat to the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. It was their first loss of the season, pushing them back to a 2-1 record and, the shock of all shocks, behind the Carolina Panthers in the NFC South standings. In the broad spectrum of the NFC, it sets them back in the race for playoff positioning. Knowing Brady, none of this is sitting well with him. The timing of it, too, is inopportune, just ahead of his reunion in New England with his old pals Belichick and Robert Kraft, amongst others.
The Rams outplayed, outmuscled, and stunningly outgunned the Buccaneers – the final score belied just how lopsided the game was for the better part of the four quarters. Tampa Bay struggled against the vaunted Rams defense and had no answers for the potent offense. Fortunately, Brady is unlikely to suffer the ignominy of such an embarrassing loss in Week 4.
The Patriots present a totally different matchup that plays right into Tampa Bay’s strength: the defense. Todd Bowles and the defense will look to exploit Jones’ inexperience at the helm of the offense. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels has had a rough go of it ever since he lost his muse, Tom Brady, to the greener pastures of Tampa Bay. The offense was ineffective in 2020 with Cam Newton as its pivot, and it’s not looking particularly great through the first three games of the season. However, the Bucs offense is loaded with talent and impact players that can do damage, and after seeing the Saints offense have its way with the Patriots defense, Brady should fancy his chances too.
New England Patriots vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds
|Buccaneers||-275||-6.5 (-110)||Over 49 (-110)|
|Patriots||+255||+6.5 (+100)||Under 49 (-104)|
New England Patriots vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
All the hype surround the Patriots vs. Buccaneers matchup is focused on the reunion between quarterback and head coach. As well, Brady surpassing Drew Brees’ passing record provides an added backstory to this game.
Undoubtedly, Brady and Belichick know each other inside out and will game plan accordingly. However, at the end of the day, all these distractions aside, the matchup comes down to the better team overall. That is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, without question.