NFL MVP Odds Update: Ranking the Top 5 Candidates Heading into Week 5
We’re a quarter of the way through the NFL season and it’s never too early to start looking at MVP odds. To no surprise, when we look at this list here in a second, it’s littered with quarterbacks as they’ve won the last eight MVPs in the league.
You’d have to go back to 2012 when Adrian Peterson won it and then LaDanian Tomlinson in 2006 as the last times a non-quarterback won the award. As of now, here are the top five favorites to take home the award.
NFL MVP ODDS
Through the first four games of the year, Kyler Murray is leading the NFL in completion percentage at 76.1 percent and has nine passing touchdowns to his name already. If you include the rushing he has 12 total touchdowns through the first quarter of the season, a pace of 51 total touchdowns over a full season. This is the best offense in football on the last remaining unbeaten team, it’s easy to see why he’s the favorite.
Even with the Chiefs struggling at 2-2, the 2018 MVP winner still has to be in the conversation. He has 14 touchdown passes on the year which leads the league and puts him on pace for 60 over a 17 game season! Right now Peyton Manning holds the record with 55, Mahomes has a real good chance to break this record if he stays healthy especially with the extra game.
The year three leap was not a fluke. Allen has been tremendous so far this season, especially the last two weeks. He’s on pace for 43 combined touchdowns so far and that should only go up once he adds some more on the ground. He doesn’t have the numbers of the other two just yet, but in a few weeks, this can look like a nice value play.
Aaron Rodgers took home the award last year and while he isn’t exactly playing at the level he was last year, he’s proving that he is still in the elite class. He’s only at 224.3 yards per game and eight passing touchdowns but like Allen, his numbers should rise. Don’t count out Rodgers, he’s too good and will always keep himself in this race.
Dak has been excellent through the first four games of the year. He’s at a 116.9 rating and has 10 passing touchdowns on the year already. The Dallas offense finally looks to be hitting their stride and they have a favorable matchup against the Giants this week. If you’re a Dak believer and looking for better value than what Comeback Player Of The Year is offering, getting him at +1000 isn’t an awful idea.