TNF Week 6 Betting Preview, Odds, and Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Thursday, October 14, 2021
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Where to Watch: NFL Network
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Record: 4-1-0 SU, 2-3-0 ATS
Philadelphia Eagles Record: 2-3-0 SU, 2-3-0 ATS
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will visit the Philadelphia Eagles Thursday night to kick-start Week 6 of the NFL under the lights at Lincoln Financial Field. Tampa Bay and Philadelphia are coming off positive outings in Week 5, respectively. The Buccaneers (4-1) routed the Miami Dolphins 45-17, clinching their second-straight win in as many weeks. The Eagles (2-3) are coming off a surprising 21-18 upset win over the Carolina Panthers, clinching their second win of the season.
Books opened this much-anticipated Thursday Night Football (TNF) game with Tampa Bay laying 6.5 points to Philadelphia. But the NFL line ticked up to a touchdown across several top sportsbooks almost instantly because early money came down heavy on the defending Super Bowl champions.
Does the public have it right? Probably. Tampa Bay's exhilarating brand of football is something to behold. Yes, the Eagles, encouraged by the upset over the Panthers, might not be an easy out at Lincoln Financial Field. But beating the Buccaneers on national television is an extraordinary feat that's hard to imagine.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Overview
The Buccaneers looked the part of the defending Super Bowl champion as Tom Brady and Company shredded the Dolphins. Tampa Bay was spotting Miami double-digits in the betting, but it proved to be a moot point as Brady and the Buccaneers crushed the -11 point spread with a huge margin of victory. Not surprisingly, Tampa Bay is priced as the top bet to win Super Bowl LVI with multiple sportsbooks right now, leapfrogging preseason favorites the Kansas City Chiefs into the top spot ahead of Week 6.
Brady, at 44 years of age, continues to defy reason and perceptions, tossing, for the very first time in his 22-year career, for more than 400 yards and five touchdowns in the same game. There's no hyperbole to describe what he's doing in a sport that has long been considered a young man's game.
Not only did Brady pass for 411 yards on 30 of 41 passing attempts and five touchdowns, but he made everybody around him better. He spread the ball between multiple targets on offense and connected with both Antonio Brown and Mike Evans for a couple of touchdowns apiece while setting up Leonard Fournette with one touchdown.
Brown, one of the best playmakers in the game during his heyday with the Pittsburgh Steelers, was an afterthought until Brady engineered his renaissance with the Buccaneers midway through last season. Then, Brown galloped for 124 yards and two touchdowns on seven receptions to help lift Tampa Bay to the victory over Miami, becoming the fastest player to reach 900 receptions.
But that's not all. Brown extended the NFL's longest active streak with at least one catch to 141 games. Finally, if that weren't enough, he joined illustrious NFL company that day, too. Rivaling players like Julio Jones, Jerry Rice, Torry Holt, and Andre Johnson as the only in league history to reach 12,000 career receiving yards in fewer than 150 games.
Philadelphia Eagles Overview
Jalen Hurts and the Eagles delivered a surprise outcome in Week 5 by upsetting the Carolina Panthers at the Bank of America Stadium. Philadelphia closed as the +2.5 road underdogs but somehow pulled off the outright win against the NFL odds.
Hurts didn't get off to the best start in the game, but he found form when it counted the most. The Eagles were down 15-6 at halftime, but they turned the tables in the second half when Hurts woke up. Hurts turned up the heat on the ground as he rushed for two scores on 30 yards. He also passed for 22 of 37 attempts for 198 yards and zero touchdowns. He had one interception.
The defense came up big, sacking Sam Darnold three times. They also forced him to throw three interceptions, and that changed the momentum of the game. However, the Eagles continued to struggle against the run and allowed Chuba Hubbard to collect 101 yards of rushing.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds
|Buccaneers||-270||-6.5||Over 52.5 (-105)|
|Eagles||+240||+6.5||Under 52.5 (-110)|
There's no surprise to this market. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the correct favorites for this road game because they're the better team, although that in of itself is no guarantee of a win on the moneyline or a cover in point-spread betting.
Tom Brady injured his hand slightly during last Sunday's game, and he was seen icing it on the sidelines. After the game, the veteran signal-caller confirmed he was dealing with a minor hand injury, but he went on to add that it wasn't a concern. Expectations are that he will start on Thursday, so his status isn't impacting the NFL odds for the time being.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview
By the NFL odds, the Buccaneers have an implied probability of 75.6 percent of winning. This is likely down to the mismatch on paper. Tampa Bay is an elite team, and with the triple threat of Chris Goodwin, Mike Evans, and Antonio Brown, it's not a "fair fight," as Bruce Arians once said.
Add to this receiving corps tight end Rob Gronkowski (if he's cleared from injury) and running back Leonard Fournette. The Buccaneers have an overwhelming advantage over the Eagles on the offensive side of the ball. It's hard to imagine anything other than a field day for this group of talent, which could see the Buccaneers as the value bet against the spread too.
Speaking of Fournette, facing the 30th-ranked rush defense sets him up for a big game. As such, he's worth spotting in NFL prop bets for total rushing yards. Hubbard gobbled up 101 yards last week, while Clyde Edwards-Helaire put up 102 yards the previous week, and Ezekiel Elliot scampered for 95 yards on MNF.
How this game unfolds for Philadelphia will rest on Jalen Hurts, who will debut in his first-ever Thursday Night Football game. Hurts' Monday Night Football (MNF) debut against the Dallas Cowboys at the AT&T Stadium in Week 2 turned into an embarrassing account for the Eagles on the whole. If there's a lesson to be learned, it's that the Eagles can ill-afford getting behind early. The only way Philadelphia avoids a blowout loss or has a chance of winning this game is if Hurts and the Eagles get off to a fast start and the defense steps up again.