2022 NFL Most Interceptions Odds: Zach Wilson Favored to Lead the League in Picks
2022 NFL Most Interceptions Odds: Zach Wilson Favored to Lead the League in Picks
Ah yes, the interceptions leader. Someone has to lead the league in interceptions and sometimes it's a gunslinger like Matthew Stafford who does it (a good quarterback) and other times it's someone like Drew Lock who does it in just 13 games (not a good quarterback).
More often than not though it feels like we see this category led by youngsters though and that's exactly what the oddsmakers are saying this year. Let's look at the 2022 NFL most interceptions odds.
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2022 NFL Most Interceptions Odds
Player | Odds | Implied Chance |
---|---|---|
Zach Wilson | +800 | 11.11% |
Davis Mills | +900 | 10% |
Trevor Lawrence | +1000 | 9.09% |
Justin Fields | +1000 | 9.09% |
Matthew Stafford | +1400 | 6.67% |
Jameis Winston | +1400 | 6.67% |
Tua Tagovailoa | +1800 | 5.26% |
Mac Jones | +1800 | 5.26% |
Ryan Tannehill | +2000 | 4.76% |
Baker Mayfield | +2000 | 4.76% |
Zach Wilson +800 (Bet $100 to win $800)
I hate this. As a Jets fan, this pained me to see but as someone with half a brain, I realized that this line makes no sense. Wilson had 11 picks in 13 games played which isn't good but is paced out to 14 which wasn't anywhere close to the lead last year. Also, over the final five games of the season, Wilson threw zero (0) interceptions and had just two in seven games after returning from injury.
Also, Zach Wilson is getting Mekhi Becton back on his offensive line, the team also added Pro Bowl Guard Laken Tomlinson and weapons like CJ Uzomah, Tyler Conklin, Garrett Wilson, and Breece Hall in the offseason to complement Corey Davis, Elijah Moore, Braxton Berrios, and Michael Carter. Wilson won't be as bad as he was as a rookie in year two, this is bad value.
Davis Mills +900 (Bet $100 to win $900)
The Houston Texans are horrific and will be one of the worst teams in the league but Davis Mills surprised a lot of people with his play last year. In 13 games, Mills had a 66.8 completion percentage, 204.9 yards per game 16 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. They will see if he's the answer at the quarterback position for them going forward.
I suppose we could see a regression because of the roster around him but with Mills' play in 2021, I don't necessarily see him as an interception leader either. To me, there is one clear answer here with some nice value.
Jameis Winston +1400 (Bet $100 to win $1400)
Last year, Jameis Winston was supposed to be the starter before suffering a season-ending injury. He played just seven games last year and threw for three picks. Did he fix his turnover issues for good? Doubtful. He had Sean Payton one of the best offensive coaches of all time.
The last time Winston started a full season he threw 30 interceptions. He also had 33 touchdowns and over 5,000 yards but his play is pretty erratic. Over his last three years in Tampa, Winston played in 40 games and had 55 picks. Without Payton, Winston may be pushing 20 picks this year and that should be enough to get us home.