2025 NFL Draft Odds: Where Will Shedeur Sanders Land? Latest Team and Pick Projections
With the NFL Draft just days away, one of the biggest questions in the first round is where Shedeur Sanders will be drafted. He's been all over the map, with some expecting him to go in the top 3, and others to fall past the first 15 picks. Tera Roberts gives her expert breakdown on Sanders' draft stock, and anticipates how she thinks the 2025 NFL Draft will go in the first round.
Tera Roberts
| 7 min
2025 NFL Draft Odds: Where Will Shedeur Sanders Land? Latest Team and Pick Projections
Before this weekend, Shedeur Sanders’ draft position drama was around whether or not he would fall out of the top 10. There’s always at least one quarterback that faces extra draft scrutiny and skepticism, and Sanders clearly drew the short straw this year.
Let’s just get one thing out of the way…
Cam Ward is the presumptive Number 1 Pick, and that’s very unlikely to change. If it did change, the pivot would be to Abdul Carter. There’s essentially no chance Sanders is drafted over Ward, and the profit for the second quarterback off the board bet simply isn’t worth it. Skip right over the quarterback props and drive into the picks, draft position and team drafted by props.
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2025 NFL Draft Quarterback Odds
- First QB: Sanders +2000
- Second QB: Sanders -250
- For reference - Jaxson Dart Second QB: +200
Click here for the latest NFL Draft Quarterback Odds
Shedeur Sanders Prop Odds
- Number 2 Pick: Sanders +1600
- Number 3 Pick: Sanders +600
- Top 5: Sanders +500
- Top 10: Sanders +195
- Sanders Draft Position: Over 8.5 -330
- Sanders Draft Position: Under 8.5 +240
Team to Draft Shedeur Sanders Odds
- Pittsburgh Steelers (+280)
- New York Giants (+310)
- Cleveland Browns (+360)
- New Orleans Saints (+390)
Which Team will Shedeur Sanders be Drafted By?
Before this weekend, Sanders’ draft position was drama was around whether or not he would fall out of the top 10. There’s always at least one quarterback that faces extra draft scrutiny and skepticism and Sanders clearly drew the short straw this year.
Some criticism is warranted. Sanders is not a flawless, can’t miss pick. Arguably, if the 2024 class included Sanders, Sanders likely would’ve been further back in the pecking order compared this this year where he’s the clear consensus number 2 prospect. In all likelihood, Sanders does lean more towards a mid to late first-round pick. However, with multiple quarterback-needy teams, Sanders in the top 10 just makes logical sense.
Vegas agrees, particularly with the news of Derek Carr’s 2025 season in jeopardy. Sanders' odds of being a top 10 pick are now -220 and we should focus our bets on picks and teams inside the top 10, assuming the Saints are the cut off.
Since we’ve already eliminated Tennessee, we’ll start at Cleveland.
Is it possible the Browns draft Shadeur Sanders?
Sanders' odds to go second overall to the Cleveland Browns indicate they’re likely heading another direction with either Travis Hunter or Abdul Carter. I’ve gone back and forth on this throughout the offseason. Cleveland truly isn’t in a must-draft quarterback situation with their first-round pick.
That logic might seem counterintuitive, but it makes sense when you look at the front office. The Haslems clearly have an implicit trust in Kevin Stefanski. He’s earned it. Stefanski won 2023 Coach of the Year, starting five different quarterbacks, leading the team to an 11-6 record and a playoff appearance. Ironically, the starting quarterback who helped them get there in the latter half of the season was newly signed Joe Flacco.
The Browns’ front office isn’t on a hot seat and can afford to pass on quarterback until 2025 or simply take a stab at a Day 2 or 3 option this year. Still, it wouldn’t be the first time a team did a 180 on their draft target. If they do pivot to a quarterback with the second pick, it would be for Sanders. At +1300 odds, I wouldn’t mind making a modest bet.
One thing to notice is the difference between the second overall odds for Sanders and the odds specifically to Cleveland. Given the cost to trade up and the perceived value for Sanders, if Sanders goes second overall, it’s likely to be Cleveland rather than another team trading up. Take the second overall odds compared to Cleveland specifically.
What if Cleveland passes on Sanders?
The second overall pick is admittedly more of a longshot bet. The realistic bet is Sanders third overall or specifically to the Giants. While Hunter is a popular mock to the Giants, I’ve maintained they truly cannot afford to pass on a quarterback. Russell Wilson rebounded in Pittsburgh last year. However, New York simply doesn’t have the defensive talent to succeed with Wilson at quarterback. If the Giants fail to show life and have another top 10 pick, expect a swift firing of both Brian Daboll and Joe Schoen.
The Saints’ sudden need for a quarterback might be the final push for the Giants to draft Sanders. Odds have increased dramatically to favor Sanders to the Saints. The Saints have been stuck in a cap nightmare for years, failing to make the playoffs for the past four seasons, yet being too good to snag a high enough pick to draft a top-tier quarterback. Last year’s 5-12 finish finally gave the Saints a top 10 pick. If Sanders is available at the ninth pick, he’s absolutely a Saint.
How does Sanders fit in with the Saints?
First-year head coach Kellen Moore offers an established, quarterback-friendly offensive system that would be an excellent fit for Sanders. Taking a chance on Sanders is actually very low risk for Moore and Saints’ GM Mickey Loomis. Loomis is very long tenured, and the Saints tend to be loyal to their coaching staff.
They’ll likely be slow to make any coaching changes if a rookie struggles (i.e., the Frank Reich Special), willing to be patient and work through any growing pains with Sanders. Sanders would essentially enter an offense designed to put the quarterback in an ideal situation with an elite receiving back and a solid receiving corps when healthy, on a team desperately seeking longevity at quarterback and no means to pay for one.
So, why do I still lean towards Sanders going at the third draft pick?
It’s easy to pass on Sanders when the general perception is that he isn’t worth the pick. It’s risky to pass on him if another top 10 team is ready and willing to hand over the keys to the franchise immediately. If they pass on Sanders and he’s a hit, while the Giants struggle through some combination of Wilson, Winston and…Tommy DeVito, the Giants’ past several years would essentially become a case study on “what not to do in your NFL front office.”
If you were Daboll or Schoen, how would you rather go out? With a swing and a miss on Sanders or by the moon ball of Russell Wilson?
Take advantage of the hot and heavy rumors of Sanders to New Orleans and jump on the odds for the third overall pick for Sanders, the top 5 pick or under 8.5 pick. While it’s possible the Giants could pass on Sanders, grab Hunter and then trade back into the top 10 to snipe the Saints, trading back into the top 10 would likely be a difficult swing with a staff on very thin ice. The pick number bets offer better odds than specifically to the Giants.
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